孟加拉国与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：孟加拉国为 239.9 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年孟加拉国的数值较高，高出 212.8 夜，是南非的 8.85 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

孟加拉国南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，孟加拉国的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年孟加拉国为 269.8 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	孟加拉国	南非
2014	239.9	27.1
2013	239	28.3
2012	240.4	27.9
2011	240.5	26.1
2010	241	26
2009	238.6	25.8
2008	236.7	24.8
2007	236.9	24.7
2006	238.9	25.5
2005	238.2	25.3
2004	238.7	25.8
2003	236.5	25.1
2002	237.6	25
2001	237.2	24.5
2000	239.3	23.3
1999	236.6	23
1998	235.5	23.4
1997	235.5	22.5
1996	235.5	20.4
1995	234.8	19.3
1994	233.6	20
1993	232.2	18.1
1992	228	18.1
1991	233.4	22.3
1990	234.6	22.7
1989	235.7	22
1988	235.1	21.2
1987	236.4	21.9
1986	233.8	21
1985	233.6	18.9
1984	236	20
1983	230	19
1982	232.3	20.3
1981	235.9	20
1980	233.4	21.2
1979	234.5	19.9
1978	231.8	19.8
1977	232.3	19.2
1976	232	19.2
1975	231.3	18.8
1974	232.9	19.7
1973	232.1	19.6
1972	234.3	19
1971	233.1	19.1
1970	232.5	18.6
1969	231.1	18.7
1968	229.7	17.8
1967	231.6	17.5
1966	232.6	17.8
1965	232.5	17.2
1964	229.3	14.9
1963	233.8	16.5
1962	231.9	19.6
1961	236.2	19.7
1960	232.5	19.8
1959	234.7	18.5
1958	233.5	19.3
1957	232.5	19.4
1956	234.3	18
1955	230.2	19.5
1954	232.9	18.4
1953	234	18.4
1952	230.3	19.3
1951	233.5	18.9
1950	233.9	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	孟加拉国	南非
2015	241.2227–252.4	28.620–39.5
2016	237.9226.6–249.3	26.817.8–37.9
2017	239.8227.5–249.4	28.919.6–37.8
2018	242.6227–255	29.620.6–40.6
2019	241.2228.5–251.9	29.820.8–41.5
2020	242.6229.3–254.4	29.518.9–39.1
2021	244.3230.4–254.4	31.121.4–42.9
2022	243.8231.5–254.2	3223.7–43.1
2023	243.5229.2–254.5	31.922.9–41.8
2024	245.7231.4–257.1	3324–45.6
2025	242.5229.4–253.9	31.920.7–44.5
2026	243.9227.9–258.1	34.521.9–46.9
2027	247.1232.8–259.3	34.423–47.7
2028	244.2232.2–254.4	33.522.9–46
2029	247.3232.7–261.5	36.226.5–48.3
2030	243.9232.3–255.2	36.124.9–49
2031	245.1232.9–262.3	36.324.5–50.3
2032	247.6236.6–257.8	36.424.5–49.2
2033	245.3231.7–256.6	36.924.5–48.3
2034	246.3233.2–260.4	37.626.4–51.8
2035	246.4234.1–260.9	37.625.2–49.5
2036	246.2228.6–260.4	3826.5–50.5
2037	247.7235.4–260.2	39.928.2–53.4
2038	249232.1–261	41.528.4–54.2
2039	250234.4–262.7	39.227–52.9
2040	248.9235.5–260.5	38.125.6–55.6
2041	248.3235.6–261.9	40.227.4–54.3
2042	252.5237.8–265.3	4229–56.4
2043	250.8234.7–263.4	42.128.2–58.4
2044	251.8239.1–265.2	41.929.5–57.8
2045	250.3239.1–265.6	42.728.2–59
2046	252.7238.9–267.8	44.130–59.5
2047	253.9239.4–267.1	44.630.7–61.2
2048	254.4242.7–270.5	4531.9–61.5
2049	253.7241.5–266.4	45.632.3–61.4
2050	254.6242.5–269.2	46.931–63.6
2051	254.7242.7–270.1	47.532–65
2052	252.3240.2–264.6	48.332.7–64.3
2053	256.9244–272.4	45.733.7–62.1
2054	255.9243.5–269.4	4833.3–64.3
2055	255.2243.8–273.6	46.833–68.4
2056	259.1243.6–274.7	47.933.2–64.8
2057	257.5243.8–273.7	50.232.6–68.9
2058	257.4245.6–274.2	47.934–66.4
2059	258.3246.4–271.8	51.333.1–66.9
2060	259.2246.1–272.6	51.936–69.9
2061	257.7244.8–270.1	50.534.8–71.3
2062	260.4246.4–274.2	50.532.7–71
2063	259.9241.3–272.7	50.434.3–69.7
2064	260.2245.9–273.1	5134.1–67.7
2065	259.8244.1–274.7	50.433.6–70.2
2066	260246.6–274.6	5335.7–72.4
2067	261.4246.4–272.3	50.634.8–70.4
2068	260.1245.8–274.8	54.837.8–72.5
2069	263.3249.8–276.6	54.339.1–73.4
2070	259.6245.8–272.6	54.337.2–73.3
2071	262.2248.7–283.4	55.837.9–76.9
2072	259.8248.6–276	5639.4–78.6
2073	264.1246.6–277.2	60.443.4–80.3
2074	262.6248.3–276.6	57.439.1–75.3
2075	263.6248.5–277.7	56.137.7–76
2076	261.6251–276.9	58.538.4–75.3
2077	264251.1–279.8	57.341–80.5
2078	265251.6–281.6	5639.5–79
2079	263.8248.5–277.2	57.639.3–78
2080	266.8251.9–280.3	59.540.3–80.9
2081	266.5250.7–279.9	5841.5–79.6
2082	264249.6–277.3	58.839.7–77.7
2083	266.6251.8–282.8	60.839.1–82.9
2084	264.8253.1–284.2	62.540.4–82.9
2085	265.4251.2–283.4	60.741.3–87.6
2086	268.2252.8–285.3	60.542.1–83.3
2087	265.7251.3–280.8	57.941–82.9
2088	267.2252.6–284.4	64.243.4–85.3
2089	267.1252.5–286.7	61.541.3–81.2
2090	267.9254.9–283.4	61.641.5–86.8
2091	267.7254.5–282.2	63.341.6–86.3
2092	268.8253.6–281.7	63.144.9–84.8
2093	268.1251.7–287	62.443.2–86.1
2094	267.4251.3–287.4	63.145.6–87.4
2095	270.8253.7–284.9	65.342.6–91.7
2096	267.9250.5–285.8	6142.7–90.1
2097	269.3254.9–287.3	58.841.2–84.6
2098	268.8252.4–284.9	65.143.8–89.8
2099	269253–282.3	64.345–87
2100	269.8254.8–284.9	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突死亡人数孟加拉国：2022 年为 2 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡