França vs. Portugal

França vs. Portugal: Temperatura

Temperatura em 2025: França, 12,3 °C; Portugal, 16,2 °C (observações: ERA5). Valor mais alto em 2025: Portugal, com diferença de 3,8 °C, ou 1,31 vezes o do outro país (França).

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°C · ERA5

França vs. Portugal: TemperaturaTemperatura em 2025: França, 12,3 °C; Portugal, 16,2 °C (observações: ERA5). Valor mais alto em 2025: Portugal, com diferença de 3,8 °C, ou 1,31 vezes o do outro país (França).
FrançaPortugalsimulação histórica CMIP6, mediana dos modelosmediana dos modelos CMIP6 (SSP2-4.5, caminho do meio)percentil 10–90 dos modelos

O que os números dizem

  • Mais alto em todos os anos com dados de ambos desde 1950: Portugal.
  • Cenário para 2100, segundo a mediana dos modelos CMIP6 (SSP2-4.5, caminho do meio): França, 13,7 °C; Portugal, 17,6 °C.

Ano a ano

°C · ERA5

AnoFrançaFrança: simulação histórica CMIP6, mediana dos modelosPortugalPortugal: simulação histórica CMIP6, mediana dos modelos
202512,312,116,216,2
202412,211,916,116
202312,811,916,316,1
20221312,316,416,1
202111,412,115,416
202012,61215,916
201912,21215,416,1
201812,411,915,115,9
201711,811,616,116
201611,611,915,616
201512,111,715,715,9
201412,311,515,315,6
201310,911,715,115,7
201211,311,414,915,5
201112,211,615,715,5
201010,411,615,315,5
200911,511,615,615,6
200811,111,614,815,5
200711,511,514,915,4
200611,811,615,715,5
200511,211,515,315,5
200411,211,415,215,6
20031211,415,515,5
200211,711,215,215,6
200111,311,315,215,5
200011,611,315,115,4
199911,511,11515,5
19981111,115,415,2
199711,7111615,1
199610,4111515,1
199511,410,916,215,1
199411,910,915,114,9
199310,610,614,214,9
199210,910,614,814,7
199110,51115,115,1
199011,61115,515,3
198911,71115,915,2
198811,110,814,915,1
198710,310,915,515,1
198610,310,514,514,7
19859,910,61514,8
198410,210,814,414,8
198310,910,614,714,8
198211,210,614,814,9
198110,610,715,314,9
19809,810,814,614,9
197910,110,614,414,9
197810,110,712,914,9
197710,610,414,114,8
197610,910,314,314,6
197510,510,614,114,9
197410,610,814,214,9
197310,310,614,414,6
19721010,513,614,8
197110,310,413,914,6
197010,410,314,514,7
196910,310,414,214,6
196810,410,414,814,6
196710,610,514,414,7
196610,810,514,814,6
19651010,414,614,5
196410,510,414,714,8
19639,510,614,514,8
19621010,614,814,8
196111,610,615,614,8
196010,710,514,614,6
195911,510,714,814,8
195810,710,614,614,8
195710,810,514,614,6
19569,510,713,514,8
195510,810,715,614,9
19549,910,514,414,7
195310,510,51514,7
195210,510,714,414,8
195110,310,614,314,7
195010,710,714,914,9
  • 12.3Projetado
mediana dos modelos CMIP6 (SSP2-4.5, caminho do meio) · 2026–2100
AnoFrançaFrança: simulação histórica CMIP6, mediana dos modelosPortugalPortugal: simulação histórica CMIP6, mediana dos modelos
2026–12,311,4–13,4–16,115,6–17
2027–12,211,6–13,3–16,515,7–17,1
2028–12,211,5–13,5–16,215,3–17,3
2029–12,211,4–13,1–16,215,2–17
2030–12,111,3–13–16,215,3–17
2031–12,111,3–13,2–16,215,5–16,9
2032–12,511,5–13,4–16,515,6–17,1
2033–12,311,3–13,3–16,315,7–17
2034–12,511,4–13,5–16,515,9–17,1
2035–12,411,4–13,5–16,415,5–17,1
2036–12,511,7–13,7–16,515,7–17,4
2037–12,411,5–13,2–16,515,8–17,2
2038–12,411,7–13,2–16,516–17,1
2039–12,411,5–13,2–16,515,8–17,2
2040–12,311,5–13,6–16,315,4–17,4
2041–12,311,7–13,3–16,515,8–17,2
2042–12,411,7–13,5–16,415,7–17,4
2043–12,511,3–13,7–16,615,5–17,4
2044–12,511,4–13,7–16,615,8–17,4
2045–12,612–13,5–16,716–17,2
2046–12,511,5–13,4–16,615,9–17,6
2047–12,811,7–13,5–16,716–17,6
2048–12,712,1–13,7–16,816–17,4
2049–12,611,9–14,2–16,916,1–17,9
2050–12,912,2–13,7–16,916–17,8
2051–12,811,5–13,9–16,715,7–17,7
2052–12,811,7–14–16,715,9–17,5
2053–12,911,7–13,8–16,916–17,8
2054–12,811,9–13,8–1716–17,7
2055–12,911,9–14–1716,1–17,6
2056–12,811,6–14,3–16,716–17,6
2057–12,911,8–14,3–1715,9–18
2058–13,112,3–14,4–17,116–18,2
2059–1311,8–14,1–16,916,2–18
2060–13,212,3–13,8–1716,6–17,8
2061–13,312,3–14,1–17,316,3–18,2
2062–13,212–14,2–17,315,8–18
2063–13,412,2–14,2–17,316,2–18
2064–12,812–13,9–16,916,2–18,1
2065–13,111,7–14,5–16,915,7–18,4
2066–13,112,1–14,4–17,216,2–18,1
2067–13,412–14,5–17,116,2–18,1
2068–13,212,4–14,6–1716,1–18,3
2069–13,512,3–14,5–17,416,2–18,2
2070–13,112,1–14,8–17,316,4–18,4
2071–13,312–14,7–17,316,3–18,1
2072–13,312,5–14,6–17,316,1–18,3
2073–13,312,4–14,5–17,516,5–18,5
2074–13,412,2–14,6–17,416,5–18,3
2075–1312,1–14,4–17,216,2–18
2076–13,312,2–14,9–17,316,4–18,4
2077–13,112–14,4–17,316,1–18,4
2078–13,212,3–15–17,116,3–18,5
2079–13,212,1–14,8–17,216,3–18,5
2080–13,312,4–14,7–17,316,5–18,4
2081–13,312,3–14,8–17,216,4–18,5
2082–13,412,3–14,8–17,316,5–18,4
2083–13,412,4–14,5–17,516,8–18,5
2084–13,512,4–14,5–17,416,7–18,4
2085–13,712,6–14,5–17,516,8–18,6
2086–13,612,4–14,9–17,616,6–18,8
2087–13,712,7–15,2–17,716,9–18,8
2088–13,812,6–15,3–17,716,9–19,1
2089–13,712,5–14,8–17,416,6–18,5
2090–13,912,6–14,9–17,716,8–18,7
2091–13,612,6–15–17,716,6–18,6
2092–13,612,5–14,8–17,516,6–18,6
2093–13,412,5–14,7–17,616,7–18,4
2094–13,512,4–15,2–17,416,3–18,8
2095–13,512,3–15,1–17,616,3–18,9
2096–13,912,2–15–17,916,2–18,7
2097–13,412,5–15,1–17,516,5–18,7
2098–13,812,5–14,9–17,816,4–18,6
2099–13,912,5–14,9–17,616,8–18,9
2100–13,712,5–14,9–17,616,7–18,9

Cada país separadamente

Bom saber

  • A temperatura média do ar junto ao solo, em todo o país e ao longo de todo o ano.
  • Fonte: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • Linha tracejada: mediana dos modelos CMIP6 (SSP2-4.5, caminho do meio), um cenário e não uma previsão; a faixa mostra o percentil 10–90 dos modelos.
  • Os valores de modelos climáticos são a mediana dos modelos CMIP6, rodados com as emissões passadas até 2014 e, depois, com o SSP2-4.5, uma trajetória intermediária: não são medições.
  • As posições consideram os 233 países com valor em 2025, do maior para o menor.

Como as camadas funcionam, de onde vêm os dados e o que elas não conseguem dizer: Os países ao longo do tempo

França vs. Portugal

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