Honduras vs Mexico: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 176.7 nights in Honduras and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Honduras, by 73 nights, or 1.7 times that in Mexico.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

HondurasMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Honduras has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Honduras at 279.1 nights and Mexico at 142.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Honduras	Mexico
2014	176.7	103.7
2013	181.1	103.9
2012	181.4	102.8
2011	180.5	102.9
2010	176.9	101.5
2009	174.4	101.8
2008	170.5	100.1
2007	171.8	99.1
2006	171	99.8
2005	171.6	99.5
2004	174.2	99.4
2003	170.2	98.3
2002	169.1	99.1
2001	168.2	98.7
2000	164.8	97.9
1999	162.2	96.6
1998	163	95.8
1997	160.4	95.9
1996	154.7	93.8
1995	152.5	92.7
1994	151.9	90.7
1993	149	89
1992	145	88.5
1991	156.7	93.4
1990	162.1	94.9
1989	153.8	93
1988	151.1	92.1
1987	151.9	92
1986	151.3	90.2
1985	146.1	90
1984	147.5	88
1983	143.7	86.7
1982	148.4	88.7
1981	150.9	91.5
1980	147.8	90.1
1979	148.9	90.8
1978	146	89
1977	148.6	89
1976	145.5	89.1
1975	141.8	86.8
1974	146.8	87.9
1973	145.1	88.6
1972	140.4	87.7
1971	141.1	86.8
1970	140.6	86.1
1969	142.2	87.5
1968	141.9	87.1
1967	138.4	86.7
1966	139.9	86.4
1965	138.1	84.9
1964	138.4	84.7
1963	136.8	87.1
1962	144.2	88
1961	145.5	89.5
1960	146.1	89.7
1959	143.3	89.6
1958	147.6	89.1
1957	144.5	89
1956	143.8	88.5
1955	146.3	88.2
1954	144	88.4
1953	143.2	88.6
1952	143.6	87.8
1951	145.5	89.4
1950	143.7	88.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Honduras	Mexico
2015	186.4151.3–215.3	106.192.9–118.4
2016	185.7154.8–211.9	107.695–120
2017	194.4164.9–215.2	108.696.3–119.7
2018	190.6168.8–218.5	10997.1–120.4
2019	189161–221	110.396.4–123
2020	196.8164.4–223	109.696.8–121.8
2021	199.3176.3–226.8	111.296.9–124.1
2022	202.9173–227.6	109.796–121.7
2023	198.1175.2–230.1	111.898.6–125.3
2024	204.7177.9–233.2	112.298.2–126.2
2025	202.7173.9–230.8	11298.8–125.8
2026	206.8174–235.2	113.999.5–126.4
2027	206.5177.9–235.7	112.999.5–128.3
2028	211.3184–238.7	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	210.3185.4–244.5	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	208.9176.9–241.7	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	217.3187.1–246.4	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	218.9194.5–247.9	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	213.3188.2–239.7	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	211.3186.1–248.7	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	215.3184.2–248.2	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	215.5194.1–242.5	117.8105.1–131
2037	226.4202.4–251.6	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	228.9198.7–256.2	121107.5–133.4
2039	224.4196.6–256.2	121.3107–135.6
2040	225.1201–258	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	225.9203–251.8	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	229.3200.2–262.8	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	224.4199–262.5	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	224.8201.2–262.7	121.9108–135.6
2045	231206.1–262.3	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	236.9204.5–267.7	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	236.3213.3–269.3	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	241.2216.7–268.9	126.3113–140.3
2049	244.8213.5–270.7	127111.2–140.8
2050	241.1207.2–277.8	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	239.9210.5–270.2	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	245.1215.7–271.2	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	240.8211.7–277.5	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	243.9220.4–286.6	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	248.1220.1–282.1	129114.4–144.7
2056	245.6213.1–279	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	249.4214.2–279.1	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	248.4217.2–289.1	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	252.6220.5–283.1	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	256.8225.2–289.4	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	254.5220.4–285.9	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	252.8217.4–291.1	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	258.7226.2–288	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	252.1224.1–285.7	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	258.1226.9–288.9	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	256.4227.7–287.4	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	258.3228.2–294.9	133.3117–150.3
2068	264.6231.2–295	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	258.1229.3–292	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	256.9225.3–297.9	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	261.9231–292.9	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	267.3235.2–300.4	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	268.1233.7–304.7	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	263.7234.2–295.9	136119.7–152.2
2075	262.1229.5–295.4	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	266.8231.8–298.5	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	268.6232.1–298.8	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	270.1236.8–299.6	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	265.3229.5–304.2	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	268.4230.2–304.2	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	268231.9–300.8	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	267.4230.2–301.8	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	268.3236.2–307.4	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	273.9235.2–307.1	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	276.4234.2–305.9	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	267.9238.8–305.2	139.8121–157.8
2087	270.4233.7–301.8	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	277239.9–310.2	141121.8–159.9
2089	275.4246–309.8	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	275.3244.1–307	141.2123–160.7
2091	281.9240.6–310.6	141.8123–161.6
2092	277.1245.6–312.3	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	272.8244.2–311.6	141.4124.3–161
2094	274.9245.2–308.4	142123.3–159.6
2095	280.8244.6–313.5	143.5124–160.7
2096	275.2245.8–313.5	142.3125–161.3
2097	276247.2–305.4	141.2123.2–160
2098	278.9238.9–313.4	142.2122.5–162
2099	280.8240.6–312.8	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	279.1248.3–309.6	142.8124.3–160.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Honduras vs Mexico: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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