Days above 35 °C in Venezuela

Days above 35 °C in Venezuela: 8.1 days in 1950 and 21.2 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 21.2 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +13.1 days
Projected, 2100: 77.5 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 77.5 days in 2100, between 41.9 days and 134.5 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 21.2 days in 2014, the lowest 7.7 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Venezuela
2014	21.2
2013	21.1
2012	20.6
2011	18.7
2010	19.6
2009	17.9
2008	19.1
2007	15.6
2006	15.6
2005	18.2
2004	19.7
2003	14.7
2002	15.3
2001	17.3
2000	15.1
1999	13.2
1998	15.5
1997	12.8
1996	12.7
1995	12
1994	9.9
1993	12.2
1992	8.6
1991	15.6
1990	15.7
1989	12.9
1988	10
1987	10.6
1986	12.8
1985	8.7
1984	12.6
1983	10.4
1982	13.5
1981	10.6
1980	9.6
1979	11.1
1978	10.4
1977	12.2
1976	9.7
1975	8.1
1974	10.3
1973	10.4
1972	9.5
1971	9.2
1970	8.8
1969	10.9
1968	7.9
1967	8.5
1966	10.9
1965	9.6
1964	7.7
1963	8.7
1962	9.7
1961	9.9
1960	11.3
1959	9.1
1958	12
1957	9.9
1956	8.2
1955	10.6
1954	11
1953	10.1
1952	11.6
1951	11
1950	8.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Venezuela
2015	21.76.8–36.1
2016	19.86.8–34.8
2017	23.69.7–38
2018	21.19.6–41.3
2019	20.310.5–39.8
2020	23.18.1–39.7
2021	25.214.2–43.3
2022	27.914.8–51
2023	24.28.7–43.5
2024	29.413.8–46.7
2025	2613.1–48.4
2026	26.78.9–52.4
2027	28.68.3–48.8
2028	29.614.3–51.1
2029	30.914.4–55.4
2030	29.712.5–49.1
2031	32.413.6–53.4
2032	32.617.3–54.7
2033	31.514.8–50.6
2034	27.88.6–60.7
2035	33.113.9–56.1
2036	29.817.4–49.2
2037	37.221.6–58.8
2038	37.722.7–60.7
2039	37.119.7–59
2040	35.114.9–64
2041	38.520.3–64.5
2042	36.517.1–70.4
2043	34.517.9–59.9
2044	35.815.1–68
2045	37.220.9–68.1
2046	44.824.7–67.9
2047	40.221.1–68.1
2048	42.623.7–81.1
2049	46.525.9–75.4
2050	4221.2–76.8
2051	47.324.3–81.6
2052	49.130–86.1
2053	44.825.4–75.7
2054	47.226.8–83.9
2055	50.729–90.6
2056	45.725.7–87.8
2057	53.423.8–85.9
2058	49.821.9–94.8
2059	60.231.6–99.9
2060	63.126.1–99.9
2061	54.327.1–96
2062	53.425.4–100.8
2063	56.135.9–100.3
2064	58.433.5–93.3
2065	56.633.7–97.7
2066	57.131.4–103.2
2067	51.826.2–106.5
2068	62.531.7–104.3
2069	60.726.6–103
2070	55.530.7–103.6
2071	59.134.4–102.8
2072	66.734.9–113.5
2073	65.840–107.6
2074	60.529.6–106
2075	60.633.7–99.6
2076	64.634.9–102.7
2077	67.433–111.3
2078	64.238.1–107.6
2079	6632.1–106.5
2080	67.534.2–111.3
2081	62.433.1–117.5
2082	62.732.7–109.8
2083	67.732.1–121
2084	71.933.4–123.2
2085	73.237.7–129.4
2086	69.433.3–123.8
2087	71.529.7–123.6
2088	76.639.6–132.5
2089	73.338.7–121.7
2090	69.235.3–126.6
2091	74.137.6–131.9
2092	78.936.4–133.2
2093	74.238–128.9
2094	75.137.5–130.2
2095	8136.7–136
2096	72.838–127.2
2097	7638.3–125
2098	7935.9–139.5
2099	75.638.5–125.6
2100	77.541.9–134.5

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Venezuela

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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