南非
南非的热带夜
南非的热带夜：1950 年为 18.1 夜，2014 年为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。
- 最新值，2014 年
- 27.1 夜
- 模型值
- 自 1950 年以来
- +9.1 夜
- 预测值，2100 年
- 58.7 夜
- CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）
每年夜数 · CMIP6
数据解读
- 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年为 58.7 夜，介于 42 夜 至 88.2 夜 之间（模型第 10–90 百分位）。
- 最高为 2013 年的 28.3 夜，最低为 1964 年的 14.9 夜。
逐年数据
每年夜数 · CMIP6
| 年份 | 南非 |
|---|---|
| 2014 | 27.1 |
| 2013 | 28.3 |
| 2012 | 27.9 |
| 2011 | 26.1 |
| 2010 | 26 |
| 2009 | 25.8 |
| 2008 | 24.8 |
| 2007 | 24.7 |
| 2006 | 25.5 |
| 2005 | 25.3 |
| 2004 | 25.8 |
| 2003 | 25.1 |
| 2002 | 25 |
| 2001 | 24.5 |
| 2000 | 23.3 |
| 1999 | 23 |
| 1998 | 23.4 |
| 1997 | 22.5 |
| 1996 | 20.4 |
| 1995 | 19.3 |
| 1994 | 20 |
| 1993 | 18.1 |
| 1992 | 18.1 |
| 1991 | 22.3 |
| 1990 | 22.7 |
| 1989 | 22 |
| 1988 | 21.2 |
| 1987 | 21.9 |
| 1986 | 21 |
| 1985 | 18.9 |
| 1984 | 20 |
| 1983 | 19 |
| 1982 | 20.3 |
| 1981 | 20 |
| 1980 | 21.2 |
| 1979 | 19.9 |
| 1978 | 19.8 |
| 1977 | 19.2 |
| 1976 | 19.2 |
| 1975 | 18.8 |
| 1974 | 19.7 |
| 1973 | 19.6 |
| 1972 | 19 |
| 1971 | 19.1 |
| 1970 | 18.6 |
| 1969 | 18.7 |
| 1968 | 17.8 |
| 1967 | 17.5 |
| 1966 | 17.8 |
| 1965 | 17.2 |
| 1964 | 14.9 |
| 1963 | 16.5 |
| 1962 | 19.6 |
| 1961 | 19.7 |
| 1960 | 19.8 |
| 1959 | 18.5 |
| 1958 | 19.3 |
| 1957 | 19.4 |
| 1956 | 18 |
| 1955 | 19.5 |
| 1954 | 18.4 |
| 1953 | 18.4 |
| 1952 | 19.3 |
| 1951 | 18.9 |
| 1950 | 18.1 |
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100
| 年份 | 南非 |
|---|---|
| 2015 | 28.620–39.5 |
| 2016 | 26.817.8–37.9 |
| 2017 | 28.919.6–37.8 |
| 2018 | 29.620.6–40.6 |
| 2019 | 29.820.8–41.5 |
| 2020 | 29.518.9–39.1 |
| 2021 | 31.121.4–42.9 |
| 2022 | 3223.7–43.1 |
| 2023 | 31.922.9–41.8 |
| 2024 | 3324–45.6 |
| 2025 | 31.920.7–44.5 |
| 2026 | 34.521.9–46.9 |
| 2027 | 34.423–47.7 |
| 2028 | 33.522.9–46 |
| 2029 | 36.226.5–48.3 |
| 2030 | 36.124.9–49 |
| 2031 | 36.324.5–50.3 |
| 2032 | 36.424.5–49.2 |
| 2033 | 36.924.5–48.3 |
| 2034 | 37.626.4–51.8 |
| 2035 | 37.625.2–49.5 |
| 2036 | 3826.5–50.5 |
| 2037 | 39.928.2–53.4 |
| 2038 | 41.528.4–54.2 |
| 2039 | 39.227–52.9 |
| 2040 | 38.125.6–55.6 |
| 2041 | 40.227.4–54.3 |
| 2042 | 4229–56.4 |
| 2043 | 42.128.2–58.4 |
| 2044 | 41.929.5–57.8 |
| 2045 | 42.728.2–59 |
| 2046 | 44.130–59.5 |
| 2047 | 44.630.7–61.2 |
| 2048 | 4531.9–61.5 |
| 2049 | 45.632.3–61.4 |
| 2050 | 46.931–63.6 |
| 2051 | 47.532–65 |
| 2052 | 48.332.7–64.3 |
| 2053 | 45.733.7–62.1 |
| 2054 | 4833.3–64.3 |
| 2055 | 46.833–68.4 |
| 2056 | 47.933.2–64.8 |
| 2057 | 50.232.6–68.9 |
| 2058 | 47.934–66.4 |
| 2059 | 51.333.1–66.9 |
| 2060 | 51.936–69.9 |
| 2061 | 50.534.8–71.3 |
| 2062 | 50.532.7–71 |
| 2063 | 50.434.3–69.7 |
| 2064 | 5134.1–67.7 |
| 2065 | 50.433.6–70.2 |
| 2066 | 5335.7–72.4 |
| 2067 | 50.634.8–70.4 |
| 2068 | 54.837.8–72.5 |
| 2069 | 54.339.1–73.4 |
| 2070 | 54.337.2–73.3 |
| 2071 | 55.837.9–76.9 |
| 2072 | 5639.4–78.6 |
| 2073 | 60.443.4–80.3 |
| 2074 | 57.439.1–75.3 |
| 2075 | 56.137.7–76 |
| 2076 | 58.538.4–75.3 |
| 2077 | 57.341–80.5 |
| 2078 | 5639.5–79 |
| 2079 | 57.639.3–78 |
| 2080 | 59.540.3–80.9 |
| 2081 | 5841.5–79.6 |
| 2082 | 58.839.7–77.7 |
| 2083 | 60.839.1–82.9 |
| 2084 | 62.540.4–82.9 |
| 2085 | 60.741.3–87.6 |
| 2086 | 60.542.1–83.3 |
| 2087 | 57.941–82.9 |
| 2088 | 64.243.4–85.3 |
| 2089 | 61.541.3–81.2 |
| 2090 | 61.641.5–86.8 |
| 2091 | 63.341.6–86.3 |
| 2092 | 63.144.9–84.8 |
| 2093 | 62.443.2–86.1 |
| 2094 | 63.145.6–87.4 |
| 2095 | 65.342.6–91.7 |
| 2096 | 6142.7–90.1 |
| 2097 | 58.841.2–84.6 |
| 2098 | 65.143.8–89.8 |
| 2099 | 64.345–87 |
| 2100 | 58.742–88.2 |
须知
- 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
- 来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
- 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
- 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。
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