Guatemala

Tropical nights in Guatemala

Tropical nights in Guatemala: 148.6 nights in 1950 and 171.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
171.5 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+22.9 nights
Projected, 2100
230.9 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in GuatemalaTropical nights in Guatemala: 148.6 nights in 1950 and 171.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 230.9 nights in 2100, between 208.9 nights and 255.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 230.9 nights in 2100, between 208.9 nights and 255.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 175.4 nights in 2013, the lowest 142.7 nights in 1967.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearGuatemala
2014171.5
2013175.4
2012171.8
2011173.8
2010171.4
2009169.7
2008167.8
2007167.6
2006167.2
2005169.2
2004167.4
2003165.8
2002165.7
2001165.3
2000163.6
1999162
1998162.1
1997160.7
1996157.9
1995153.5
1994155
1993153.5
1992151.7
1991158.2
1990161.9
1989157.5
1988154.2
1987154.7
1986153.1
1985150.7
1984150.3
1983148.1
1982151.3
1981156.7
1980152.3
1979153
1978149.5
1977150.6
1976151.6
1975147.4
1974150.2
1973149.6
1972148.2
1971145.5
1970145.4
1969146.8
1968146.7
1967142.7
1966145.9
1965143.3
1964143
1963144.6
1962149.5
1961149.8
1960151.4
1959147.4
1958150.5
1957151.1
1956148.2
1955152.5
1954150.4
1953149.3
1952150.3
1951151.8
1950148.6
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearGuatemala
2015177158.4–194.6
2016178.5161.5–195.5
2017182.8166.6–194.9
2018180.2165–196.4
2019181.7159.3–199.5
2020184.1161.8–198.6
2021184.4168.1–201.1
2022184.6165.7–198.4
2023186.3171.1–207
2024187.1169.9–207.3
2025187.4169.7–205.6
2026190.9167.9–211
2027188.4171.9–210.9
2028191.3175.8–208.5
2029192.7175.6–208.8
2030191173.3–207.9
2031193.6175.3–211.4
2032196.4178.7–214.8
2033193.3174.6–208.5
2034193.5176.2–214.4
2035193.4177.7–212.8
2036194.4180.5–212.8
2037199.1180–216.2
2038202.6184.8–216.7
2039199181.6–217.6
2040200.3182.9–217.9
2041200.7182.1–218.2
2042201.6180.3–222.1
2043201.7182.3–226.4
2044200.8184.9–222.3
2045203.6188.7–225.1
2046204.5183.3–227.5
2047207.5190.3–227.5
2048208.2188.9–229.4
2049210.1188.7–227.4
2050211.4188–230.7
2051208.1192.7–229.2
2052207.7193–227.9
2053209.8186.4–233.2
2054209.5194.7–233.2
2055212.4196.2–231.9
2056210.9193.3–233.1
2057213.3193.7–232.4
2058211.7192.3–238.1
2059214.5190.4–237.4
2060217.4196.4–237.3
2061213.9193.7–237.1
2062216.3194–237.3
2063217.2197–240.8
2064214.5196.1–236.1
2065217.3195.2–238.2
2066217.9195.2–240
2067216.4194.1–241.1
2068221200.2–243.4
2069219.9200.5–241.9
2070219.6199.9–242.6
2071222.5203.4–243
2072225.6200.4–247.6
2073224.4199.9–248.3
2074222.5202.2–245.9
2075220.2198.7–242.6
2076222.9195.4–247.7
2077225.2198.3–245.9
2078225.4197.8–245.9
2079223.4199.3–248.2
2080223.4201–250.7
2081224202.5–246.6
2082224.8201.3–245.9
2083225202.3–250.5
2084227.9204.9–249.9
2085227.7199.2–251.3
2086224.9202.3–249.6
2087227.1197.8–249.7
2088230.6207.4–255.5
2089229.7207.4–251.4
2090228.2210–253.4
2091231.4206.6–255.4
2092230.1207.4–253.4
2093226.7206–255.5
2094227.3204.4–251.7
2095231.1207.7–255.5
2096229.9206.3–255.5
2097226.7208.6–249.5
2098231.1202.9–259.1
2099230.2203.1–256.5
2100230.9208.9–255.1

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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