Temperature in Croatia

Temperature in Croatia: 12.4 °C in 1950 and 13.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 13.3 °C
Since 1950: +1 °C
Rank, 2025: 172 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 15 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 15 °C in 2100, between 13.3 °C and 16.3 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 14.3 °C in 2024, the lowest 10.1 °C in 1956.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	13.3	13.2
2024	14.3	13
2023	13.8	13.2
2022	13.4	13.4
2021	12.6	13.2
2020	12.9	13
2019	13.3	12.8
2018	13.2	12.7
2017	12.6	12.7
2016	12.5	12.7
2015	12.9	12.8
2014	13.2	12.5
2013	12.4	12.6
2012	12.8	12.4
2011	12.5	12.6
2010	11.8	12.7
2009	12.7	12.6
2008	12.8	12.6
2007	12.9	12.4
2006	12.1	12.4
2005	11.2	12.4
2004	11.7	12.2
2003	12.4	12.4
2002	12.7	12
2001	12.2	12.1
2000	13.1	12.3
1999	12.1	12
1998	11.8	11.9
1997	11.5	11.8
1996	10.7	11.9
1995	11.7	11.7
1994	12.7	11.9
1993	11.4	11.5
1992	12.2	11.1
1991	11	11.7
1990	12.1	12
1989	11.7	11.9
1988	11.8	11.4
1987	11.2	11.3
1986	11.1	11.3
1985	10.9	11.4
1984	11	11.3
1983	11.8	11.3
1982	11.7	11.4
1981	11.3	11.3
1980	10.4	11.3
1979	11.5	11.1
1978	10.6	11.6
1977	11.7	11.1
1976	10.7	11.2
1975	11.7	11.1
1974	11.5	11.4
1973	11	11.3
1972	11.2	11.2
1971	11.2	11.4
1970	11.2	10.9
1969	10.9	11.2
1968	11.4	11.1
1967	11.5	11.3
1966	11.6	11.1
1965	10.6	11.1
1964	10.4	11.2
1963	10.6	11.2
1962	10.8	11.4
1961	12.3	11.3
1960	11.8	11.5
1959	11.6	11.7
1958	11.7	11.5
1957	11.4	11.2
1956	10.1	11.4
1955	11	11.6
1954	10.5	11.1
1953	11.2	11.6
1952	11.7	11.5
1951	12.2	11.4
1950	12.4	11.6

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	13.312.6–14.3
2027	–	13.212.6–14.3
2028	–	13.412.6–14.5
2029	–	13.412.3–14.3
2030	–	13.212.3–14.4
2031	–	13.212–14.7
2032	–	13.612.5–14.5
2033	–	13.312.7–14.2
2034	–	13.512.5–14.6
2035	–	13.612.8–14.7
2036	–	13.712.7–15
2037	–	13.712.6–14.4
2038	–	13.812.8–14.9
2039	–	13.712.7–14.6
2040	–	13.712.5–14.6
2041	–	13.312.9–14.6
2042	–	13.812.4–14.7
2043	–	13.712.3–14.7
2044	–	13.712.3–14.8
2045	–	13.812.7–14.8
2046	–	13.712.6–14.8
2047	–	13.912.5–15
2048	–	14.212.9–15.1
2049	–	1412.8–15.3
2050	–	1413.1–15.1
2051	–	1412.7–15.3
2052	–	14.112.9–15.1
2053	–	14.113.1–15.2
2054	–	1413–15.6
2055	–	1412.9–15.4
2056	–	1412.9–15.1
2057	–	14.113–15.5
2058	–	14.613.4–15.9
2059	–	14.312.9–15.3
2060	–	14.413–15.4
2061	–	14.313.1–15.3
2062	–	14.413.4–15.7
2063	–	14.413.3–15.9
2064	–	14.313.4–15.2
2065	–	14.613.2–15.6
2066	–	14.513–15.5
2067	–	14.613.6–15.7
2068	–	14.613.7–15.8
2069	–	14.613.5–15.8
2070	–	14.413.3–15.5
2071	–	14.612.7–16
2072	–	14.613.8–16
2073	–	14.613.2–15.7
2074	–	14.713.3–15.9
2075	–	14.313.6–16.1
2076	–	14.513.4–16.1
2077	–	14.613.4–15.7
2078	–	14.513.5–16
2079	–	14.613.5–16.3
2080	–	14.813.8–16
2081	–	14.613.6–15.9
2082	–	14.813.9–16.2
2083	–	14.613.3–15.9
2084	–	14.913.6–16.4
2085	–	1513.9–16
2086	–	1513.8–16.3
2087	–	14.913.5–16.4
2088	–	1513.9–16.2
2089	–	14.913.9–16.2
2090	–	15.313.6–16.2
2091	–	14.813.8–16.1
2092	–	15.213.5–16.2
2093	–	14.813.4–16.5
2094	–	15.213.4–16.9
2095	–	14.913.1–16.5
2096	–	15.113.4–16.8
2097	–	15.213.6–16.3
2098	–	14.913.9–16.3
2099	–	15.413.9–16.1
2100	–	1513.3–16.3

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Croatia

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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