Tuvalu

Temperature in Tuvalu

Temperature in Tuvalu: 26.9 °C in 1950 and 27.7 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
27.7 °C
Since 1950
+0.8 °C
Projected, 2100
29 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Temperature in TuvaluTemperature in Tuvalu: 26.9 °C in 1950 and 27.7 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 29 °C in 2100, between 28.4 °C and 29.6 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 29 °C in 2100, between 28.4 °C and 29.6 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 28.1 °C in 2024, the lowest 26.7 °C in 1965.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
202527.727.7
202428.127.8
202327.927.7
202227.527.8
202127.527.7
202027.727.6
201927.827.6
201827.727.6
201727.727.6
201627.827.6
201527.627.6
201427.627.4
201327.527.5
201227.427.5
201127.227.5
201027.527.5
200927.427.5
200827.127.4
200727.527.3
200627.427.4
200527.627.3
200427.427.4
200327.527.4
200227.527.4
200127.327.4
200027.227.3
199927.127.3
199827.227.2
199727.327.2
199627.227.1
199527.327.1
199427.327
199327.126.9
199227.126.9
199127.527.2
199027.327.3
198926.927.2
198827.227.1
19872727.1
198627.227
19852727
198426.827
198326.926.9
198227.227.1
198127.127.1
198027.227
197927.227
197827.127
197727.127
197626.827
197526.826.9
197426.927
19732727.1
197226.927
197126.827
197027.126.9
196927.126.9
19682726.9
196726.926.9
196627.126.9
196526.726.8
19642726.7
196327.226.8
196227.127
196126.827
196026.927
19592727
195827.126.9
19572727
195626.826.9
195526.926.9
19542727
19532727
19522727
195126.927
195026.927
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–27.827.3–28.3
2027–27.827.5–28.1
2028–27.927.6–28.3
2029–27.927.5–28.2
2030–27.827.4–28.2
2031–2827.6–28.3
2032–2827.6–28.3
2033–27.927.6–28.3
2034–2827.6–28.4
2035–2827.6–28.4
2036–27.927.6–28.3
2037–28.127.7–28.3
2038–28.127.9–28.4
2039–28.127.7–28.5
2040–2827.6–28.5
2041–28.127.8–28.5
2042–28.227.7–28.6
2043–28.127.8–28.6
2044–28.127.8–28.4
2045–28.227.8–28.6
2046–28.327.8–28.7
2047–28.227.8–28.8
2048–28.427.9–28.8
2049–28.428–28.7
2050–28.427.9–28.8
2051–28.327.9–28.9
2052–28.428–28.8
2053–28.427.9–28.9
2054–28.428–28.9
2055–28.428.1–29
2056–28.427.9–28.9
2057–28.528–29.1
2058–28.528–29.1
2059–28.528.1–29
2060–28.528.2–29.1
2061–28.628.1–29.1
2062–28.527.9–29.1
2063–28.528–29
2064–28.628.1–29.1
2065–28.528.1–29.1
2066–28.628.1–29
2067–28.628–29.3
2068–28.728.1–29.1
2069–28.728–29.1
2070–28.628.1–29.2
2071–28.828.2–29.2
2072–28.728.2–29.2
2073–28.728.3–29.3
2074–28.628.1–29.3
2075–28.728–29.2
2076–28.728.3–29.4
2077–28.728.2–29.3
2078–28.828.2–29.3
2079–28.828.1–29.4
2080–28.828.2–29.4
2081–28.728.3–29.3
2082–28.828.2–29.4
2083–28.928.2–29.4
2084–28.928.3–29.5
2085–28.928.1–29.6
2086–28.928.3–29.5
2087–28.828.1–29.4
2088–28.928.3–29.5
2089–2928.3–29.6
2090–28.928.4–29.6
2091–28.928.3–29.6
2092–28.928.3–29.5
2093–28.928.5–29.5
2094–28.928.4–29.6
2095–2928.3–29.5
2096–28.928.3–29.5
2097–28.928.2–29.4
2098–2928.3–29.6
2099–2928.3–29.6
2100–2928.4–29.6

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

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