乍得与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：乍得为 237.6 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年乍得的数值较高，高出 210.5 夜，是南非的 8.76 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

乍得南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，乍得的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年乍得为 273.4 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	乍得	南非
2014	237.6	27.1
2013	231.8	28.3
2012	237.9	27.9
2011	236.2	26.1
2010	234.8	26
2009	231.5	25.8
2008	230.8	24.8
2007	229.6	24.7
2006	229.5	25.5
2005	228.8	25.3
2004	228	25.8
2003	230.9	25.1
2002	229.8	25
2001	230.2	24.5
2000	226.4	23.3
1999	225.1	23
1998	222.9	23.4
1997	226.3	22.5
1996	222.4	20.4
1995	222.3	19.3
1994	221.4	20
1993	215.6	18.1
1992	214.4	18.1
1991	223	22.3
1990	222.8	22.7
1989	220	22
1988	219.9	21.2
1987	218.4	21.9
1986	222.6	21
1985	218	18.9
1984	216.1	20
1983	213.7	19
1982	214.8	20.3
1981	218.1	20
1980	215	21.2
1979	214.5	19.9
1978	216	19.8
1977	216.2	19.2
1976	215.7	19.2
1975	212.2	18.8
1974	213.8	19.7
1973	216.9	19.6
1972	215.2	19
1971	212.6	19.1
1970	214.3	18.6
1969	210.3	18.7
1968	212.8	17.8
1967	209.1	17.5
1966	210.8	17.8
1965	210.3	17.2
1964	210.6	14.9
1963	207.5	16.5
1962	214.7	19.6
1961	212.3	19.7
1960	217.3	19.8
1959	212.5	18.5
1958	213.8	19.3
1957	214	19.4
1956	213.4	18
1955	213.8	19.5
1954	214.3	18.4
1953	211.3	18.4
1952	213.1	19.3
1951	213.8	18.9
1950	213.1	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	乍得	南非
2015	235.8215.6–253.1	28.620–39.5
2016	233.3212.8–247.7	26.817.8–37.9
2017	237.6218.6–253.1	28.919.6–37.8
2018	235.8217.8–254.4	29.620.6–40.6
2019	235.2213.3–255.6	29.820.8–41.5
2020	237217.1–255	29.518.9–39.1
2021	239.6220–258.2	31.121.4–42.9
2022	240.4223.1–258.2	3223.7–43.1
2023	239.1216.7–256.4	31.922.9–41.8
2024	246.7227.6–261.2	3324–45.6
2025	243.2223.9–259.4	31.920.7–44.5
2026	242.9220.8–260.9	34.521.9–46.9
2027	242.3221.2–258.6	34.423–47.7
2028	242.7225.4–259.7	33.522.9–46
2029	246.3227.2–264.1	36.226.5–48.3
2030	244.7225.8–261.1	36.124.9–49
2031	246.8224.7–264.8	36.324.5–50.3
2032	244.3226.5–260.2	36.424.5–49.2
2033	247.6228.7–266.1	36.924.5–48.3
2034	247.8224.9–263.9	37.626.4–51.8
2035	250.9230.3–268.9	37.625.2–49.5
2036	246.7226.3–264.1	3826.5–50.5
2037	249.9230.3–266.2	39.928.2–53.4
2038	252.4233.4–268.7	41.528.4–54.2
2039	250230.8–267.5	39.227–52.9
2040	248.9227–266.8	38.125.6–55.6
2041	252230–270.9	40.227.4–54.3
2042	250.4232–271.8	4229–56.4
2043	251.1232–265.5	42.128.2–58.4
2044	251.4230.2–271.3	41.929.5–57.8
2045	252.3230.8–270.2	42.728.2–59
2046	253.6231.9–272.3	44.130–59.5
2047	254.6236.7–274.4	44.630.7–61.2
2048	254.4236.6–273.6	4531.9–61.5
2049	256235.4–272	45.632.3–61.4
2050	255.9234.4–276.1	46.931–63.6
2051	256.1237.8–275.9	47.532–65
2052	258.3237.1–273.9	48.332.7–64.3
2053	255.9234.9–275	45.733.7–62.1
2054	260.6233–279.6	4833.3–64.3
2055	259.9239.1–276.6	46.833–68.4
2056	259.4233.3–279	47.933.2–64.8
2057	262.5240.8–278.4	50.232.6–68.9
2058	259.3239.2–275.5	47.934–66.4
2059	263.7240.5–282.9	51.333.1–66.9
2060	259.3239.3–280	51.936–69.9
2061	261.1240.7–281.2	50.534.8–71.3
2062	261.4238.1–281.4	50.532.7–71
2063	263.4239.6–278.6	50.434.3–69.7
2064	263.9244.3–283.2	5134.1–67.7
2065	263.7247.7–283.1	50.433.6–70.2
2066	265.2245.7–285.6	5335.7–72.4
2067	262.5242.8–283.8	50.634.8–70.4
2068	266.8241.4–286.3	54.837.8–72.5
2069	262.7242.8–283.1	54.339.1–73.4
2070	264.9243.5–284.9	54.337.2–73.3
2071	267.9248.5–286	55.837.9–76.9
2072	269.2246.8–285.6	5639.4–78.6
2073	263.7241.6–284.2	60.443.4–80.3
2074	264239.7–285.1	57.439.1–75.3
2075	266.5246.7–287	56.137.7–76
2076	267.8245.8–285.7	58.538.4–75.3
2077	269.5247.1–290.8	57.341–80.5
2078	268.6247.9–286.4	5639.5–79
2079	266.4247.9–286.3	57.639.3–78
2080	269.4249.6–289.4	59.540.3–80.9
2081	267.4247.1–291.8	5841.5–79.6
2082	266.7249.2–286.8	58.839.7–77.7
2083	269.8248.9–287.6	60.839.1–82.9
2084	268.4243.4–289.7	62.540.4–82.9
2085	270.8251.2–287.4	60.741.3–87.6
2086	270.6249.6–291.5	60.542.1–83.3
2087	266.3246.2–289.2	57.941–82.9
2088	269.2245.6–290.7	64.243.4–85.3
2089	270.4251.1–289	61.541.3–81.2
2090	270.9245.5–291.1	61.641.5–86.8
2091	271.3246.1–293.5	63.341.6–86.3
2092	270.6248.3–291.9	63.144.9–84.8
2093	272.4254.3–289.2	62.443.2–86.1
2094	274254.8–290.2	63.145.6–87.4
2095	273.5251.8–291.6	65.342.6–91.7
2096	273.9252.1–292.5	6142.7–90.1
2097	270.8246–292.1	58.841.2–84.6
2098	271.1248.3–290.6	65.143.8–89.8
2099	271.8250.5–291.1	64.345–87
2100	273.4254–291.9	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

乍得与南非对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数乍得：2022 年为 85 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡