Mongolia

Tropical nights in Mongolia

Tropical nights in Mongolia: 2.7 nights in 1950 and 6.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
6.1 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+3.4 nights
Projected, 2100
19.1 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in MongoliaTropical nights in Mongolia: 2.7 nights in 1950 and 6.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 19.1 nights in 2100, between 9.8 nights and 32.5 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 19.1 nights in 2100, between 9.8 nights and 32.5 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 6.1 nights in 2014, the lowest 1.9 nights in 1983.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMongolia
20146.1
20135.8
20125.8
20115.7
20105.4
20094.7
20084.9
20074.6
20065
20055.1
20044.9
20034.4
20024.6
20014.8
20004.5
19994.3
19983.8
19973.5
19963.3
19953.2
19942.9
19932.3
19921.9
19913.3
19903.2
19893.5
19882.9
19872.7
19862.4
19852.7
19842.4
19831.9
19822.8
19812.4
19802.8
19792.5
19782.7
19772.2
19762.2
19752.1
19742.3
19732.2
19722.2
19712.2
19702.3
19692.4
19682
19672.6
19662.3
19652.4
19642
19633.1
19622.4
19612.8
19602.7
19592.8
19582.5
19572.4
19562.7
19552.2
19542.7
19532.8
19522.5
19512.7
19502.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMongolia
20155.62.9–9.8
20166.13.1–10.7
20176.73.3–12.2
20186.83.6–10.7
20196.33.6–11.6
20206.33.8–11
20217.13.5–12.3
20227.64.2–12.1
20238.44.2–13.2
20247.43.8–12.5
20258.23.6–14.1
20268.24.2–12.8
20278.64.4–13.8
20287.33.7–12.8
20299.24.4–15
203084–13.4
20319.34.2–15.5
20328.54.8–14.8
20339.55–14.6
20348.24.7–14
203510.25.4–16.2
20369.15–16
20379.85.2–16.2
20389.65.8–16.5
203910.65.7–16.8
204011.26.7–18.1
204110.66–16.2
204211.25.9–17.9
204311.56.6–19.7
204411.26–19.6
2045115.7–19
204611.86.9–19.8
204712.57.1–19
204811.25.8–18.9
204911.46.2–19.1
205012.76.4–19.7
205112.37–20.8
205211.75.7–20.2
2053136.7–20.6
205412.66.8–19.7
205513.36.9–21.6
205613.47.3–23.2
205712.77.6–22.2
205813.76.8–23.1
205913.86–22.7
206015.37.8–24.7
206114.18.2–22.8
206214.27.8–22.6
206314.57.6–24.4
206414.68.6–23.2
2065158.4–23.6
2066147.6–24.4
206713.77.4–22.8
206815.89.4–23.3
206915.18.3–22.6
207015.28.2–25.5
207115.98.8–26.7
207215.79–25.4
207314.67.6–23.8
207416.68.9–25
207515.78.5–26.2
207616.29.5–26.3
207715.99.1–25.1
207815.79–25.7
207916.59.6–27.1
208016.89.5–26.9
208117.310.1–26.9
208217.29.2–26.5
208316.610.1–26.6
208418.210–28.4
208516.38.6–29.4
208617.68.7–28.5
208718.610.2–31.2
208818.29.7–29.7
208919.19.8–31
209018.510.7–29.2
209119.510.7–28.3
209219.69.8–29.8
209319.410.3–30.3
209418.710.2–34.6
209519.211.3–28.6
20961811.5–30.1
20971710–28.5
209817.710.1–28.7
209919.310.7–31
210019.19.8–32.5

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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