Tropical nights in Slovenia

Tropical nights in Slovenia: 0.5 nights in 1950 and 2.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 2.7 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +2.2 nights
Projected, 2100: 20.1 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 20.1 nights in 2100, between 8 nights and 38.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 2.7 nights in 2014, the lowest 0.3 nights in 1973.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Slovenia
2014	2.7
2013	1.4
2012	1.5
2011	1.8
2010	1.7
2009	1.3
2008	1.5
2007	0.9
2006	1.5
2005	1.3
2004	1.3
2003	1.2
2002	1.2
2001	1
2000	1.1
1999	1
1998	0.8
1997	0.8
1996	0.8
1995	0.8
1994	0.6
1993	0.6
1992	0.4
1991	0.7
1990	0.7
1989	0.6
1988	0.5
1987	0.5
1986	0.5
1985	0.4
1984	0.6
1983	0.5
1982	0.4
1981	0.4
1980	0.5
1979	0.4
1978	0.6
1977	0.4
1976	0.4
1975	0.5
1974	0.4
1973	0.3
1972	0.4
1971	0.5
1970	0.4
1969	0.5
1968	0.4
1967	0.4
1966	0.4
1965	0.4
1964	0.5
1963	0.4
1962	0.4
1961	0.4
1960	0.5
1959	0.8
1958	0.4
1957	0.4
1956	0.6
1955	0.6
1954	0.5
1953	0.6
1952	0.6
1951	0.5
1950	0.5

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Slovenia
2015	2.21–5.1
2016	2.30.8–7.2
2017	2.90.8–8.3
2018	2.41–7.9
2019	2.80.9–6.6
2020	3.30.9–8.8
2021	2.30.9–7.6
2022	3.50.6–9
2023	2.60.7–8.9
2024	3.90.7–9.9
2025	3.80.6–9.9
2026	4.31.6–11.5
2027	3.40.8–10.4
2028	4.31.5–11.9
2029	3.71–15.2
2030	3.81.1–10.8
2031	3.61.2–10.1
2032	4.61.3–15.7
2033	4.51–12.6
2034	5.41.1–15.7
2035	5.41.4–14.8
2036	5.62–20.6
2037	61.5–18.8
2038	61.6–19.5
2039	6.51.5–16
2040	6.82.1–13.2
2041	6.91.9–15.6
2042	6.62–17.9
2043	7.31.8–15.7
2044	72.4–19
2045	8.21.7–16
2046	8.72.2–25.7
2047	10.23.1–20.4
2048	7.11.7–24.5
2049	9.71.9–19.6
2050	8.93.6–19.9
2051	7.82.4–24.9
2052	8.42.2–22.4
2053	6.62.8–20.9
2054	7.23.3–18.9
2055	9.51.9–20.5
2056	8.93.6–22.9
2057	8.83.2–19.6
2058	14.31.6–28
2059	11.52.5–29
2060	11.23.9–25
2061	124.7–22.6
2062	12.33.8–25.1
2063	142.8–29.1
2064	13.33.5–29.2
2065	15.13.4–26.8
2066	12.44.7–30.7
2067	15.45.8–36.8
2068	13.76.3–24.1
2069	15.84.6–27.6
2070	13.55.2–29.9
2071	16.71.7–33.9
2072	16.36–29.6
2073	14.83.7–27.1
2074	12.33.3–31
2075	15.36.1–35.7
2076	15.63.4–35.9
2077	13.94.5–33.3
2078	14.94–40.6
2079	14.84.2–43.3
2080	17.15–33.4
2081	15.65.4–32.2
2082	19.39.4–38.4
2083	155.7–36.8
2084	19.57.4–31.4
2085	20.47.2–32.9
2086	19.37–36.9
2087	20.87.8–37.5
2088	22.57.4–39.7
2089	19.68.1–44
2090	20.87.5–39.6
2091	22.78.2–42.1
2092	20.34.1–38
2093	15.76–34.6
2094	20.96.6–43.4
2095	20.35–39.9
2096	194.6–47.6
2097	18.83.2–36.2
2098	22.56.3–39
2099	22.65.9–44
2100	20.18–38.6

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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