法国与摩纳哥对比
法国与摩纳哥：热带夜
2014 年热带夜：法国为 3.1 夜，摩纳哥为 62 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年摩纳哥的数值较高，高出 58.9 夜，是法国的 20 倍。
每年夜数 · CMIP6
数据解读
- 自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，摩纳哥的数值都更高。
- 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年法国为 19.2 夜，摩纳哥为 113 夜。
逐年数据
每年夜数 · CMIP6
| 年份 | 法国 | 摩纳哥 |
|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3.1 | 62 |
| 2013 | 3.1 | 61 |
| 2012 | 2.9 | 57 |
| 2011 | 2.7 | 57 |
| 2010 | 3.9 | 66 |
| 2009 | 2.5 | 51 |
| 2008 | 2.4 | 61 |
| 2007 | 2.1 | 54 |
| 2006 | 2.6 | 58 |
| 2005 | 2.9 | 54 |
| 2004 | 2.7 | 56 |
| 2003 | 2.6 | 55 |
| 2002 | 1.8 | 50 |
| 2001 | 2.3 | 50 |
| 2000 | 1.8 | 51 |
| 1999 | 2.1 | 50 |
| 1998 | 1.5 | 50 |
| 1997 | 1.6 | 48 |
| 1996 | 1.5 | 43 |
| 1995 | 1.3 | 45 |
| 1994 | 1.5 | 40 |
| 1993 | 1.1 | 41 |
| 1992 | 1 | 37 |
| 1991 | 1.8 | 45 |
| 1990 | 1.9 | 43 |
| 1989 | 1.2 | 42 |
| 1988 | 1.2 | 42 |
| 1987 | 1.3 | 41 |
| 1986 | 0.9 | 36 |
| 1985 | 0.9 | 34 |
| 1984 | 1.1 | 38 |
| 1983 | 1.1 | 40 |
| 1982 | 1 | 33 |
| 1981 | 1.1 | 36 |
| 1980 | 1.2 | 37 |
| 1979 | 0.9 | 38 |
| 1978 | 1.3 | 45 |
| 1977 | 0.9 | 32 |
| 1976 | 0.8 | 31 |
| 1975 | 0.9 | 34 |
| 1974 | 1.2 | 39 |
| 1973 | 0.9 | 36 |
| 1972 | 0.9 | 37 |
| 1971 | 1 | 35 |
| 1970 | 0.9 | 36 |
| 1969 | 1 | 37 |
| 1968 | 0.9 | 28 |
| 1967 | 0.8 | 30 |
| 1966 | 0.8 | 31 |
| 1965 | 0.7 | 31 |
| 1964 | 1 | 30 |
| 1963 | 0.9 | 39 |
| 1962 | 1.1 | 41 |
| 1961 | 0.9 | 36 |
| 1960 | 1.1 | 33 |
| 1959 | 1.2 | 42 |
| 1958 | 1 | 34 |
| 1957 | 1 | 36 |
| 1956 | 1.2 | 42 |
| 1955 | 1.1 | 43 |
| 1954 | 1.3 | 38 |
| 1953 | 1 | 34 |
| 1952 | 1.3 | 43 |
| 1951 | 1.1 | 43 |
| 1950 | 1.2 | 38 |
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100
| 年份 | 法国 | 摩纳哥 |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 3.61.5–8.6 | 7054–82 |
| 2016 | 4.11.5–9.9 | 6752–89 |
| 2017 | 3.51.3–10.2 | 7148–84 |
| 2018 | 3.91.7–10.8 | 6653–89 |
| 2019 | 4.51.6–9 | 7355–91 |
| 2020 | 4.11.6–10.5 | 7046–90 |
| 2021 | 4.51.3–13.2 | 7237–96 |
| 2022 | 51.5–12.5 | 7648–103 |
| 2023 | 4.81.6–12.5 | 7352–88 |
| 2024 | 5.51.8–11.2 | 7653–96 |
| 2025 | 5.81.5–12.1 | 7851–107 |
| 2026 | 6.22.1–12.7 | 8260–101 |
| 2027 | 5.41.7–11.2 | 7761–99 |
| 2028 | 5.91.7–13.3 | 8059–101 |
| 2029 | 6.31.9–12.6 | 8456–101 |
| 2030 | 5.82.1–11.9 | 8160–105 |
| 2031 | 5.92–11.8 | 8260–109 |
| 2032 | 5.92.7–12.9 | 8562–106 |
| 2033 | 72.5–13.6 | 8260–97 |
| 2034 | 7.92.4–17.3 | 8256–105 |
| 2035 | 6.92.4–14.4 | 8773–107 |
| 2036 | 7.32.6–14.6 | 8764–114 |
| 2037 | 7.32.6–13.3 | 8465–100 |
| 2038 | 6.53–15.1 | 8366–108 |
| 2039 | 6.92.6–14.3 | 8370–104 |
| 2040 | 7.72.3–16 | 8466–103 |
| 2041 | 8.12.6–15.2 | 8463–105 |
| 2042 | 6.93–16 | 8769–101 |
| 2043 | 7.92.8–15.6 | 8762–109 |
| 2044 | 7.93.1–16.6 | 8464–104 |
| 2045 | 9.23.2–19.6 | 9173–103 |
| 2046 | 8.93.2–17.6 | 8864–105 |
| 2047 | 9.74–19.2 | 9570–116 |
| 2048 | 9.13.4–17 | 9269–111 |
| 2049 | 10.13.7–20.8 | 8981–112 |
| 2050 | 10.94.8–18.9 | 9678–121 |
| 2051 | 9.23.5–18.4 | 9172–117 |
| 2052 | 103.4–21.2 | 9370–119 |
| 2053 | 8.73.8–18 | 9581–110 |
| 2054 | 9.74.4–19.2 | 10075–112 |
| 2055 | 9.93.9–17.2 | 10578–117 |
| 2056 | 114.3–21.8 | 9682–121 |
| 2057 | 10.94.2–19.8 | 9477–116 |
| 2058 | 13.85.1–25.7 | 10086–121 |
| 2059 | 11.23.3–25 | 9576–122 |
| 2060 | 12.86.1–22 | 10383–113 |
| 2061 | 12.64.7–23.2 | 9981–126 |
| 2062 | 12.36.2–22.4 | 10083–115 |
| 2063 | 125.2–24.9 | 10688–125 |
| 2064 | 125.3–21.6 | 10479–116 |
| 2065 | 12.53.9–30.8 | 9875–120 |
| 2066 | 11.55.3–22.1 | 10169–127 |
| 2067 | 18.38.1–33.3 | 10288–124 |
| 2068 | 135.4–23.4 | 10184–119 |
| 2069 | 15.65.7–25.5 | 10683–130 |
| 2070 | 13.55.2–29.1 | 10079–125 |
| 2071 | 154.4–30.2 | 10984–127 |
| 2072 | 15.57.4–26 | 10584–121 |
| 2073 | 13.96–29.1 | 10386–115 |
| 2074 | 12.84.3–27.3 | 10171–121 |
| 2075 | 13.96.3–25.6 | 10483–121 |
| 2076 | 166.1–33.8 | 10689–121 |
| 2077 | 13.25–29.8 | 9983–122 |
| 2078 | 13.75.1–33.6 | 10886–131 |
| 2079 | 12.95.3–28.4 | 10485–123 |
| 2080 | 14.45.4–27.9 | 10887–133 |
| 2081 | 15.15.8–29.8 | 10792–127 |
| 2082 | 16.46.1–33.9 | 10991–125 |
| 2083 | 15.97.9–32 | 11394–125 |
| 2084 | 14.16.6–27.7 | 11092–130 |
| 2085 | 16.57.3–30.2 | 11193–123 |
| 2086 | 19.55.5–32.4 | 11191–131 |
| 2087 | 196.9–38 | 11395–138 |
| 2088 | 18.47.7–35.2 | 11390–128 |
| 2089 | 1910.6–29.3 | 11298–127 |
| 2090 | 16.36.8–33.5 | 10991–131 |
| 2091 | 19.77.6–32.3 | 11091–134 |
| 2092 | 17.36.1–32.7 | 11287–133 |
| 2093 | 156.5–29.8 | 10782–127 |
| 2094 | 18.68.5–32.8 | 10783–120 |
| 2095 | 19.25.9–38.9 | 10792–128 |
| 2096 | 19.37.6–35.5 | 11283–135 |
| 2097 | 17.36.2–36.1 | 11189–136 |
| 2098 | 18.16.9–36.3 | 11191–136 |
| 2099 | 20.37.4–34.6 | 11691–132 |
| 2100 | 19.27–36.7 | 11380–133 |
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须知
- 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
- 来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
- 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
- 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。
各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么： 历年各国数据