Days above 35 °C in South Sudan

Days above 35 °C in South Sudan: 86.7 days in 1950 and 115.2 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 115.2 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +28.5 days
Projected, 2100: 172 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 172 days in 2100, between 124.2 days and 217.9 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 115.2 days in 2014, the lowest 79.2 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	South Sudan
2014	115.2
2013	111.2
2012	108.8
2011	112.9
2010	112.8
2009	104.3
2008	104.2
2007	100.7
2006	105.3
2005	102.8
2004	103.4
2003	102.5
2002	104.6
2001	108.9
2000	99.1
1999	97.8
1998	97.6
1997	99.2
1996	94
1995	94
1994	89.9
1993	84.6
1992	87.9
1991	95.2
1990	94
1989	93.6
1988	98
1987	97.7
1986	97.9
1985	89.8
1984	90.8
1983	90.8
1982	89.3
1981	96.2
1980	97.5
1979	95.4
1978	89.1
1977	92.9
1976	86.7
1975	91.5
1974	90
1973	90.1
1972	89.8
1971	84.8
1970	87.8
1969	90.8
1968	85.5
1967	84.3
1966	87
1965	82.2
1964	79.2
1963	84.4
1962	93.5
1961	90.4
1960	92
1959	90.1
1958	88
1957	90.7
1956	85.5
1955	87.3
1954	91
1953	95.5
1952	88.7
1951	93.2
1950	86.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	South Sudan
2015	112.487.1–135.9
2016	103.878.8–129.9
2017	114.384.4–134.8
2018	109.674.1–140.7
2019	107.285.2–133.3
2020	114.783–140.8
2021	112.182.3–137.9
2022	108.880.6–137.3
2023	113.188.8–147.8
2024	121.591–149.4
2025	115.889.9–141.1
2026	112.283.6–145.9
2027	115.482.9–143.9
2028	118.387.9–145.1
2029	120.789.9–140.1
2030	117.292.5–147.7
2031	123.397.3–147.8
2032	118.791.5–148.1
2033	123.791.9–159.9
2034	120.889.9–159.1
2035	122.892.3–153.1
2036	118.790.7–147.5
2037	127.792.4–161
2038	129.5101.9–159.2
2039	128.394.6–153.1
2040	125.894.8–150.7
2041	133.899.2–157.8
2042	129.3101.8–150.8
2043	124.788.4–161.9
2044	12893.3–153.7
2045	134.398–166.7
2046	142.1102.3–172.2
2047	139.3111.2–169.4
2048	133.1102.8–175.4
2049	144106.7–173.4
2050	131.8102.7–175.9
2051	136.9103.8–181
2052	140.6107.1–170.7
2053	136.798.4–174.4
2054	143.499–172.9
2055	143.4108.5–177.2
2056	140.5106.1–187.1
2057	152.3116.4–191.2
2058	151.7101.9–183.5
2059	145.9103.5–182.1
2060	148.7106.5–190.2
2061	149.5111.4–191.8
2062	146.1106.4–194.6
2063	147.1109.1–180.2
2064	149.2109.2–185.1
2065	153.7122.4–192.3
2066	150.4119.4–190.7
2067	149.8119–196.2
2068	153.9118.8–193.6
2069	148.8111.4–191.2
2070	154.5117–195.8
2071	153.5117.6–200.4
2072	161.7122–189.2
2073	159.7124.4–198.7
2074	151.9106.9–200.6
2075	155.5106.6–190
2076	159.9116.3–216.8
2077	163.6123.7–216.5
2078	161.4123.3–199.6
2079	158.8127.9–190.6
2080	161.6116.1–198.3
2081	163.3126.3–208.9
2082	159.2127.6–200.5
2083	168129–211.4
2084	162.7120.4–199.8
2085	166.1126.3–209.4
2086	162.5122.2–208.7
2087	163.7110.7–202.2
2088	164.8122.3–214.2
2089	162.4126–199.8
2090	167120.8–211.8
2091	165.6119.3–210.6
2092	173.9126.9–217.6
2093	168.8131.2–208.4
2094	171.1131.9–222.8
2095	171.7128.2–224.7
2096	166.3122.8–214.1
2097	165.8123.7–214.6
2098	165.5125–217.9
2099	171126.6–227.6
2100	172124.2–217.9

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in South Sudan

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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