Croatia

Tropical nights in Croatia

Tropical nights in Croatia: 7.8 nights in 1950 and 17.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
17.7 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+9.9 nights
Projected, 2100
52.7 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in CroatiaTropical nights in Croatia: 7.8 nights in 1950 and 17.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 52.7 nights in 2100, between 29.5 nights and 70.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 52.7 nights in 2100, between 29.5 nights and 70.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 17.7 nights in 2014, the lowest 6.4 nights in 1973.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearCroatia
201417.7
201314.8
201215.5
201116.6
201016.8
200913.9
200814.5
200711.7
200614.8
200513.2
200414.1
200313.7
200211.9
200111.8
200013.2
199911.4
199810.8
199710.2
199611.2
199510
19949
19938.5
19927.8
19919.9
19909.4
19898.9
19888
19878
19868.3
19857.8
19848.1
19837.8
19827.3
19817.2
19808.6
19797.3
19788.7
19776.6
19767.4
19757.7
19747.4
19736.4
19727
19718.3
19707.3
19698
19686.9
19676.9
19667.1
19656.7
19647.2
19637.3
19627.5
19617
19608.1
19599.8
19587.5
19577.7
19569.7
19558.9
19547.5
19539.1
19529
19518.4
19507.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearCroatia
201518.812.3–28.1
201618.69.5–30.1
201719.910.3–32.3
201819.211.5–32.2
201919.311.4–30.7
202021.910.2–34.2
202120.412.3–32.1
202224.410.4–36.7
202320.411.6–35.5
202422.710.9–37.2
20252510.3–37.4
202625.714.8–37.5
202723.511.7–38
202825.215–40.4
202924.713–43.3
20302613.6–38.8
203123.413.6–37.7
203227.114.8–46.5
203325.813.3–37.9
203427.613.4–44
203529.515.1–45.6
20362915.8–45.4
203729.916.5–43.8
203827.416.1–52.1
203929.915.8–43.3
204029.418–45
204129.516.2–45.9
204230.417.5–47.4
204332.618.9–45.2
204430.218.4–48.2
204533.216.2–44.3
204633.415.6–54.3
204736.421.8–54.1
204833.417.2–55.7
204936.216.5–51.5
205036.222.9–51.8
205134.319.7–56.5
205235.419.9–53.7
205332.922.1–50.5
205434.422.8–50.8
20553719.2–54.6
205635.522.5–56.4
205734.820.8–51.5
205841.919–62.1
205938.719.8–61.5
206038.324.6–52.5
206139.625.2–57.5
206239.622.7–55.8
20634221.3–60.9
20644124.2–60.1
206542.924.4–60.4
20664024.5–59.9
20674626.8–67.1
206842.931.2–57
20694427.8–61.9
207040.525–63
207147.120.1–67.6
20724729.9–65.2
207344.424.5–58
20744124.1–63.2
20754329.3–65.6
207645.523.6–68.6
207744.527.4–62.8
207844.826.1–70.1
207947.526.1–76.5
20804627.6–69.1
208144.127–65.9
20825032.6–72.8
20834525.1–69
208450.733.5–68.1
20855329.8–66.2
208651.329.3–72.3
208750.731.1–71
20885533.5–71.1
208949.131.2–76.6
209051.630.4–72.9
209155.731.1–76.4
209252.825.4–72
209347.629.6–72
20945130.8–73.3
209554.429.4–73.5
209649.128.2–81.1
209752.724.9–70.8
209851.929.5–72.8
209954.629–73.3
210052.729.5–70.3

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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