危地马拉与秘鲁：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：危地马拉为 171.5 夜，秘鲁为 164.5 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年危地马拉的数值较高，高出 7 夜，是秘鲁的 1.04 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

危地马拉秘鲁CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1987 年超过秘鲁以来，危地马拉的数值一直更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年危地马拉为 230.9 夜，秘鲁为 192.3 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	危地马拉	秘鲁
2014	171.5	164.5
2013	175.4	163.1
2012	171.8	164.8
2011	173.8	164.3
2010	171.4	163.3
2009	169.7	162.3
2008	167.8	162
2007	167.6	159.8
2006	167.2	159.1
2005	169.2	159.3
2004	167.4	161.8
2003	165.8	160.5
2002	165.7	159.9
2001	165.3	160.7
2000	163.6	158
1999	162	155.7
1998	162.1	157.4
1997	160.7	156.1
1996	157.9	152.2
1995	153.5	152.1
1994	155	150.8
1993	153.5	148.5
1992	151.7	144
1991	158.2	156
1990	161.9	158.3
1989	157.5	153.2
1988	154.2	151.2
1987	154.7	152
1986	153.1	153.4
1985	150.7	149
1984	150.3	148.3
1983	148.1	145.4
1982	151.3	151.4
1981	156.7	153.1
1980	152.3	150.9
1979	153	150.5
1978	149.5	149.1
1977	150.6	150.3
1976	151.6	147.5
1975	147.4	142.1
1974	150.2	148.6
1973	149.6	151.5
1972	148.2	147.6
1971	145.5	145.7
1970	145.4	145.6
1969	146.8	147
1968	146.7	146
1967	142.7	142.3
1966	145.9	145.7
1965	143.3	143.3
1964	143	141.6
1963	144.6	135.9
1962	149.5	148.9
1961	149.8	146.5
1960	151.4	149.8
1959	147.4	146.1
1958	150.5	149.1
1957	151.1	148.7
1956	148.2	144
1955	152.5	148.3
1954	150.4	148.7
1953	149.3	148.2
1952	150.3	148.1
1951	151.8	147.2
1950	148.6	147.8

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	危地马拉	秘鲁
2015	177158.4–194.6	164.3148.5–174.9
2016	178.5161.5–195.5	163.4149.8–171.5
2017	182.8166.6–194.9	165.5155–175.2
2018	180.2165–196.4	165152.9–176.6
2019	181.7159.3–199.5	163.7151–176.8
2020	184.1161.8–198.6	165.3151.6–176.2
2021	184.4168.1–201.1	167.6154.7–177.3
2022	184.6165.7–198.4	169.5156.6–179.2
2023	186.3171.1–207	167.1156.3–178.4
2024	187.1169.9–207.3	170.6157.3–180.2
2025	187.4169.7–205.6	168.6155–179.9
2026	190.9167.9–211	167.8153.3–179.7
2027	188.4171.9–210.9	168.3155.2–178.8
2028	191.3175.8–208.5	169.8158.3–179.9
2029	192.7175.6–208.8	174162.8–181.7
2030	191173.3–207.9	168.1153.2–180.6
2031	193.6175.3–211.4	172.5156.2–183.7
2032	196.4178.7–214.8	173.2162.7–184.7
2033	193.3174.6–208.5	172156.5–181
2034	193.5176.2–214.4	171.6158.7–185.6
2035	193.4177.7–212.8	172159.3–184.1
2036	194.4180.5–212.8	172.5160.7–183.2
2037	199.1180–216.2	175.6166.3–185.3
2038	202.6184.8–216.7	175.8164.6–184.9
2039	199181.6–217.6	174.1162.7–185
2040	200.3182.9–217.9	175.4163.9–187
2041	200.7182.1–218.2	176.5165.3–186.1
2042	201.6180.3–222.1	176.3161.9–189.7
2043	201.7182.3–226.4	174.8163.7–185.3
2044	200.8184.9–222.3	175.3161.9–188.2
2045	203.6188.7–225.1	177.3165.5–186.9
2046	204.5183.3–227.5	180.3167.4–189.9
2047	207.5190.3–227.5	178.6167.5–189
2048	208.2188.9–229.4	181.2168.2–192.2
2049	210.1188.7–227.4	180.4168.1–189.8
2050	211.4188–230.7	178.6166.4–190.8
2051	208.1192.7–229.2	180.3168.5–190.6
2052	207.7193–227.9	181.5170.8–191.7
2053	209.8186.4–233.2	179.5168.3–190.8
2054	209.5194.7–233.2	180.1167.3–193.9
2055	212.4196.2–231.9	181.7171–194.8
2056	210.9193.3–233.1	182.2170–193
2057	213.3193.7–232.4	181.6168.7–193
2058	211.7192.3–238.1	183.1169.4–195.5
2059	214.5190.4–237.4	184.6169.7–195.3
2060	217.4196.4–237.3	185.6171.1–197.1
2061	213.9193.7–237.1	182.7169.9–195.8
2062	216.3194–237.3	184.3168.7–196.9
2063	217.2197–240.8	184.6170.8–196.9
2064	214.5196.1–236.1	184.4170.1–194.8
2065	217.3195.2–238.2	186.3173.3–196.9
2066	217.9195.2–240	185.6172.3–197.4
2067	216.4194.1–241.1	184.3169.4–198.2
2068	221200.2–243.4	186.1172.1–198.3
2069	219.9200.5–241.9	184.9169–198.3
2070	219.6199.9–242.6	185.4171.8–198.4
2071	222.5203.4–243	187.3173.3–198.7
2072	225.6200.4–247.6	188.1174.9–199.8
2073	224.4199.9–248.3	187.6175.9–202.1
2074	222.5202.2–245.9	186.4169.5–198.9
2075	220.2198.7–242.6	186.4170.6–198.3
2076	222.9195.4–247.7	188.8174.2–201
2077	225.2198.3–245.9	189.1174.7–201.8
2078	225.4197.8–245.9	188.4175.6–202.3
2079	223.4199.3–248.2	188172–199.7
2080	223.4201–250.7	189.1172.8–201.7
2081	224202.5–246.6	188.4173.6–201.8
2082	224.8201.3–245.9	188.8174.8–199.7
2083	225202.3–250.5	189.9175.7–204.7
2084	227.9204.9–249.9	190.7176.3–204.4
2085	227.7199.2–251.3	192176.2–204.6
2086	224.9202.3–249.6	189.1175.4–204
2087	227.1197.8–249.7	189.1175.9–203.6
2088	230.6207.4–255.5	191.1174.7–204.9
2089	229.7207.4–251.4	190.1174.3–203
2090	228.2210–253.4	190.4177–206.2
2091	231.4206.6–255.4	192.6174.4–205.9
2092	230.1207.4–253.4	192.6176.6–204.7
2093	226.7206–255.5	190.6176–206
2094	227.3204.4–251.7	192.3178.2–204.1
2095	231.1207.7–255.5	193.4176.5–207.3
2096	229.9206.3–255.5	191.4176.2–207.6
2097	226.7208.6–249.5	190.7174.9–202.2
2098	231.1202.9–259.1	192.9177.8–208.9
2099	230.2203.1–256.5	191.5176.8–205
2100	230.9208.9–255.1	192.3176.6–205.6

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

危地马拉与秘鲁对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数危地马拉：2022 年为 0 人死亡秘鲁：2022 年为 0 人死亡