意大利
意大利的温度
意大利的温度：1950 年为 12.8 °C，2025 年为 14.1 °C（据 ERA5 观测）。
- 最新值，2025 年
- 14.1 °C
- 自 1950 年以来
- +1.3 °C
- 排名，2025 年
- 第 167 / 233
- 从高到低排列
- 预测值，2100 年
- 15.6 °C
- CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）
°C · ERA5
数据解读
- 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年为 15.6 °C，介于 14.4 °C 至 16.8 °C 之间（模型第 10–90 百分位）。
- 最高为 2024 年的 14.4 °C，最低为 1956 年的 11.3 °C。
逐年数据
°C · ERA5
| 年份 | ERA5 观测值 | CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.1 | 13.9 |
| 2024 | 14.4 | 13.8 |
| 2023 | 14.4 | 13.8 |
| 2022 | 14.4 | 14.1 |
| 2021 | 13.4 | 13.9 |
| 2020 | 13.7 | 13.7 |
| 2019 | 13.8 | 13.7 |
| 2018 | 13.9 | 13.6 |
| 2017 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| 2016 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| 2015 | 13.8 | 13.5 |
| 2014 | 13.7 | 13.2 |
| 2013 | 13.1 | 13.2 |
| 2012 | 13.4 | 13.2 |
| 2011 | 13.4 | 13.2 |
| 2010 | 12.6 | 13.3 |
| 2009 | 13.3 | 13.1 |
| 2008 | 13.3 | 13.2 |
| 2007 | 13.4 | 13.1 |
| 2006 | 13 | 13.1 |
| 2005 | 12.3 | 13.1 |
| 2004 | 12.8 | 13 |
| 2003 | 13.4 | 13.1 |
| 2002 | 13.2 | 12.8 |
| 2001 | 13.2 | 12.8 |
| 2000 | 13.3 | 13 |
| 1999 | 13 | 12.7 |
| 1998 | 12.9 | 12.7 |
| 1997 | 13.1 | 12.6 |
| 1996 | 12.2 | 12.6 |
| 1995 | 12.4 | 12.5 |
| 1994 | 13.5 | 12.6 |
| 1993 | 12.5 | 12.4 |
| 1992 | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| 1991 | 11.9 | 12.6 |
| 1990 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| 1989 | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| 1988 | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| 1987 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| 1986 | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| 1985 | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| 1984 | 11.5 | 12.3 |
| 1983 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| 1982 | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| 1981 | 11.9 | 12.3 |
| 1980 | 11.4 | 12.3 |
| 1979 | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| 1978 | 11.6 | 12.3 |
| 1977 | 12.3 | 12 |
| 1976 | 11.7 | 12.1 |
| 1975 | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| 1974 | 12 | 12.3 |
| 1973 | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| 1972 | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| 1971 | 12 | 12.1 |
| 1970 | 12.1 | 12 |
| 1969 | 11.8 | 12.2 |
| 1968 | 12 | 12.1 |
| 1967 | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| 1966 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| 1965 | 11.6 | 12 |
| 1964 | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| 1963 | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| 1962 | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| 1961 | 13 | 12.2 |
| 1960 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| 1959 | 12.4 | 12.5 |
| 1958 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| 1957 | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| 1956 | 11.3 | 12.3 |
| 1955 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| 1954 | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| 1953 | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| 1952 | 12.5 | 12.4 |
| 1951 | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| 1950 | 12.8 | 12.4 |
- 12.3预测值
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2026–2100
| 年份 | ERA5 观测值 | CMIP6 历史模拟，模型中位数 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | – | 14.113.3–15.1 |
| 2027 | – | 13.913.4–15 |
| 2028 | – | 1413.4–15.2 |
| 2029 | – | 14.113.4–15 |
| 2030 | – | 13.913.3–14.8 |
| 2031 | – | 13.913–15 |
| 2032 | – | 14.313.4–15 |
| 2033 | – | 14.113.3–14.9 |
| 2034 | – | 14.213.3–15.1 |
| 2035 | – | 14.313.6–15.3 |
| 2036 | – | 14.413.6–15.3 |
| 2037 | – | 14.413.4–15 |
| 2038 | – | 14.413.6–15.3 |
| 2039 | – | 14.313.6–15.1 |
| 2040 | – | 14.213.5–15.3 |
| 2041 | – | 14.113.6–15.1 |
| 2042 | – | 14.413.7–15.2 |
| 2043 | – | 14.513.4–15.3 |
| 2044 | – | 14.313.4–15.4 |
| 2045 | – | 14.513.9–15.3 |
| 2046 | – | 14.513.4–15.3 |
| 2047 | – | 14.713.3–15.4 |
| 2048 | – | 14.713.8–15.7 |
| 2049 | – | 14.513.7–15.7 |
| 2050 | – | 14.814–15.7 |
| 2051 | – | 14.613.5–15.7 |
| 2052 | – | 14.713.8–15.8 |
| 2053 | – | 14.813.9–15.8 |
| 2054 | – | 14.713.9–15.9 |
| 2055 | – | 14.713.9–15.8 |
| 2056 | – | 14.713.8–15.8 |
| 2057 | – | 14.813.9–16 |
| 2058 | – | 1514.2–16.1 |
| 2059 | – | 1513.9–15.9 |
| 2060 | – | 1514–15.9 |
| 2061 | – | 15.114.1–15.9 |
| 2062 | – | 1514.1–16.2 |
| 2063 | – | 15.214.1–16.1 |
| 2064 | – | 1514.2–15.9 |
| 2065 | – | 15.114–16.2 |
| 2066 | – | 15.114.2–16.1 |
| 2067 | – | 15.314.2–16.1 |
| 2068 | – | 15.314.4–16.3 |
| 2069 | – | 15.214.4–16.2 |
| 2070 | – | 15.114.1–16.3 |
| 2071 | – | 15.314.1–16.4 |
| 2072 | – | 15.314.6–16.4 |
| 2073 | – | 15.214.3–16.2 |
| 2074 | – | 15.314.2–16.5 |
| 2075 | – | 15.114.4–16.5 |
| 2076 | – | 15.114.3–16.6 |
| 2077 | – | 15.214.2–16.2 |
| 2078 | – | 15.314.3–16.8 |
| 2079 | – | 15.314.4–16.8 |
| 2080 | – | 15.414.5–16.5 |
| 2081 | – | 15.214.3–16.5 |
| 2082 | – | 15.514.6–16.6 |
| 2083 | – | 15.414.3–16.4 |
| 2084 | – | 15.614.4–16.6 |
| 2085 | – | 15.614.7–16.6 |
| 2086 | – | 15.614.5–16.7 |
| 2087 | – | 15.514.5–16.9 |
| 2088 | – | 15.814.7–16.8 |
| 2089 | – | 15.714.6–16.8 |
| 2090 | – | 15.814.6–16.7 |
| 2091 | – | 15.614.6–16.7 |
| 2092 | – | 15.714.5–16.6 |
| 2093 | – | 15.514.3–16.9 |
| 2094 | – | 15.614.4–17.1 |
| 2095 | – | 15.614.2–16.8 |
| 2096 | – | 15.714.5–17 |
| 2097 | – | 15.714.6–16.8 |
| 2098 | – | 15.714.8–16.8 |
| 2099 | – | 15.914.5–16.6 |
| 2100 | – | 15.614.4–16.8 |
须知
- 全国范围、全年平均的近地面气温。
- 来源：ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal。
- 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
- 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。
- 排名基于 2025 年有数值的 233 个国家，从高到低排列。
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