Temperature in Vatican City

Temperature in Vatican City: 15.2 °C in 1950 and 17.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 17.3 °C
Since 1950: +2 °C
Rank, 2025: 158 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 18.3 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 18.3 °C in 2100, between 17.1 °C and 19.5 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 17.5 °C in 2024, the lowest 13.9 °C in 1980.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	17.3	16.6
2024	17.5	16.4
2023	17.1	16.5
2022	17.3	16.7
2021	16.2	16.5
2020	16.3	16.3
2019	16.5	16.4
2018	16.6	16.3
2017	16.2	16.1
2016	16.3	16.1
2015	16.5	16.2
2014	16.4	15.8
2013	15.8	15.8
2012	16.1	15.8
2011	16	15.8
2010	15.6	15.9
2009	16	15.7
2008	15.8	15.8
2007	15.9	15.7
2006	15.5	15.8
2005	14.9	15.8
2004	15.5	15.6
2003	16.1	15.7
2002	15.6	15.5
2001	15.8	15.4
2000	15.8	15.6
1999	15.6	15.5
1998	15.5	15.4
1997	15.7	15.2
1996	14.9	15.3
1995	14.9	15.2
1994	15.9	15.2
1993	15	15.1
1992	15.2	14.9
1991	14.4	15.2
1990	15.1	15.4
1989	14.8	15.2
1988	15.2	15
1987	15.2	14.9
1986	14.9	14.9
1985	15	14.9
1984	14.1	15
1983	14.8	15
1982	15.2	14.9
1981	14.4	15.1
1980	13.9	15
1979	14.6	14.9
1978	14.2	15
1977	14.9	14.7
1976	14.4	14.9
1975	14.7	14.9
1974	14.4	15
1973	14.8	15
1972	14.3	14.8
1971	14.3	14.9
1970	14.9	14.8
1969	14.6	14.8
1968	14.5	14.8
1967	14.9	15
1966	14.8	14.7
1965	14.6	14.7
1964	14.8	14.9
1963	14.7	14.9
1962	15.1	15
1961	15.9	14.9
1960	15.4	15
1959	15.3	15.2
1958	15.1	15
1957	15	14.9
1956	14.2	15
1955	15.7	15.2
1954	14.8	14.8
1953	15	15
1952	15.6	15
1951	15	15.1
1950	15.2	15.1

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	16.615.9–17.6
2027	–	16.516–17.5
2028	–	16.616.1–17.7
2029	–	16.716.1–17.5
2030	–	16.516.1–17.5
2031	–	16.515.6–17.7
2032	–	16.816.1–17.6
2033	–	16.716–17.4
2034	–	16.816–17.7
2035	–	1716.3–17.9
2036	–	17.116.3–18
2037	–	1716.4–17.6
2038	–	16.916.2–18
2039	–	16.916.5–17.7
2040	–	16.916.3–17.9
2041	–	16.716.2–17.8
2042	–	17.116.4–18
2043	–	17.116–17.9
2044	–	16.916.1–18.1
2045	–	17.116.5–18
2046	–	17.116.4–18.1
2047	–	17.215.9–18.1
2048	–	17.316.4–18.2
2049	–	17.216.3–18.5
2050	–	17.416.7–18.5
2051	–	17.316.2–18.2
2052	–	17.416.5–18.5
2053	–	17.416.4–18.4
2054	–	17.516.5–18.5
2055	–	17.316.5–18.4
2056	–	17.316.5–18.4
2057	–	17.416.6–18.5
2058	–	17.517–18.8
2059	–	17.616.7–18.5
2060	–	17.616.6–18.5
2061	–	17.816.6–18.7
2062	–	17.716.9–18.7
2063	–	17.816.9–18.9
2064	–	17.516.9–18.5
2065	–	17.816.6–18.8
2066	–	17.816.9–18.6
2067	–	1816.8–18.6
2068	–	17.917–18.8
2069	–	17.817.2–18.8
2070	–	17.616.8–18.7
2071	–	18.116.7–19.1
2072	–	17.917.3–19
2073	–	17.816.9–18.7
2074	–	17.916.9–19.1
2075	–	17.717.1–19.1
2076	–	17.617.1–19.1
2077	–	17.716.7–18.9
2078	–	17.916.9–19.4
2079	–	17.917.1–19.4
2080	–	18.217.1–19
2081	–	17.916.9–19
2082	–	18.217.2–19.1
2083	–	18.216.7–19
2084	–	18.317–19.2
2085	–	18.217.4–19.2
2086	–	18.217.3–19.3
2087	–	1817–19.5
2088	–	18.417.3–19.2
2089	–	18.317.5–19.4
2090	–	18.317.2–19.2
2091	–	18.217.2–19.3
2092	–	18.517.1–19.3
2093	–	18.117–19.5
2094	–	18.317.2–19.8
2095	–	18.116.8–19.3
2096	–	18.317.2–19.8
2097	–	18.417.2–19.4
2098	–	18.417.3–19.4
2099	–	18.617.3–19.1
2100	–	18.317.1–19.5

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Vatican City

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

Vatican City in numbers

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