El Salvador

Tropical nights in El Salvador

Tropical nights in El Salvador: 271.4 nights in 1950 and 301.6 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
301.6 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+30.2 nights
Projected, 2100
347.4 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in El SalvadorTropical nights in El Salvador: 271.4 nights in 1950 and 301.6 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 347.4 nights in 2100, between 334.3 nights and 355.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 347.4 nights in 2100, between 334.3 nights and 355.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 305.8 nights in 2013, the lowest 263.6 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearEl Salvador
2014301.6
2013305.8
2012305.1
2011304.2
2010302.1
2009300
2008296.7
2007297.7
2006296.9
2005299.1
2004299.9
2003295.3
2002298.2
2001295.9
2000292.2
1999291.9
1998290.5
1997288
1996285.2
1995282.4
1994279.2
1993276.2
1992276.2
1991285.5
1990289.4
1989284.2
1988282.2
1987282.7
1986279.8
1985274
1984274.7
1983270.6
1982276.1
1981282.8
1980279.3
1979277
1978275.2
1977274.6
1976276.7
1975270.6
1974273.9
1973275.9
1972271.4
1971267.3
1970267.4
1969267.9
1968271.9
1967265.2
1966266.9
1965266.5
1964264.9
1963263.6
1962272.1
1961275.3
1960276.4
1959269.9
1958274.1
1957274.1
1956272.3
1955274.6
1954272.9
1953273.9
1952273.6
1951274.5
1950271.4
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEl Salvador
2015307.4284–327.3
2016310.7289.4–330.2
2017313.6294.7–330.5
2018310.7295.3–328.9
2019312.5292.8–331.9
2020316.3295.1–330.6
2021316.4299.2–333.1
2022317.9298–330.1
2023319.4303.1–333.1
2024319.4299.5–335.1
2025320298.7–333.5
2026320.9296.6–336.8
2027322.1301.3–337.9
2028323.4306–337.4
2029323.3302.1–337.1
2030323.5301.5–338.3
2031326.8307.7–339.8
2032328.9311.8–340.8
2033323.9309.1–338.8
2034323.9305.9–342.6
2035326.2310.1–343.2
2036326309–339.3
2037327.9315.8–340.2
2038332.1314.9–342.1
2039329.2314–343.8
2040330.4314.8–343.5
2041333.1314.1–343.4
2042333.3317.1–343.4
2043332312.3–346.7
2044331.9316.8–345.7
2045331.8318.9–345.8
2046332.4315.5–345.4
2047334.9322.4–347.9
2048337.4322.1–348.5
2049338320.5–349
2050339.9319.8–349.2
2051336.5319.8–347.4
2052334.7319.3–348.6
2053339.8317.5–351
2054339.5326.5–349.6
2055338.3324.8–350.1
2056338322.1–350.8
2057341.4324.3–350.1
2058339.7326.2–351.6
2059339.3319.8–349.3
2060340.5325.6–350.9
2061340.4325.6–352.1
2062341.9324–351.1
2063341327.2–352.9
2064338.6325.2–351.1
2065340.3326.6–350.6
2066338.9324–351.2
2067342.2327.7–353.4
2068344.2331.5–354.7
2069344329.5–353
2070344329.2–353.5
2071344.2332.2–355.2
2072347.5328.6–355.9
2073343326–355.8
2074345.8331.4–355.8
2075342.5327.8–355.3
2076345.8325.9–356
2077344.4330.1–354.9
2078347.4329.3–356.6
2079342.9326.9–355.1
2080344.7329.5–357.8
2081344.4329–353.6
2082344.5328.8–355.8
2083344.4329.6–356.7
2084347.3333.4–356.6
2085346.2328.4–356
2086345.6329.1–354.9
2087346.8330.4–355.5
2088348.9335.4–358.4
2089348.7332.1–357
2090349335.4–358.9
2091347.7334.5–357.6
2092348.1335.4–358.1
2093348.2333.7–356.6
2094348333.9–356.6
2095349.1334.4–357.2
2096349.2333.1–357.7
2097347.1335.3–356.1
2098348.4330.7–358.4
2099347.7331.7–357.8
2100347.4334.3–355.9

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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