Sudan

Tropical nights in Sudan

Tropical nights in Sudan: 214.1 nights in 1950 and 242.4 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
242.4 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+28.3 nights
Projected, 2100
278.6 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in SudanTropical nights in Sudan: 214.1 nights in 1950 and 242.4 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 278.6 nights in 2100, between 259 nights and 294.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 278.6 nights in 2100, between 259 nights and 294.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 242.4 nights in 2014, the lowest 210.1 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearSudan
2014242.4
2013240
2012242
2011242.2
2010240.6
2009236.5
2008237.1
2007236
2006235.3
2005233.1
2004233.5
2003235.6
2002234.7
2001235.4
2000230.5
1999232.1
1998230.2
1997231.1
1996227.3
1995227.8
1994225.3
1993219.1
1992217.8
1991227.3
1990227.5
1989223
1988223.1
1987224.4
1986226.4
1985222.1
1984220.7
1983217
1982216.3
1981223.2
1980220
1979218.4
1978218.5
1977219.3
1976220.1
1975215.7
1974217.5
1973220
1972217.9
1971215.5
1970217
1969213.1
1968214
1967210.3
1966213.3
1965213.4
1964213.2
1963210.1
1962217
1961216.9
1960221.3
1959217.8
1958216.2
1957218.9
1956217.2
1955216.6
1954218.9
1953215.1
1952216.4
1951218.5
1950214.1
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearSudan
2015242.3225.3–258.3
2016241.4223.3–254.1
2017243.2223–259.1
2018242.3226.4–258.5
2019243.1221.7–260.4
2020244.9225.9–261.7
2021245.6229.1–261.5
2022249230.9–262.3
2023247.1226.8–263.1
2024251.5232.8–266.1
2025250.7232.4–265.6
2026250230.8–266.6
2027248.8228.4–265.6
2028249232.2–263.1
2029251.4232.1–266
2030252235.4–266.7
2031253.3234.4–268.9
2032250.4232.3–266.6
2033254.4235.3–269.4
2034254.2234.5–269.9
2035258.3240.2–273.6
2036252.8235.6–268.6
2037256.7238.6–271.8
2038258.7244.8–272.1
2039259.5241.2–272.5
2040256.4236.7–272.3
2041259.1241.2–274.5
2042258.7242–274.7
2043258.1240.3–272.6
2044257.3238.6–274.7
2045258.8243.1–276.2
2046261.1241.7–277.6
2047261.4244.6–278.4
2048260.4243.4–279.5
2049261.9242.6–275.9
2050263.5245.4–279
2051263.6246.6–278.8
2052263.8248.7–278.3
2053262.8242.4–279.2
2054266.3246.6–282.9
2055265.6245.9–281.4
2056264.1242.6–281.5
2057266.4247.6–283.4
2058265.2247.4–280.3
2059268.4249.6–285.4
2060263.6246.7–284.4
2061266.9250.1–281.9
2062266.4248.5–285
2063267.1246.9–283.4
2064269250.7–284.7
2065269.8253.9–285.6
2066271.4251.9–287.3
2067270.9250–288.4
2068271.9251.7–289.8
2069268251.1–286.2
2070269252.3–285.8
2071275.5254.1–290.4
2072273.3254.2–289.4
2073271.9250.7–287.6
2074270.9249–290.1
2075273.1254–291.9
2076272.7255.2–290.9
2077274.6255.2–292.7
2078274.3255.6–291.2
2079272255.2–288.5
2080276.6256–292.2
2081275.1254.1–294.8
2082272.9258.7–288.6
2083276.5258–291.7
2084275.4253–294.9
2085275.3258.6–291.6
2086276.4256.9–296.6
2087273.5253.1–293.3
2088273.6253.7–293.6
2089276.5256.6–293.4
2090276.6256.4–294.6
2091277.4256.4–296.6
2092274.6254.3–294.9
2093278261.9–292.1
2094280.3262.2–294
2095277.5262.6–294
2096279.7258.7–297
2097276.3254.1–297.6
2098277.7258.2–295.5
2099276.8257.2–296.2
2100278.6259–294.3

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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