Philippines

Tropical nights in Philippines

Tropical nights in Philippines: 320.4 nights in 1950 and 331.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
331.5 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+11.1 nights
Projected, 2100
351.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in PhilippinesTropical nights in Philippines: 320.4 nights in 1950 and 331.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 351.3 nights in 2100, between 340.2 nights and 356.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 351.3 nights in 2100, between 340.2 nights and 356.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 331.5 nights in 2014, the lowest 314.9 nights in 1964.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearPhilippines
2014331.5
2013330.9
2012331.1
2011329.8
2010330.6
2009329
2008327.5
2007327.8
2006328.7
2005329.7
2004329.4
2003327.1
2002328.9
2001327.8
2000326.8
1999327.5
1998326.5
1997325.4
1996324.6
1995324.2
1994321.5
1993319.5
1992318.4
1991324.1
1990323.5
1989322.5
1988324
1987323.1
1986322.1
1985321.4
1984321.7
1983319.4
1982320.5
1981320.4
1980322.7
1979321.2
1978320.6
1977319.8
1976319.6
1975319.6
1974320
1973319.4
1972318.9
1971318.8
1970319
1969318.7
1968317.2
1967317.4
1966318.8
1965317.2
1964314.9
1963317.2
1962318.6
1961319.3
1960318.6
1959320.5
1958321.8
1957319.4
1956320
1955319.3
1954317.7
1953320
1952319
1951319.8
1950320.4
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearPhilippines
2015333319.8–339.5
2016334.2322.8–340.7
2017333.4319.7–339.8
2018333.2320.1–340.1
2019334.1323.4–341.2
2020334.6322.6–341.8
2021335.6323.3–341.1
2022335.7323.3–342.1
2023336.7324.8–343.2
2024337.2325.7–343.9
2025336.3326.2–342.8
2026336.5322.9–343
2027336.2325.7–342.3
2028337.1325.5–343.8
2029338.1327.2–344.6
2030337.7326.2–344.4
2031337.1325.6–343.8
2032339.4329.5–346.1
2033339.7329.6–345.5
2034338.8328.8–345
2035338.6327.5–346.4
2036339.6327.8–346.9
2037339.8329.1–345.5
2038341.9330.7–347.7
2039341.2330.4–346.9
2040340.4328.1–347.6
2041341.1329.1–346.7
2042342331.4–347.7
2043341.3329–348.1
2044342.8329.9–349.8
2045343.4333.8–348.7
2046342.7330.2–348.7
2047343.2331.7–350.6
2048343.3332.7–350.6
2049343.2332.5–349.5
2050344.3332.6–349.9
2051344.4334.9–350.8
2052344.1333.5–350.9
2053344.3333.6–350.3
2054343.4332–349.9
2055344.3334.4–350.5
2056345334.6–352.6
2057345.5335.1–351.5
2058345.8334.3–351.3
2059345.5333.7–351.6
2060346.8335.5–353.5
2061345.9335–351.8
2062346335.2–353.5
2063346.6336.2–352.8
2064346.9335.3–353
2065346.1335.9–351.9
2066346.5335.4–352.4
2067346.1335.4–352
2068347.1335.1–354.1
2069347333.8–353.6
2070346.7336.1–352.7
2071347.6336.2–353.9
2072347334.4–353.8
2073348.4336.7–355
2074348.6337–354.9
2075347.9337.2–354
2076348.4337–355.1
2077348.7337–354.8
2078348.4338.2–354.7
2079348.8337.6–354.7
2080349.1338.4–355.9
2081348.8336.9–355.1
2082349.6338–354.9
2083349.9337.9–356.1
2084349.5336.7–356.4
2085349.1338.2–355.4
2086349.4337.5–354.9
2087349.7338.7–356
2088349.9338.9–356.1
2089350.2339.8–355.2
2090350.1339.7–355.9
2091349.5339.5–356.3
2092350.5339.3–356.1
2093350.4337.9–356.5
2094350.5338.4–355.9
2095350.5338.3–355.7
2096351.1339–358
2097350.2339.3–355.6
2098350.3337.4–355.2
2099350.6339.3–356.4
2100351.3340.2–356.3

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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