斯威士兰与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：斯威士兰为 54 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年斯威士兰的数值较高，高出 26.9 夜，是南非的 1.99 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

斯威士兰南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，斯威士兰的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年斯威士兰为 106.1 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	斯威士兰	南非
2014	54	27.1
2013	55.5	28.3
2012	53.2	27.9
2011	55	26.1
2010	55.6	26
2009	50.4	25.8
2008	49.9	24.8
2007	50.5	24.7
2006	52.5	25.5
2005	52.2	25.3
2004	50.4	25.8
2003	52.3	25.1
2002	51.4	25
2001	52.1	24.5
2000	48.2	23.3
1999	49.3	23
1998	46.2	23.4
1997	47.1	22.5
1996	42.3	20.4
1995	45.7	19.3
1994	44	20
1993	41.3	18.1
1992	40.5	18.1
1991	47.2	22.3
1990	48.1	22.7
1989	44.2	22
1988	48.7	21.2
1987	46.1	21.9
1986	44.3	21
1985	43	18.9
1984	43.2	20
1983	41.8	19
1982	42.7	20.3
1981	42.2	20
1980	45.6	21.2
1979	42.9	19.9
1978	43.2	19.8
1977	43.3	19.2
1976	39.5	19.2
1975	41.2	18.8
1974	42.9	19.7
1973	43.3	19.6
1972	42.8	19
1971	41.5	19.1
1970	42.3	18.6
1969	40.5	18.7
1968	39.7	17.8
1967	39.9	17.5
1966	40.3	17.8
1965	38.9	17.2
1964	36.2	14.9
1963	38.7	16.5
1962	44.2	19.6
1961	42	19.7
1960	44.4	19.8
1959	41.8	18.5
1958	43.3	19.3
1957	39.1	19.4
1956	39.5	18
1955	40.7	19.5
1954	41.4	18.4
1953	42.1	18.4
1952	41.1	19.3
1951	40	18.9
1950	39.6	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	斯威士兰	南非
2015	5746.8–73.7	28.620–39.5
2016	53.542.4–71.5	26.817.8–37.9
2017	5742.9–67.6	28.919.6–37.8
2018	56.545–73	29.620.6–40.6
2019	57.749–79.4	29.820.8–41.5
2020	56.344–73	29.518.9–39.1
2021	61.543.6–78.3	31.121.4–42.9
2022	62.450.4–75.2	3223.7–43.1
2023	62.750.2–74.9	31.922.9–41.8
2024	64.850.5–82.9	3324–45.6
2025	64.450.1–79.4	31.920.7–44.5
2026	65.145.2–85.1	34.521.9–46.9
2027	63.948.7–85.2	34.423–47.7
2028	64.448.8–77.9	33.522.9–46
2029	69.456.2–88.9	36.226.5–48.3
2030	67.652.7–79.4	36.124.9–49
2031	72.559–88	36.324.5–50.3
2032	71.852.9–92.1	36.424.5–49.2
2033	66.751.3–86	36.924.5–48.3
2034	67.954.1–84.9	37.626.4–51.8
2035	69.755.6–89.6	37.625.2–49.5
2036	70.553.2–86.7	3826.5–50.5
2037	72.758.2–89	39.928.2–53.4
2038	77.361.6–93.4	41.528.4–54.2
2039	72.858–93.8	39.227–52.9
2040	76.356.3–91.3	38.125.6–55.6
2041	74.957.5–94.7	40.227.4–54.3
2042	78.159.8–98.8	4229–56.4
2043	78.259–95.1	42.128.2–58.4
2044	78.560–99.8	41.929.5–57.8
2045	76.461.4–96.7	42.728.2–59
2046	8260.8–105.9	44.130–59.5
2047	80.566.2–104.7	44.630.7–61.2
2048	79.766.9–105.8	4531.9–61.5
2049	81.961.9–104.5	45.632.3–61.4
2050	85.764.4–105.1	46.931–63.6
2051	86.967.2–105.2	47.532–65
2052	88.565.6–106.4	48.332.7–64.3
2053	84.965.5–107.8	45.733.7–62.1
2054	8265.3–107.3	4833.3–64.3
2055	8665.2–111.3	46.833–68.4
2056	88.769.2–108.8	47.933.2–64.8
2057	90.467–110.4	50.232.6–68.9
2058	85.668.9–110.5	47.934–66.4
2059	91.868.4–111.2	51.333.1–66.9
2060	88.669–112.9	51.936–69.9
2061	9169.1–111.7	50.534.8–71.3
2062	87.465.5–112.9	50.532.7–71
2063	89.670.7–118.3	50.434.3–69.7
2064	91.866.8–111.7	5134.1–67.7
2065	94.368–116.5	50.433.6–70.2
2066	94.771.4–118.3	5335.7–72.4
2067	88.863.9–116.4	50.634.8–70.4
2068	96.277.2–119.6	54.837.8–72.5
2069	94.972–118.1	54.339.1–73.4
2070	93.269.9–120	54.337.2–73.3
2071	98.673.3–123.2	55.837.9–76.9
2072	9777.5–122.4	5639.4–78.6
2073	99.176.7–123.7	60.443.4–80.3
2074	96.674.7–123	57.439.1–75.3
2075	98.472.8–123.5	56.137.7–76
2076	100.872.6–120.7	58.538.4–75.3
2077	96.774–122.8	57.341–80.5
2078	96.174.1–129.4	5639.5–79
2079	90.871.2–124.3	57.639.3–78
2080	103.372.6–126.5	59.540.3–80.9
2081	99.471.5–125.9	5841.5–79.6
2082	99.176.6–126.4	58.839.7–77.7
2083	104.876.3–126	60.839.1–82.9
2084	106.975–128.7	62.540.4–82.9
2085	10780.2–134.6	60.741.3–87.6
2086	105.479.5–130.7	60.542.1–83.3
2087	102.574.8–130.2	57.941–82.9
2088	109.378.6–132.3	64.243.4–85.3
2089	103.477.8–128.4	61.541.3–81.2
2090	103.573.3–139.2	61.641.5–86.8
2091	106.477.3–138.3	63.341.6–86.3
2092	108.280.1–138.5	63.144.9–84.8
2093	106.980.9–138.8	62.443.2–86.1
2094	106.880–134.5	63.145.6–87.4
2095	111.375.8–141.6	65.342.6–91.7
2096	102.173.1–146.5	6142.7–90.1
2097	103.672–134.9	58.841.2–84.6
2098	106.979.6–137.9	65.143.8–89.8
2099	108.881.6–138	64.345–87
2100	106.178.5–138.7	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

斯威士兰与南非对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数斯威士兰：2022 年为 0 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡