玻利维亚与墨西哥：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：玻利维亚为 179.5 夜，墨西哥为 103.7 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年玻利维亚的数值较高，高出 75.8 夜，是墨西哥的 1.73 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

玻利维亚墨西哥CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，玻利维亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年玻利维亚为 210.8 夜，墨西哥为 142.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	玻利维亚	墨西哥
2014	179.5	103.7
2013	176.3	103.9
2012	177	102.8
2011	177.2	102.9
2010	176.7	101.5
2009	175.9	101.8
2008	174.1	100.1
2007	169	99.1
2006	169.8	99.8
2005	170.5	99.5
2004	175.5	99.4
2003	170.6	98.3
2002	173.3	99.1
2001	172.9	98.7
2000	169	97.9
1999	167.3	96.6
1998	170.7	95.8
1997	167.7	95.9
1996	163.3	93.8
1995	164.4	92.7
1994	162.7	90.7
1993	160.4	89
1992	155.4	88.5
1991	169.7	93.4
1990	172	94.9
1989	164.4	93
1988	161.5	92.1
1987	162.5	92
1986	163.8	90.2
1985	157.8	90
1984	159.8	88
1983	156.8	86.7
1982	164.2	88.7
1981	166.5	91.5
1980	162.2	90.1
1979	162.7	90.8
1978	161.1	89
1977	161	89
1976	160.1	89.1
1975	155.5	86.8
1974	160.5	87.9
1973	160.5	88.6
1972	158.8	87.7
1971	156.7	86.8
1970	155.1	86.1
1969	155.7	87.5
1968	155.9	87.1
1967	153.3	86.7
1966	156.7	86.4
1965	154.2	84.9
1964	150.7	84.7
1963	148.4	87.1
1962	157.9	88
1961	158.7	89.5
1960	160.3	89.7
1959	159	89.6
1958	157.5	89.1
1957	159.3	89
1956	154.5	88.5
1955	160.3	88.2
1954	159.7	88.4
1953	157.8	88.6
1952	159.1	87.8
1951	157.6	89.4
1950	158.6	88.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	玻利维亚	墨西哥
2015	177.7162.4–194.8	106.192.9–118.4
2016	177.1155.9–190.7	107.695–120
2017	179.6164.6–190.9	108.696.3–119.7
2018	177.8162.1–196.3	10997.1–120.4
2019	180.1164.5–199.9	110.396.4–123
2020	180.5162–200.6	109.696.8–121.8
2021	185.6169.2–197.3	111.296.9–124.1
2022	184.7165.7–200.5	109.796–121.7
2023	181.3166.6–196.7	111.898.6–125.3
2024	187.1168.2–202.1	112.298.2–126.2
2025	183.5168.8–195.7	11298.8–125.8
2026	182.5164.8–198.1	113.999.5–126.4
2027	182.7165–201.6	112.999.5–128.3
2028	186.3169.6–200.3	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	192.5175.6–205.4	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	185.5161.7–204.2	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	189.2166.2–205.3	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	189.7173.8–209.6	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	188.2167.7–204.1	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	188172.2–207.8	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	186.7169.1–206.1	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	190.5173.5–205.2	117.8105.1–131
2037	195.3181.4–208.5	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	189.2174.7–207.8	121107.5–133.4
2039	192.7175.7–205.5	121.3107–135.6
2040	192.3176.8–204.2	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	193.9179–209	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	191.3171.9–207.6	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	191.2174.4–209.9	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	194.5179.1–209.4	121.9108–135.6
2045	194.4180.2–209	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	194.8181.4–213	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	196.5181.4–213.3	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	200.2184.6–212.8	126.3113–140.3
2049	199.8181.3–214.4	127111.2–140.8
2050	196.3173.9–210.9	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	198.5184.2–213.3	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	200.6185.7–214.8	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	198182.1–211	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	195.9179.8–211	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	201.2187.1–215	129114.4–144.7
2056	201.3181.5–216.1	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	200.6184.3–214.4	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	200.8182.8–216.5	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	203.2186.1–215.8	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	203.4186.2–219.7	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	197.9184–216.3	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	201.4186.2–219.1	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	201.5184.9–217	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	200.5184.6–216.1	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	204.9187.3–218.4	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	203.3186.8–218.1	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	203.6187.7–215.6	133.3117–150.3
2068	204.4188–218	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	203.8184.5–219	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	205.1188.3–221.4	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	203186.9–214.6	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	206186.6–221.5	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	206.5193.2–220.7	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	204.5184.1–219.5	136119.7–152.2
2075	203.8185.8–217.9	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	206.5190.1–220.4	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	209.1185.4–221.4	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	208.1192.7–222.9	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	204.7186.2–218.6	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	208.7192.4–221.1	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	208.1190.7–221.1	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	208.2189.7–220.1	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	209.3192.8–222.6	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	208.2193.3–223.1	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	210.4194–225	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	210.4189.7–225.4	139.8121–157.8
2087	207.9193.8–222	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	210.3193.4–225.2	141121.8–159.9
2089	208.2191.3–222.9	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	209.7195.5–225.2	141.2123–160.7
2091	209.7192.5–227.1	141.8123–161.6
2092	209.8192.1–223.9	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	209.4195.7–222.1	141.4124.3–161
2094	208.9194.6–222.7	142123.3–159.6
2095	210.3191.2–225.3	143.5124–160.7
2096	211.6193.9–225	142.3125–161.3
2097	208.6189.8–220.3	141.2123.2–160
2098	211.7196.2–226.5	142.2122.5–162
2099	211.2195.3–224	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	210.8195.8–226.8	142.8124.3–160.8

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

玻利维亚与墨西哥对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数玻利维亚：2022 年为 2 人死亡墨西哥：2022 年为 14,210 人死亡