厄瓜多尔与委内瑞拉：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：厄瓜多尔为 192 夜，委内瑞拉为 301.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年委内瑞拉的数值较高，高出 109.6 夜，是厄瓜多尔的 1.57 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

厄瓜多尔委内瑞拉CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，委内瑞拉的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年厄瓜多尔为 223.3 夜，委内瑞拉为 345 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	厄瓜多尔	委内瑞拉
2014	192	301.6
2013	192.7	302
2012	195.6	303.7
2011	193.5	301.3
2010	191.9	300.3
2009	190.7	300
2008	190.2	298.4
2007	188.3	296.4
2006	186	296.8
2005	187.4	296.8
2004	190	299.4
2003	188.3	295.2
2002	187.2	296.3
2001	189	298.7
2000	185.3	292.3
1999	181.4	291.6
1998	182.7	291.4
1997	182.4	290.5
1996	176.2	286.8
1995	174.9	285.4
1994	175.8	282.3
1993	170.8	279.5
1992	166.2	274.7
1991	179.8	289.7
1990	184.5	291.4
1989	178.8	283.8
1988	173.9	284.2
1987	177.8	284.2
1986	177.2	284.4
1985	172	278.3
1984	172.1	279.8
1983	166.8	274.3
1982	170.8	280.8
1981	177.4	283.4
1980	173.2	280.5
1979	172.1	281.1
1978	172.3	278.7
1977	172	281.2
1976	170	276.6
1975	163.9	272.3
1974	169.4	277.7
1973	173.3	278.9
1972	169.5	275.9
1971	167.5	276.5
1970	169.8	275.6
1969	167.4	275.6
1968	168.5	273.2
1967	159.5	271.5
1966	162.2	273.1
1965	163.3	272.1
1964	161.2	270.3
1963	151.1	268.9
1962	168.6	276.8
1961	169.5	278.6
1960	172.4	279.9
1959	167.3	276.1
1958	170.7	280.9
1957	171.4	277.6
1956	164	275.1
1955	169	277.7
1954	169.5	277.5
1953	169.6	277.3
1952	170.3	278.4
1951	171.7	277.5
1950	169.5	275.8

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	厄瓜多尔	委内瑞拉
2015	193.3172.3–205.7	306.4280.3–320.1
2016	192.7172.2–203.6	303.9282.3–316.9
2017	195.3178.7–206.8	308.5288.7–319.9
2018	194.8178–206.5	307.6289.9–320.7
2019	193.3173.9–207.6	306.7288.7–321.7
2020	196.2179.1–208	310.2287.9–323.6
2021	198.7183.8–209	311.3295.3–324.1
2022	200.5181.4–209.9	314.4295–326.3
2023	198.3180.6–210.1	311.5294.4–326.5
2024	201.5181.4–210.7	316298.2–327.4
2025	199.9180–212	313.8294.2–329.5
2026	200.2180.5–211.7	314290.3–329.4
2027	199.8181.7–210.8	315.6292.6–328.8
2028	203.4187–212.4	317.7296.4–332.1
2029	204.6189.9–213	319.3296.9–332
2030	200.4183–212.8	317.7295–328.5
2031	204.9187.3–214.1	320.1295.9–331.8
2032	205.8191.8–216.5	321.4304.7–335
2033	203.3184.3–213.1	320.6301.8–331.2
2034	203.3189.6–218.3	318.1298.1–335
2035	204.3187.8–214.4	319.3302.3–335.9
2036	204.8189.9–214.6	320.5305.3–332.3
2037	207.9195.6–216.5	324.1307.2–334.1
2038	208.5195.8–216.1	325.8309.6–336.2
2039	206.5190.8–217.1	324.3307.9–335.8
2040	208.7193.7–219.1	323.5307.5–338.7
2041	208.8194.8–218.1	325.3309.6–336.6
2042	208.6192.5–219.7	324.8305.5–341.2
2043	207.2192.5–217.3	324.2307.1–337.7
2044	207190.4–220.2	324.1306.3–339.8
2045	209.7196–219	327.5309.7–338.6
2046	213.1196.1–221.1	329.6310.8–340.5
2047	211.9198.3–219.3	329.5313.9–341.5
2048	214.1200.7–222.9	331.2313.7–342.8
2049	212.8200–221	332.3314.9–340.5
2050	211.6197.6–222.2	330.9311.8–343.6
2051	213.8197.8–221.4	330.7310.1–344
2052	213.3202.2–222.7	332.4316.6–343.5
2053	212.5198.8–221.7	330.6312.7–343.6
2054	213.5201–224.3	331.9313.8–344.6
2055	213.9203–224.9	333317–345.8
2056	215.6199.8–223.9	332.7313.1–347.7
2057	214.5198.6–224	334.2315.2–345.3
2058	215.1199.9–225.9	333.5314.3–346.2
2059	217.2200.1–225.2	335.6317.1–348.3
2060	217.1204.7–226.8	337.4319.4–349
2061	215.6201.9–225.8	335.3317.3–347.2
2062	216.8201.4–226.9	335.9315–348.4
2063	217202.6–226.3	338317.5–347.9
2064	216.7203–225	336.3319.9–347.5
2065	217.7204.7–227	336.8319.9–349
2066	217.2205.6–227.3	337.9320.9–349.1
2067	217.4201.5–226.7	337.5317.9–348.2
2068	218.9203.9–228.3	339.3317.4–349.4
2069	216.8201.7–228	336.5318.1–349
2070	216.8204.3–228.3	336.4319.5–349.1
2071	219.5205.5–228.7	338.9319.1–349.1
2072	220208.3–229	340321.8–350.6
2073	219.5208.1–230.7	340.3322.9–351.4
2074	218.4202.8–228	338.9319.1–349.5
2075	218.8203.6–227.8	339.5318.1–349.2
2076	220.7207.7–229.9	339.8322.6–350.2
2077	220.7206.9–230.5	340.3322.1–351
2078	220207.5–231	340.2323–351
2079	220.4205.4–229.2	340.1320.9–351.4
2080	220.2204.8–230.7	341.4320.2–351.6
2081	220.2205.5–230.9	340.7322.5–351.3
2082	220.1207.8–229.2	341.6323.9–350.1
2083	221.5208.5–232.9	341.7323.3–353
2084	222.3207.1–232.6	343.3321.3–352.4
2085	222.4208.4–234.3	344.7322.8–353.5
2086	219.9207.1–232.4	341.4322.6–352.2
2087	220.9206.1–231.9	342.5322.4–352.2
2088	221.7206.1–234.8	342.9322.8–353.6
2089	221.3206.9–232.8	342.3324.8–353.1
2090	221.6208.8–234.3	341.9325.2–352.9
2091	223.8207.5–233.5	344.3323.4–353.3
2092	222.7209.7–234.9	344.3324.9–354.2
2093	221.7208.7–235.5	343324.8–353.6
2094	223209.9–234.4	343.9326.6–352.8
2095	223.9209.9–235.4	345.4325.4–354.5
2096	221.9209.7–237.3	343.7326–355.2
2097	221.6208.4–232.3	343.5324.6–351.9
2098	222.1210.2–238.2	344.5326.1–354.4
2099	222.2207.1–234.4	344.6324.8–353.8
2100	223.3209.1–235.3	345328.4–353.9

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

厄瓜多尔与委内瑞拉对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数厄瓜多尔：2022 年为 91 人死亡委内瑞拉：2022 年为 2 人死亡