布基纳法索与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：布基纳法索为 306.2 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年布基纳法索的数值较高，高出 279.1 夜，是南非的 11 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

布基纳法索南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，布基纳法索的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年布基纳法索为 341.5 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	布基纳法索	南非
2014	306.2	27.1
2013	299.1	28.3
2012	307.8	27.9
2011	305	26.1
2010	303.3	26
2009	300.5	25.8
2008	301	24.8
2007	299.3	24.7
2006	298.1	25.5
2005	296.5	25.3
2004	294.5	25.8
2003	300.9	25.1
2002	297.7	25
2001	301.4	24.5
2000	295.9	23.3
1999	291.5	23
1998	290.8	23.4
1997	291.6	22.5
1996	287.9	20.4
1995	288.6	19.3
1994	285.2	20
1993	284.9	18.1
1992	283.1	18.1
1991	289.7	22.3
1990	292.7	22.7
1989	284.6	22
1988	284.4	21.2
1987	286.1	21.9
1986	289.8	21
1985	286.2	18.9
1984	284.2	20
1983	280.7	19
1982	284	20.3
1981	285.9	20
1980	282.6	21.2
1979	283.1	19.9
1978	283.8	19.8
1977	288.8	19.2
1976	280.6	19.2
1975	282.6	18.8
1974	280.3	19.7
1973	282.4	19.6
1972	280.9	19
1971	279.4	19.1
1970	283.1	18.6
1969	276.3	18.7
1968	279.9	17.8
1967	279.9	17.5
1966	276.7	17.8
1965	279.7	17.2
1964	277.3	14.9
1963	277.8	16.5
1962	283	19.6
1961	279.6	19.7
1960	284.1	19.8
1959	280.9	18.5
1958	279.2	19.3
1957	282.7	19.4
1956	281.5	18
1955	281.1	19.5
1954	283.2	18.4
1953	280.3	18.4
1952	277	19.3
1951	281.4	18.9
1950	276.6	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	布基纳法索	南非
2015	301.5278.6–322.3	28.620–39.5
2016	301.6278.8–316.1	26.817.8–37.9
2017	304.7279.1–320.9	28.919.6–37.8
2018	305.6287.7–324.5	29.620.6–40.6
2019	299.1275.1–327.4	29.820.8–41.5
2020	301.4280.4–326.7	29.518.9–39.1
2021	306.3286.3–324.6	31.121.4–42.9
2022	309.9284.7–326.3	3223.7–43.1
2023	303.9284.2–324.9	31.922.9–41.8
2024	314.6290.4–329.4	3324–45.6
2025	309.1286.3–326.7	31.920.7–44.5
2026	308.4284.8–333.8	34.521.9–46.9
2027	309.4290.1–329.6	34.423–47.7
2028	315.7291.3–332.1	33.522.9–46
2029	312.7293.8–332.6	36.226.5–48.3
2030	314.8294–329.7	36.124.9–49
2031	318.3294.9–335.1	36.324.5–50.3
2032	316.8288.4–334.4	36.424.5–49.2
2033	319.5291.6–336.9	36.924.5–48.3
2034	315290.8–331.4	37.626.4–51.8
2035	316.3295.4–337	37.625.2–49.5
2036	316.2292.5–340.3	3826.5–50.5
2037	320.9298–335.8	39.928.2–53.4
2038	321.6302.1–336.1	41.528.4–54.2
2039	316.9300.1–335.4	39.227–52.9
2040	320.6297.4–338.4	38.125.6–55.6
2041	319.7303.1–340.8	40.227.4–54.3
2042	319.4297.9–340.3	4229–56.4
2043	319.5297.3–335.6	42.128.2–58.4
2044	325.1301.2–341.9	41.929.5–57.8
2045	320.6300.1–341.4	42.728.2–59
2046	324.4302.8–338	44.130–59.5
2047	324304.1–344.8	44.630.7–61.2
2048	323.9307–341.3	4531.9–61.5
2049	330.1308–342.5	45.632.3–61.4
2050	326.2302.4–342.3	46.931–63.6
2051	325308.4–342.8	47.532–65
2052	323.3305.7–342.2	48.332.7–64.3
2053	326.1303.8–343.8	45.733.7–62.1
2054	329.9306.2–346.3	4833.3–64.3
2055	326.1306.7–341.6	46.833–68.4
2056	330.4305.8–346.1	47.933.2–64.8
2057	332.8310.2–349.5	50.232.6–68.9
2058	326.9308.7–346.1	47.934–66.4
2059	330.9312.9–352.1	51.333.1–66.9
2060	329.8309.1–348.3	51.936–69.9
2061	330.4308.6–349.7	50.534.8–71.3
2062	328.9306.7–344.4	50.532.7–71
2063	333.4307.6–347.8	50.434.3–69.7
2064	330.5311.7–352.2	5134.1–67.7
2065	331.3316.3–351.2	50.433.6–70.2
2066	331.6311.1–348.1	5335.7–72.4
2067	331.4306.8–349.9	50.634.8–70.4
2068	334.9313.7–353.8	54.837.8–72.5
2069	332.4314.1–345.4	54.339.1–73.4
2070	333.5312–349	54.337.2–73.3
2071	335.3312.3–348.8	55.837.9–76.9
2072	339.6318.4–350.6	5639.4–78.6
2073	333.6312.8–348	60.443.4–80.3
2074	332.2311.4–348.7	57.439.1–75.3
2075	333.1316.8–350.7	56.137.7–76
2076	336.1315.6–349.7	58.538.4–75.3
2077	339.7315.9–354.5	57.341–80.5
2078	338.9318.9–348.4	5639.5–79
2079	335.1319.3–350.6	57.639.3–78
2080	339.1316–355.1	59.540.3–80.9
2081	336.1310.9–352.7	5841.5–79.6
2082	336.1315.8–351.3	58.839.7–77.7
2083	337.4319.9–355.5	60.839.1–82.9
2084	336318.8–355.3	62.540.4–82.9
2085	339.7318.5–356.3	60.741.3–87.6
2086	338.9318.1–353.1	60.542.1–83.3
2087	338.2316.6–354.8	57.941–82.9
2088	336.6315.1–351.8	64.243.4–85.3
2089	335.9318.8–351.7	61.541.3–81.2
2090	337.9315.4–354.2	61.641.5–86.8
2091	338.3313.7–354.4	63.341.6–86.3
2092	337.5312.4–353.6	63.144.9–84.8
2093	341.4319.5–355.1	62.443.2–86.1
2094	340.2317–355.9	63.145.6–87.4
2095	338.6317.5–354.7	65.342.6–91.7
2096	337.1318.6–358.2	6142.7–90.1
2097	336.6312.6–351.9	58.841.2–84.6
2098	336.1315.6–354.2	65.143.8–89.8
2099	337.9322.1–353.7	64.345–87
2100	341.5313.9–356.9	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

布基纳法索与南非对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数布基纳法索：2022 年为 2,595 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡