法国与意大利：温度

2025 年温度：法国为 12.3 °C，意大利为 14.1 °C（据 ERA5 观测）。 2025 年意大利的数值较高，高出 1.7 °C，是法国的 1.14 倍。

°C · ERA5

法国意大利CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，意大利的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年法国为 13.7 °C，意大利为 15.6 °C。

逐年数据

°C · ERA5

年份	法国	法国：CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数	意大利	意大利：CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数
2025	12.3	12.1	14.1	13.9
2024	12.2	11.9	14.4	13.8
2023	12.8	11.9	14.4	13.8
2022	13	12.3	14.4	14.1
2021	11.4	12.1	13.4	13.9
2020	12.6	12	13.7	13.7
2019	12.2	12	13.8	13.7
2018	12.4	11.9	13.9	13.6
2017	11.8	11.6	13.5	13.5
2016	11.6	11.9	13.5	13.5
2015	12.1	11.7	13.8	13.5
2014	12.3	11.5	13.7	13.2
2013	10.9	11.7	13.1	13.2
2012	11.3	11.4	13.4	13.2
2011	12.2	11.6	13.4	13.2
2010	10.4	11.6	12.6	13.3
2009	11.5	11.6	13.3	13.1
2008	11.1	11.6	13.3	13.2
2007	11.5	11.5	13.4	13.1
2006	11.8	11.6	13	13.1
2005	11.2	11.5	12.3	13.1
2004	11.2	11.4	12.8	13
2003	12	11.4	13.4	13.1
2002	11.7	11.2	13.2	12.8
2001	11.3	11.3	13.2	12.8
2000	11.6	11.3	13.3	13
1999	11.5	11.1	13	12.7
1998	11	11.1	12.9	12.7
1997	11.7	11	13.1	12.6
1996	10.4	11	12.2	12.6
1995	11.4	10.9	12.4	12.5
1994	11.9	10.9	13.5	12.6
1993	10.6	10.6	12.5	12.4
1992	10.9	10.6	12.6	12.2
1991	10.5	11	11.9	12.6
1990	11.6	11	12.7	12.7
1989	11.7	11	12.3	12.6
1988	11.1	10.8	12.6	12.3
1987	10.3	10.9	12.3	12.3
1986	10.3	10.5	12.2	12.2
1985	9.9	10.6	12.1	12.3
1984	10.2	10.8	11.5	12.3
1983	10.9	10.6	12.3	12.3
1982	11.2	10.6	12.6	12.3
1981	10.6	10.7	11.9	12.3
1980	9.8	10.8	11.4	12.3
1979	10.1	10.6	11.9	12.2
1978	10.1	10.7	11.6	12.3
1977	10.6	10.4	12.3	12
1976	10.9	10.3	11.7	12.1
1975	10.5	10.6	12.1	12.2
1974	10.6	10.8	12	12.3
1973	10.3	10.6	12.1	12.3
1972	10	10.5	11.9	12.2
1971	10.3	10.4	12	12.1
1970	10.4	10.3	12.1	12
1969	10.3	10.4	11.8	12.2
1968	10.4	10.4	12	12.1
1967	10.6	10.5	12.2	12.2
1966	10.8	10.5	12.1	12.1
1965	10	10.4	11.6	12
1964	10.5	10.4	12.1	12.2
1963	9.5	10.6	11.6	12.2
1962	10	10.6	12.1	12.3
1961	11.6	10.6	13	12.2
1960	10.7	10.5	12.4	12.4
1959	11.5	10.7	12.4	12.5
1958	10.7	10.6	12.3	12.3
1957	10.8	10.5	12.2	12.2
1956	9.5	10.7	11.3	12.3
1955	10.8	10.7	12.4	12.4
1954	9.9	10.5	11.7	12.2
1953	10.5	10.5	12.3	12.4
1952	10.5	10.7	12.5	12.4
1951	10.3	10.6	12.2	12.4
1950	10.7	10.7	12.8	12.4

12.3预测值

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2026–2100

年份	法国	法国：CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数	意大利	意大利：CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数
2026	–	12.311.4–13.4	–	14.113.3–15.1
2027	–	12.211.6–13.3	–	13.913.4–15
2028	–	12.211.5–13.5	–	1413.4–15.2
2029	–	12.211.4–13.1	–	14.113.4–15
2030	–	12.111.3–13	–	13.913.3–14.8
2031	–	12.111.3–13.2	–	13.913–15
2032	–	12.511.5–13.4	–	14.313.4–15
2033	–	12.311.3–13.3	–	14.113.3–14.9
2034	–	12.511.4–13.5	–	14.213.3–15.1
2035	–	12.411.4–13.5	–	14.313.6–15.3
2036	–	12.511.7–13.7	–	14.413.6–15.3
2037	–	12.411.5–13.2	–	14.413.4–15
2038	–	12.411.7–13.2	–	14.413.6–15.3
2039	–	12.411.5–13.2	–	14.313.6–15.1
2040	–	12.311.5–13.6	–	14.213.5–15.3
2041	–	12.311.7–13.3	–	14.113.6–15.1
2042	–	12.411.7–13.5	–	14.413.7–15.2
2043	–	12.511.3–13.7	–	14.513.4–15.3
2044	–	12.511.4–13.7	–	14.313.4–15.4
2045	–	12.612–13.5	–	14.513.9–15.3
2046	–	12.511.5–13.4	–	14.513.4–15.3
2047	–	12.811.7–13.5	–	14.713.3–15.4
2048	–	12.712.1–13.7	–	14.713.8–15.7
2049	–	12.611.9–14.2	–	14.513.7–15.7
2050	–	12.912.2–13.7	–	14.814–15.7
2051	–	12.811.5–13.9	–	14.613.5–15.7
2052	–	12.811.7–14	–	14.713.8–15.8
2053	–	12.911.7–13.8	–	14.813.9–15.8
2054	–	12.811.9–13.8	–	14.713.9–15.9
2055	–	12.911.9–14	–	14.713.9–15.8
2056	–	12.811.6–14.3	–	14.713.8–15.8
2057	–	12.911.8–14.3	–	14.813.9–16
2058	–	13.112.3–14.4	–	1514.2–16.1
2059	–	1311.8–14.1	–	1513.9–15.9
2060	–	13.212.3–13.8	–	1514–15.9
2061	–	13.312.3–14.1	–	15.114.1–15.9
2062	–	13.212–14.2	–	1514.1–16.2
2063	–	13.412.2–14.2	–	15.214.1–16.1
2064	–	12.812–13.9	–	1514.2–15.9
2065	–	13.111.7–14.5	–	15.114–16.2
2066	–	13.112.1–14.4	–	15.114.2–16.1
2067	–	13.412–14.5	–	15.314.2–16.1
2068	–	13.212.4–14.6	–	15.314.4–16.3
2069	–	13.512.3–14.5	–	15.214.4–16.2
2070	–	13.112.1–14.8	–	15.114.1–16.3
2071	–	13.312–14.7	–	15.314.1–16.4
2072	–	13.312.5–14.6	–	15.314.6–16.4
2073	–	13.312.4–14.5	–	15.214.3–16.2
2074	–	13.412.2–14.6	–	15.314.2–16.5
2075	–	1312.1–14.4	–	15.114.4–16.5
2076	–	13.312.2–14.9	–	15.114.3–16.6
2077	–	13.112–14.4	–	15.214.2–16.2
2078	–	13.212.3–15	–	15.314.3–16.8
2079	–	13.212.1–14.8	–	15.314.4–16.8
2080	–	13.312.4–14.7	–	15.414.5–16.5
2081	–	13.312.3–14.8	–	15.214.3–16.5
2082	–	13.412.3–14.8	–	15.514.6–16.6
2083	–	13.412.4–14.5	–	15.414.3–16.4
2084	–	13.512.4–14.5	–	15.614.4–16.6
2085	–	13.712.6–14.5	–	15.614.7–16.6
2086	–	13.612.4–14.9	–	15.614.5–16.7
2087	–	13.712.7–15.2	–	15.514.5–16.9
2088	–	13.812.6–15.3	–	15.814.7–16.8
2089	–	13.712.5–14.8	–	15.714.6–16.8
2090	–	13.912.6–14.9	–	15.814.6–16.7
2091	–	13.612.6–15	–	15.614.6–16.7
2092	–	13.612.5–14.8	–	15.714.5–16.6
2093	–	13.412.5–14.7	–	15.514.3–16.9
2094	–	13.512.4–15.2	–	15.614.4–17.1
2095	–	13.512.3–15.1	–	15.614.2–16.8
2096	–	13.912.2–15	–	15.714.5–17
2097	–	13.412.5–15.1	–	15.714.6–16.8
2098	–	13.812.5–14.9	–	15.714.8–16.8
2099	–	13.912.5–14.9	–	15.914.5–16.6
2100	–	13.712.5–14.9	–	15.614.4–16.8

分别查看各国

须知

全国范围、全年平均的近地面气温。
来源：ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。
排名基于 2025 年有数值的 233 个国家，从高到低排列。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

法国与意大利对比

健康

人口与社会

经济

教育

政治

冲突

冲突死亡人数法国：2022 年为 0 人死亡意大利：2022 年为 0 人死亡