Temperature in Morocco

Temperature in Morocco: 17.2 °C in 1950 and 19.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 19.3 °C
Since 1950: +2.1 °C
Rank, 2025: 152 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 21.3 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 21.3 °C in 2100, between 20.1 °C and 22.3 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 20 °C in 2023, the lowest 15.9 °C in 1972.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	19.3	19.2
2024	20	19.4
2023	20	19.2
2022	19.8	19.3
2021	19.2	19.1
2020	19.5	19
2019	19	19.2
2018	18	19
2017	19.6	19
2016	19	18.9
2015	18.8	18.9
2014	18.8	18.5
2013	18.5	18.8
2012	18.6	18.6
2011	18.6	18.7
2010	19.2	18.6
2009	18.8	18.7
2008	18.1	18.7
2007	18.3	18.4
2006	18.6	18.5
2005	18.5	18.5
2004	18.2	18.5
2003	18.7	18.5
2002	18.6	18.5
2001	19.2	18.5
2000	18.5	18.4
1999	18.2	18.4
1998	18.6	18.2
1997	18.4	18.2
1996	17.8	18.1
1995	18.5	18
1994	18.3	17.9
1993	17.1	17.9
1992	17.3	17.5
1991	17.3	18.1
1990	18.3	18.4
1989	18	18.1
1988	18	18
1987	18.6	18
1986	17.6	17.7
1985	18	17.7
1984	17.6	17.8
1983	18.4	17.7
1982	17.4	17.9
1981	18.1	17.9
1980	17.8	17.9
1979	17.4	17.9
1978	17.6	17.8
1977	17.4	17.9
1976	16.4	17.5
1975	17	17.7
1974	16.9	17.6
1973	17.2	17.7
1972	15.9	17.7
1971	16.5	17.5
1970	17.8	17.6
1969	17.3	17.6
1968	17.4	17.6
1967	17.2	17.7
1966	17.7	17.6
1965	17.1	17.4
1964	17.4	17.5
1963	16.9	17.6
1962	17.5	17.7
1961	18.1	17.7
1960	17.3	17.6
1959	17.1	17.8
1958	17.5	17.8
1957	16.7	17.7
1956	16.3	17.7
1955	18	17.8
1954	16.6	17.6
1953	16.6	17.7
1952	17.2	17.8
1951	17	17.6
1950	17.2	17.8

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	19.318.7–20.1
2027	–	19.418.8–20.1
2028	–	19.518.5–20.2
2029	–	19.318.6–20
2030	–	19.418.6–20.1
2031	–	19.418.7–20.2
2032	–	19.619–20.3
2033	–	19.518.7–20.2
2034	–	19.718.9–20.5
2035	–	19.718.9–20.3
2036	–	19.719–20.5
2037	–	19.719.1–20.5
2038	–	19.919.1–20.5
2039	–	19.919.1–20.7
2040	–	19.719–20.8
2041	–	19.919.2–20.5
2042	–	19.919.3–20.7
2043	–	19.919.1–20.7
2044	–	2019.2–20.8
2045	–	19.919.3–20.6
2046	–	2019.2–20.7
2047	–	20.219.2–20.8
2048	–	20.119.3–20.9
2049	–	20.219.4–21
2050	–	20.119.3–21
2051	–	20.119.4–21.1
2052	–	20.319.3–21.1
2053	–	20.219.4–21.3
2054	–	20.319.5–21.2
2055	–	20.219.5–21.1
2056	–	20.219.6–21.1
2057	–	20.519.5–21.4
2058	–	20.419.5–21.3
2059	–	20.319.7–21.4
2060	–	20.519.7–21.4
2061	–	20.619.8–21.3
2062	–	20.519.5–21.6
2063	–	20.819.8–21.4
2064	–	20.519.7–21.4
2065	–	20.619.6–21.5
2066	–	20.619.9–21.5
2067	–	20.619.7–21.6
2068	–	20.619.8–21.5
2069	–	20.819.9–21.5
2070	–	20.719.9–21.5
2071	–	20.819.9–21.8
2072	–	20.819.8–21.7
2073	–	21.120.2–21.9
2074	–	2120–21.8
2075	–	20.719.9–21.7
2076	–	20.820.1–21.7
2077	–	20.819.9–22
2078	–	20.819.9–22
2079	–	2119.9–22
2080	–	20.920–21.9
2081	–	20.820–22
2082	–	2120–21.7
2083	–	21.120.1–22.1
2084	–	2120.2–21.8
2085	–	21.120–22.4
2086	–	2120–22.2
2087	–	21.120.2–22.3
2088	–	21.320.3–22.2
2089	–	21.120.2–22.3
2090	–	21.320.1–22.1
2091	–	21.320.1–22.2
2092	–	21.120.1–22
2093	–	21.120.3–22.2
2094	–	21.120.3–22.2
2095	–	21.220.2–22.2
2096	–	21.319.9–22.5
2097	–	21.220.4–22.1
2098	–	21.420.3–22.4
2099	–	21.320.1–22.4
2100	–	21.320.1–22.3

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Morocco

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

Morocco in numbers

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