Italy

Temperature in Italy

Temperature in Italy: 12.8 °C in 1950 and 14.1 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
14.1 °C
Since 1950
+1.3 °C
Rank, 2025
167 of 233
counting from the highest
Projected, 2100
15.6 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Temperature in ItalyTemperature in Italy: 12.8 °C in 1950 and 14.1 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 15.6 °C in 2100, between 14.4 °C and 16.8 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 15.6 °C in 2100, between 14.4 °C and 16.8 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 14.4 °C in 2024, the lowest 11.3 °C in 1956.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
202514.113.9
202414.413.8
202314.413.8
202214.414.1
202113.413.9
202013.713.7
201913.813.7
201813.913.6
201713.513.5
201613.513.5
201513.813.5
201413.713.2
201313.113.2
201213.413.2
201113.413.2
201012.613.3
200913.313.1
200813.313.2
200713.413.1
20061313.1
200512.313.1
200412.813
200313.413.1
200213.212.8
200113.212.8
200013.313
19991312.7
199812.912.7
199713.112.6
199612.212.6
199512.412.5
199413.512.6
199312.512.4
199212.612.2
199111.912.6
199012.712.7
198912.312.6
198812.612.3
198712.312.3
198612.212.2
198512.112.3
198411.512.3
198312.312.3
198212.612.3
198111.912.3
198011.412.3
197911.912.2
197811.612.3
197712.312
197611.712.1
197512.112.2
19741212.3
197312.112.3
197211.912.2
19711212.1
197012.112
196911.812.2
19681212.1
196712.212.2
196612.112.1
196511.612
196412.112.2
196311.612.2
196212.112.3
19611312.2
196012.412.4
195912.412.5
195812.312.3
195712.212.2
195611.312.3
195512.412.4
195411.712.2
195312.312.4
195212.512.4
195112.212.4
195012.812.4
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–14.113.3–15.1
2027–13.913.4–15
2028–1413.4–15.2
2029–14.113.4–15
2030–13.913.3–14.8
2031–13.913–15
2032–14.313.4–15
2033–14.113.3–14.9
2034–14.213.3–15.1
2035–14.313.6–15.3
2036–14.413.6–15.3
2037–14.413.4–15
2038–14.413.6–15.3
2039–14.313.6–15.1
2040–14.213.5–15.3
2041–14.113.6–15.1
2042–14.413.7–15.2
2043–14.513.4–15.3
2044–14.313.4–15.4
2045–14.513.9–15.3
2046–14.513.4–15.3
2047–14.713.3–15.4
2048–14.713.8–15.7
2049–14.513.7–15.7
2050–14.814–15.7
2051–14.613.5–15.7
2052–14.713.8–15.8
2053–14.813.9–15.8
2054–14.713.9–15.9
2055–14.713.9–15.8
2056–14.713.8–15.8
2057–14.813.9–16
2058–1514.2–16.1
2059–1513.9–15.9
2060–1514–15.9
2061–15.114.1–15.9
2062–1514.1–16.2
2063–15.214.1–16.1
2064–1514.2–15.9
2065–15.114–16.2
2066–15.114.2–16.1
2067–15.314.2–16.1
2068–15.314.4–16.3
2069–15.214.4–16.2
2070–15.114.1–16.3
2071–15.314.1–16.4
2072–15.314.6–16.4
2073–15.214.3–16.2
2074–15.314.2–16.5
2075–15.114.4–16.5
2076–15.114.3–16.6
2077–15.214.2–16.2
2078–15.314.3–16.8
2079–15.314.4–16.8
2080–15.414.5–16.5
2081–15.214.3–16.5
2082–15.514.6–16.6
2083–15.414.3–16.4
2084–15.614.4–16.6
2085–15.614.7–16.6
2086–15.614.5–16.7
2087–15.514.5–16.9
2088–15.814.7–16.8
2089–15.714.6–16.8
2090–15.814.6–16.7
2091–15.614.6–16.7
2092–15.714.5–16.6
2093–15.514.3–16.9
2094–15.614.4–17.1
2095–15.614.2–16.8
2096–15.714.5–17
2097–15.714.6–16.8
2098–15.714.8–16.8
2099–15.914.5–16.6
2100–15.614.4–16.8

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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