Tropical nights in Turkmenistan

Tropical nights in Turkmenistan: 77.9 nights in 1950 and 93.3 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 93.3 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +15.5 nights
Projected, 2100: 123.4 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 123.4 nights in 2100, between 108.1 nights and 141.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 93.3 nights in 2014, the lowest 70.8 nights in 1983.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Turkmenistan
2014	93.3
2013	92.7
2012	91.5
2011	89.1
2010	87.4
2009	90.4
2008	88.7
2007	89.8
2006	91.4
2005	87.2
2004	88.6
2003	87.4
2002	90.3
2001	88.4
2000	85.4
1999	85.3
1998	86
1997	86.4
1996	82.9
1995	81.6
1994	79.9
1993	74.7
1992	75.9
1991	81.8
1990	81.2
1989	80.9
1988	80.8
1987	79.7
1986	76.9
1985	81.1
1984	77.2
1983	70.8
1982	79
1981	77.5
1980	76.7
1979	80.1
1978	77.1
1977	75.9
1976	74.7
1975	74.8
1974	73.6
1973	75.3
1972	75.6
1971	72.7
1970	74.2
1969	75.3
1968	73.2
1967	74.4
1966	74.6
1965	73.1
1964	75.4
1963	74.7
1962	76.9
1961	76.1
1960	73.2
1959	75.2
1958	81.9
1957	76.6
1956	77
1955	75.2
1954	79.1
1953	74
1952	77.1
1951	75.7
1950	77.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Turkmenistan
2015	93.981.5–108.7
2016	93.481.1–108.3
2017	95.280.7–105.1
2018	94.681.1–108.5
2019	96.183.3–108.3
2020	97.584.6–110.3
2021	98.487.5–108
2022	97.284.1–108.3
2023	10085.3–110.1
2024	100.185.6–111.4
2025	100.788.4–112.2
2026	98.887.1–111.2
2027	101.188.6–116
2028	100.189.1–111.8
2029	100.785.9–112.9
2030	101.390–111.1
2031	103.491.2–113.9
2032	104.991.4–116.6
2033	103.188.1–115.3
2034	101.286.4–115.9
2035	105.891.6–116.5
2036	104.292.7–118.2
2037	105.993.3–118.2
2038	106.495.2–117
2039	10289.8–112.2
2040	107.790–117.9
2041	106.893.1–117.7
2042	105.293–118.1
2043	105.890.5–116.6
2044	107.795–120.8
2045	108.191.8–119.5
2046	109.493.3–122.1
2047	108.994.6–122
2048	110.799.4–120.9
2049	108.897.1–120.8
2050	110.898.7–122.9
2051	109.997.7–119.6
2052	111.297.7–122.2
2053	110.598.2–121.7
2054	112.5100.2–123.3
2055	111.8100.8–123.7
2056	114101.6–125.2
2057	113.598.9–125.3
2058	111.999.1–124.1
2059	112.9100.1–123.1
2060	116.1102.3–128.1
2061	112.898.8–123.9
2062	115.4100.9–128.7
2063	115102.5–128.4
2064	111.299.7–125.6
2065	117102.7–130.4
2066	116.1103.6–127.8
2067	117.9101.2–132.6
2068	115.7104.8–126.9
2069	117.4103.3–132.4
2070	114102.7–127.9
2071	114.7102.5–127.8
2072	116.5100–131.3
2073	116.8102.9–132.7
2074	117.9105.4–130.7
2075	116.5103.6–130.2
2076	117.5100–132.4
2077	118.3101–132.2
2078	118.3102.7–132.7
2079	115.8103.3–131.5
2080	117.4103.8–133.7
2081	117.3103.4–130.7
2082	120.1106.1–131.6
2083	121.9106.8–134.7
2084	118.8102–134.2
2085	116.3104.3–136.1
2086	117.8104.4–134.2
2087	121.6107.7–135
2088	119.5103.8–136.4
2089	120.3105.1–135.4
2090	119.4104.3–138.7
2091	121.9104.2–138.7
2092	122.4106.6–135.9
2093	121.9104.5–134.7
2094	123.5107.7–140.4
2095	123.7106.6–135.4
2096	123110.5–139
2097	121.5105.9–137.1
2098	124.1108.5–138.7
2099	123.5110.4–137.4
2100	123.4108.1–141.6

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tropical nights in Turkmenistan

What the numbers say

Every year

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