洪都拉斯与墨西哥：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：洪都拉斯为 176.7 夜，墨西哥为 103.7 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年洪都拉斯的数值较高，高出 73 夜，是墨西哥的 1.7 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

洪都拉斯墨西哥CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，洪都拉斯的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年洪都拉斯为 279.1 夜，墨西哥为 142.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	洪都拉斯	墨西哥
2014	176.7	103.7
2013	181.1	103.9
2012	181.4	102.8
2011	180.5	102.9
2010	176.9	101.5
2009	174.4	101.8
2008	170.5	100.1
2007	171.8	99.1
2006	171	99.8
2005	171.6	99.5
2004	174.2	99.4
2003	170.2	98.3
2002	169.1	99.1
2001	168.2	98.7
2000	164.8	97.9
1999	162.2	96.6
1998	163	95.8
1997	160.4	95.9
1996	154.7	93.8
1995	152.5	92.7
1994	151.9	90.7
1993	149	89
1992	145	88.5
1991	156.7	93.4
1990	162.1	94.9
1989	153.8	93
1988	151.1	92.1
1987	151.9	92
1986	151.3	90.2
1985	146.1	90
1984	147.5	88
1983	143.7	86.7
1982	148.4	88.7
1981	150.9	91.5
1980	147.8	90.1
1979	148.9	90.8
1978	146	89
1977	148.6	89
1976	145.5	89.1
1975	141.8	86.8
1974	146.8	87.9
1973	145.1	88.6
1972	140.4	87.7
1971	141.1	86.8
1970	140.6	86.1
1969	142.2	87.5
1968	141.9	87.1
1967	138.4	86.7
1966	139.9	86.4
1965	138.1	84.9
1964	138.4	84.7
1963	136.8	87.1
1962	144.2	88
1961	145.5	89.5
1960	146.1	89.7
1959	143.3	89.6
1958	147.6	89.1
1957	144.5	89
1956	143.8	88.5
1955	146.3	88.2
1954	144	88.4
1953	143.2	88.6
1952	143.6	87.8
1951	145.5	89.4
1950	143.7	88.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	洪都拉斯	墨西哥
2015	186.4151.3–215.3	106.192.9–118.4
2016	185.7154.8–211.9	107.695–120
2017	194.4164.9–215.2	108.696.3–119.7
2018	190.6168.8–218.5	10997.1–120.4
2019	189161–221	110.396.4–123
2020	196.8164.4–223	109.696.8–121.8
2021	199.3176.3–226.8	111.296.9–124.1
2022	202.9173–227.6	109.796–121.7
2023	198.1175.2–230.1	111.898.6–125.3
2024	204.7177.9–233.2	112.298.2–126.2
2025	202.7173.9–230.8	11298.8–125.8
2026	206.8174–235.2	113.999.5–126.4
2027	206.5177.9–235.7	112.999.5–128.3
2028	211.3184–238.7	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	210.3185.4–244.5	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	208.9176.9–241.7	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	217.3187.1–246.4	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	218.9194.5–247.9	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	213.3188.2–239.7	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	211.3186.1–248.7	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	215.3184.2–248.2	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	215.5194.1–242.5	117.8105.1–131
2037	226.4202.4–251.6	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	228.9198.7–256.2	121107.5–133.4
2039	224.4196.6–256.2	121.3107–135.6
2040	225.1201–258	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	225.9203–251.8	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	229.3200.2–262.8	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	224.4199–262.5	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	224.8201.2–262.7	121.9108–135.6
2045	231206.1–262.3	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	236.9204.5–267.7	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	236.3213.3–269.3	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	241.2216.7–268.9	126.3113–140.3
2049	244.8213.5–270.7	127111.2–140.8
2050	241.1207.2–277.8	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	239.9210.5–270.2	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	245.1215.7–271.2	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	240.8211.7–277.5	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	243.9220.4–286.6	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	248.1220.1–282.1	129114.4–144.7
2056	245.6213.1–279	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	249.4214.2–279.1	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	248.4217.2–289.1	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	252.6220.5–283.1	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	256.8225.2–289.4	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	254.5220.4–285.9	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	252.8217.4–291.1	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	258.7226.2–288	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	252.1224.1–285.7	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	258.1226.9–288.9	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	256.4227.7–287.4	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	258.3228.2–294.9	133.3117–150.3
2068	264.6231.2–295	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	258.1229.3–292	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	256.9225.3–297.9	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	261.9231–292.9	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	267.3235.2–300.4	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	268.1233.7–304.7	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	263.7234.2–295.9	136119.7–152.2
2075	262.1229.5–295.4	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	266.8231.8–298.5	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	268.6232.1–298.8	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	270.1236.8–299.6	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	265.3229.5–304.2	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	268.4230.2–304.2	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	268231.9–300.8	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	267.4230.2–301.8	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	268.3236.2–307.4	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	273.9235.2–307.1	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	276.4234.2–305.9	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	267.9238.8–305.2	139.8121–157.8
2087	270.4233.7–301.8	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	277239.9–310.2	141121.8–159.9
2089	275.4246–309.8	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	275.3244.1–307	141.2123–160.7
2091	281.9240.6–310.6	141.8123–161.6
2092	277.1245.6–312.3	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	272.8244.2–311.6	141.4124.3–161
2094	274.9245.2–308.4	142123.3–159.6
2095	280.8244.6–313.5	143.5124–160.7
2096	275.2245.8–313.5	142.3125–161.3
2097	276247.2–305.4	141.2123.2–160
2098	278.9238.9–313.4	142.2122.5–162
2099	280.8240.6–312.8	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	279.1248.3–309.6	142.8124.3–160.8

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

洪都拉斯与墨西哥对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数洪都拉斯：2022 年为 0 人死亡墨西哥：2022 年为 14,210 人死亡