Tropical nights in Hungary

Tropical nights in Hungary: 1.2 nights in 1950 and 9.2 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 9.2 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +8 nights
Projected, 2100: 43.3 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 43.3 nights in 2100, between 21.7 nights and 62.7 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 9.2 nights in 2014, the lowest 0.5 nights in 1973.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Hungary
2014	9.2
2013	5.9
2012	6.9
2011	7.5
2010	8.2
2009	6.3
2008	6.3
2007	4.6
2006	6.3
2005	6.1
2004	5.3
2003	5.3
2002	4.2
2001	3.6
2000	5.5
1999	4.5
1998	2.8
1997	2.1
1996	4.2
1995	3.3
1994	1.9
1993	1.3
1992	0.9
1991	2.6
1990	2.2
1989	2
1988	1.3
1987	1.9
1986	1.5
1985	1.5
1984	1.4
1983	1.3
1982	0.6
1981	0.8
1980	1.6
1979	1
1978	1.8
1977	0.6
1976	0.9
1975	1.6
1974	1.3
1973	0.5
1972	0.8
1971	1.2
1970	0.9
1969	1.4
1968	0.9
1967	1.2
1966	0.8
1965	0.7
1964	1
1963	0.6
1962	0.8
1961	1.1
1960	1.4
1959	2.9
1958	1
1957	0.9
1956	1.6
1955	2.4
1954	0.9
1953	2.8
1952	2.2
1951	1.1
1950	1.2

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Hungary
2015	9.23.9–21.6
2016	10.12–23.2
2017	10.71.8–25.6
2018	9.23.9–24.6
2019	113.8–22.8
2020	15.53–28.2
2021	10.43.8–22
2022	15.12.2–27
2023	122.6–26.3
2024	13.52.8–25.4
2025	16.61.3–29.4
2026	16.14.8–28.1
2027	14.52.9–28.8
2028	14.45.6–31.6
2029	14.74.8–38.3
2030	14.54.1–27.6
2031	14.25.2–29.6
2032	16.75–42.3
2033	15.72.6–30.5
2034	18.31.7–33.1
2035	205–38.1
2036	20.66.9–35.9
2037	22.47.5–34.6
2038	17.26.2–43.1
2039	22.55.2–33.6
2040	20.27.9–36.6
2041	20.76.9–39.4
2042	227.8–35.9
2043	23.79.1–39.1
2044	22.18.4–43.4
2045	234.7–36.5
2046	23.65.6–51.4
2047	26.512.4–50.8
2048	26.78–48.7
2049	26.34.5–42.9
2050	26.210.7–43.4
2051	21.98.8–47.7
2052	27.48.5–44.8
2053	22.310.2–41.1
2054	26.612.4–42.6
2055	24.38.1–47.8
2056	24.311.6–47.2
2057	25.810.3–43.5
2058	34.59.2–59
2059	26.49.2–53
2060	27.413.8–44.2
2061	3214.8–49.3
2062	28.110.6–51.7
2063	31.811.8–53.7
2064	30.115.5–50
2065	34.113.3–53.2
2066	29.114.4–53.3
2067	34.514.2–61
2068	33.319.5–47.4
2069	34.216.1–52.9
2070	3012.6–53
2071	36.36.3–59.6
2072	39.118.2–56.8
2073	34.116.1–51.2
2074	33.513.1–57.1
2075	33.716.6–59.2
2076	37.312.1–64.8
2077	34.616.1–53.8
2078	3516.2–64.3
2079	39.313–67.8
2080	39.717–60.2
2081	34.315.9–58.5
2082	39.723–68.6
2083	34.411.2–61
2084	39.917.8–55.1
2085	41.517.4–60.9
2086	41.519.3–66
2087	41.117.7–68.8
2088	42.320.8–65.2
2089	35.714.1–66.5
2090	40.218–69.7
2091	46.918–69.6
2092	42.113.2–63
2093	36.416.8–60.5
2094	42.220.5–66.2
2095	43.715.5–66.9
2096	3713.6–70.5
2097	42.413.4–64
2098	41.816.4–64.6
2099	42.615.9–63
2100	43.321.7–62.7

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tropical nights in Hungary

What the numbers say

Every year

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