Guatemala vs Mexico: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 171.5 nights in Guatemala and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Guatemala, by 67.8 nights, or 1.65 times that in Mexico.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

GuatemalaMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Guatemala has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Guatemala at 230.9 nights and Mexico at 142.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Guatemala	Mexico
2014	171.5	103.7
2013	175.4	103.9
2012	171.8	102.8
2011	173.8	102.9
2010	171.4	101.5
2009	169.7	101.8
2008	167.8	100.1
2007	167.6	99.1
2006	167.2	99.8
2005	169.2	99.5
2004	167.4	99.4
2003	165.8	98.3
2002	165.7	99.1
2001	165.3	98.7
2000	163.6	97.9
1999	162	96.6
1998	162.1	95.8
1997	160.7	95.9
1996	157.9	93.8
1995	153.5	92.7
1994	155	90.7
1993	153.5	89
1992	151.7	88.5
1991	158.2	93.4
1990	161.9	94.9
1989	157.5	93
1988	154.2	92.1
1987	154.7	92
1986	153.1	90.2
1985	150.7	90
1984	150.3	88
1983	148.1	86.7
1982	151.3	88.7
1981	156.7	91.5
1980	152.3	90.1
1979	153	90.8
1978	149.5	89
1977	150.6	89
1976	151.6	89.1
1975	147.4	86.8
1974	150.2	87.9
1973	149.6	88.6
1972	148.2	87.7
1971	145.5	86.8
1970	145.4	86.1
1969	146.8	87.5
1968	146.7	87.1
1967	142.7	86.7
1966	145.9	86.4
1965	143.3	84.9
1964	143	84.7
1963	144.6	87.1
1962	149.5	88
1961	149.8	89.5
1960	151.4	89.7
1959	147.4	89.6
1958	150.5	89.1
1957	151.1	89
1956	148.2	88.5
1955	152.5	88.2
1954	150.4	88.4
1953	149.3	88.6
1952	150.3	87.8
1951	151.8	89.4
1950	148.6	88.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Guatemala	Mexico
2015	177158.4–194.6	106.192.9–118.4
2016	178.5161.5–195.5	107.695–120
2017	182.8166.6–194.9	108.696.3–119.7
2018	180.2165–196.4	10997.1–120.4
2019	181.7159.3–199.5	110.396.4–123
2020	184.1161.8–198.6	109.696.8–121.8
2021	184.4168.1–201.1	111.296.9–124.1
2022	184.6165.7–198.4	109.796–121.7
2023	186.3171.1–207	111.898.6–125.3
2024	187.1169.9–207.3	112.298.2–126.2
2025	187.4169.7–205.6	11298.8–125.8
2026	190.9167.9–211	113.999.5–126.4
2027	188.4171.9–210.9	112.999.5–128.3
2028	191.3175.8–208.5	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	192.7175.6–208.8	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	191173.3–207.9	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	193.6175.3–211.4	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	196.4178.7–214.8	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	193.3174.6–208.5	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	193.5176.2–214.4	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	193.4177.7–212.8	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	194.4180.5–212.8	117.8105.1–131
2037	199.1180–216.2	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	202.6184.8–216.7	121107.5–133.4
2039	199181.6–217.6	121.3107–135.6
2040	200.3182.9–217.9	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	200.7182.1–218.2	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	201.6180.3–222.1	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	201.7182.3–226.4	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	200.8184.9–222.3	121.9108–135.6
2045	203.6188.7–225.1	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	204.5183.3–227.5	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	207.5190.3–227.5	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	208.2188.9–229.4	126.3113–140.3
2049	210.1188.7–227.4	127111.2–140.8
2050	211.4188–230.7	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	208.1192.7–229.2	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	207.7193–227.9	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	209.8186.4–233.2	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	209.5194.7–233.2	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	212.4196.2–231.9	129114.4–144.7
2056	210.9193.3–233.1	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	213.3193.7–232.4	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	211.7192.3–238.1	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	214.5190.4–237.4	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	217.4196.4–237.3	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	213.9193.7–237.1	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	216.3194–237.3	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	217.2197–240.8	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	214.5196.1–236.1	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	217.3195.2–238.2	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	217.9195.2–240	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	216.4194.1–241.1	133.3117–150.3
2068	221200.2–243.4	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	219.9200.5–241.9	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	219.6199.9–242.6	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	222.5203.4–243	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	225.6200.4–247.6	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	224.4199.9–248.3	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	222.5202.2–245.9	136119.7–152.2
2075	220.2198.7–242.6	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	222.9195.4–247.7	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	225.2198.3–245.9	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	225.4197.8–245.9	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	223.4199.3–248.2	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	223.4201–250.7	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	224202.5–246.6	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	224.8201.3–245.9	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	225202.3–250.5	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	227.9204.9–249.9	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	227.7199.2–251.3	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	224.9202.3–249.6	139.8121–157.8
2087	227.1197.8–249.7	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	230.6207.4–255.5	141121.8–159.9
2089	229.7207.4–251.4	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	228.2210–253.4	141.2123–160.7
2091	231.4206.6–255.4	141.8123–161.6
2092	230.1207.4–253.4	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	226.7206–255.5	141.4124.3–161
2094	227.3204.4–251.7	142123.3–159.6
2095	231.1207.7–255.5	143.5124–160.7
2096	229.9206.3–255.5	142.3125–161.3
2097	226.7208.6–249.5	141.2123.2–160
2098	231.1202.9–259.1	142.2122.5–162
2099	230.2203.1–256.5	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	230.9208.9–255.1	142.8124.3–160.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Guatemala vs Mexico: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Guatemala vs Mexico

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