Honduras

Tropical nights in Honduras

Tropical nights in Honduras: 143.7 nights in 1950 and 176.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
176.7 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+33 nights
Projected, 2100
279.1 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in HondurasTropical nights in Honduras: 143.7 nights in 1950 and 176.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 279.1 nights in 2100, between 248.3 nights and 309.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 279.1 nights in 2100, between 248.3 nights and 309.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 181.4 nights in 2012, the lowest 136.8 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearHonduras
2014176.7
2013181.1
2012181.4
2011180.5
2010176.9
2009174.4
2008170.5
2007171.8
2006171
2005171.6
2004174.2
2003170.2
2002169.1
2001168.2
2000164.8
1999162.2
1998163
1997160.4
1996154.7
1995152.5
1994151.9
1993149
1992145
1991156.7
1990162.1
1989153.8
1988151.1
1987151.9
1986151.3
1985146.1
1984147.5
1983143.7
1982148.4
1981150.9
1980147.8
1979148.9
1978146
1977148.6
1976145.5
1975141.8
1974146.8
1973145.1
1972140.4
1971141.1
1970140.6
1969142.2
1968141.9
1967138.4
1966139.9
1965138.1
1964138.4
1963136.8
1962144.2
1961145.5
1960146.1
1959143.3
1958147.6
1957144.5
1956143.8
1955146.3
1954144
1953143.2
1952143.6
1951145.5
1950143.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearHonduras
2015186.4151.3–215.3
2016185.7154.8–211.9
2017194.4164.9–215.2
2018190.6168.8–218.5
2019189161–221
2020196.8164.4–223
2021199.3176.3–226.8
2022202.9173–227.6
2023198.1175.2–230.1
2024204.7177.9–233.2
2025202.7173.9–230.8
2026206.8174–235.2
2027206.5177.9–235.7
2028211.3184–238.7
2029210.3185.4–244.5
2030208.9176.9–241.7
2031217.3187.1–246.4
2032218.9194.5–247.9
2033213.3188.2–239.7
2034211.3186.1–248.7
2035215.3184.2–248.2
2036215.5194.1–242.5
2037226.4202.4–251.6
2038228.9198.7–256.2
2039224.4196.6–256.2
2040225.1201–258
2041225.9203–251.8
2042229.3200.2–262.8
2043224.4199–262.5
2044224.8201.2–262.7
2045231206.1–262.3
2046236.9204.5–267.7
2047236.3213.3–269.3
2048241.2216.7–268.9
2049244.8213.5–270.7
2050241.1207.2–277.8
2051239.9210.5–270.2
2052245.1215.7–271.2
2053240.8211.7–277.5
2054243.9220.4–286.6
2055248.1220.1–282.1
2056245.6213.1–279
2057249.4214.2–279.1
2058248.4217.2–289.1
2059252.6220.5–283.1
2060256.8225.2–289.4
2061254.5220.4–285.9
2062252.8217.4–291.1
2063258.7226.2–288
2064252.1224.1–285.7
2065258.1226.9–288.9
2066256.4227.7–287.4
2067258.3228.2–294.9
2068264.6231.2–295
2069258.1229.3–292
2070256.9225.3–297.9
2071261.9231–292.9
2072267.3235.2–300.4
2073268.1233.7–304.7
2074263.7234.2–295.9
2075262.1229.5–295.4
2076266.8231.8–298.5
2077268.6232.1–298.8
2078270.1236.8–299.6
2079265.3229.5–304.2
2080268.4230.2–304.2
2081268231.9–300.8
2082267.4230.2–301.8
2083268.3236.2–307.4
2084273.9235.2–307.1
2085276.4234.2–305.9
2086267.9238.8–305.2
2087270.4233.7–301.8
2088277239.9–310.2
2089275.4246–309.8
2090275.3244.1–307
2091281.9240.6–310.6
2092277.1245.6–312.3
2093272.8244.2–311.6
2094274.9245.2–308.4
2095280.8244.6–313.5
2096275.2245.8–313.5
2097276247.2–305.4
2098278.9238.9–313.4
2099280.8240.6–312.8
2100279.1248.3–309.6

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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