Guatemala vs Mexico

Guatemala vs Mexico: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 23.7 °C in Guatemala and 21.7 °C in Mexico, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Guatemala, by 2 °C, or 1.09 times that in Mexico.

°C · ERA5

Guatemala vs Mexico: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 23.7 °C in Guatemala and 21.7 °C in Mexico, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Guatemala, by 2 °C, or 1.09 times that in Mexico.
GuatemalaMexicoCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Guatemala has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Guatemala ranked 115 and Mexico ranked 134 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Guatemala at 25.6 °C and Mexico at 23.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearGuatemalaGuatemala: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMexicoMexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202523.723.921.722
202424.2242221.9
202324.123.921.721.9
202223.423.92121.9
202123.623.921.321.9
202023.823.821.621.9
201923.923.721.421.9
201823.223.721.121.8
201723.323.821.421.7
201623.623.621.221.6
201523.623.721.121.6
201423.123.42121.4
201323.323.520.821.5
20122323.521.221.4
201123.223.421.321.4
201023.223.520.521.4
200923.323.421.221.4
200822.523.320.721.3
200722.923.320.721.2
200622.723.22121.2
20052323.32121.3
200422.623.320.421.3
20032323.220.921.2
200222.823.320.821.2
200122.323.320.721.2
200022.223.320.821.2
199922.123.120.721.1
199823.323.12121
199722.923.120.421.1
199622.32320.820.9
199522.822.82120.9
199422.622.92120.8
199322.422.820.520.7
199222.322.720.120.6
199122.52320.220.9
199022.223.120.421
1989222320.420.9
198822.422.920.220.9
198722.422.919.820.9
1986222320.120.8
19852222.82020.7
198421.922.719.920.6
198322.522.62020.5
198222.322.820.520.6
198121.922.920.120.8
198022.122.820.520.7
197922.122.820.120.8
197822.222.720.120.7
19772222.820.220.7
197621.622.819.420.7
197522.222.719.820.6
197421.822.819.920.6
197322.322.719.620.6
197222.322.720.220.6
19712222.619.920.6
197021.922.619.920.6
196922.322.720.220.6
196821.522.719.620.6
196721.822.62020.6
196621.622.619.520.6
196521.822.619.820.5
19642222.519.720.4
196321.922.52020.6
196221.622.820.220.6
196121.622.719.820.7
196021.622.819.820.7
195921.422.619.720.7
19582222.719.920.7
195721.622.820.420.7
195620.922.719.920.7
195521.522.819.920.6
195421.222.820.320.6
195322.122.820.120.6
195221.822.719.920.5
19512222.820.320.7
195021.122.720.320.6
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearGuatemalaGuatemala: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMexicoMexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–2423.2–24.7–2221.4–22.6
2027–2423.5–24.7–2221.4–22.7
2028–24.123.7–24.7–22.121.5–22.7
2029–24.123.6–24.6–22.121.6–22.7
2030–2423.5–24.6–22.221.4–22.7
2031–24.123.6–24.8–22.121.5–22.8
2032–24.223.6–24.9–22.221.5–22.7
2033–2423.5–24.7–22.321.6–22.9
2034–24.123.5–24.9–22.221.7–22.9
2035–24.123.6–24.8–22.221.5–22.9
2036–24.223.7–24.7–22.321.8–22.8
2037–24.423.7–24.9–22.421.5–23
2038–24.523.9–24.9–22.421.7–23.1
2039–24.323.9–25–22.521.8–23.2
2040–24.323.8–25–22.521.9–23.1
2041–24.323.8–24.9–22.521.7–23.1
2042–24.423.6–25.3–22.621.9–23.2
2043–24.423.9–25.3–22.622–23.2
2044–24.423.9–25.3–22.521.9–23.1
2045–24.423.9–25.3–22.621.9–23.3
2046–24.623.9–25.5–22.622–23.3
2047–24.624.1–25.4–22.722.1–23.5
2048–24.724–25.5–22.722.1–23.4
2049–24.724.1–25.4–22.822.1–23.5
2050–24.624.1–25.5–22.822.1–23.5
2051–24.624.2–25.6–22.922.2–23.5
2052–24.724–25.6–22.822.1–23.5
2053–24.624–25.6–22.922.1–23.7
2054–24.824.2–25.5–2322.2–23.6
2055–24.824.2–25.5–2322.2–23.7
2056–24.724.1–25.6–22.922.2–23.7
2057–24.824–25.6–2322.1–23.7
2058–24.824.1–26–22.922.2–23.6
2059–2524.2–25.9–22.922.3–23.7
2060–2524.3–25.7–2322.3–23.7
2061–24.924.3–25.9–2322.4–23.7
2062–24.924.1–26–2322.1–23.9
2063–2524.2–25.9–23.122.4–23.9
2064–2524.3–25.8–23.122.5–23.9
2065–25.124.3–25.9–23.222.3–23.9
2066–2524.4–25.9–23.222.4–23.9
2067–24.924.4–25.8–23.222.5–24
2068–25.224.5–25.9–23.222.4–24
2069–25.124.4–26.2–23.222.3–24
2070–25.124.4–26.1–23.322.4–24.1
2071–25.324.5–26–23.422.5–24.2
2072–25.424.5–26.2–23.422.5–24.1
2073–25.324.6–26.3–23.422.4–24.2
2074–25.224.6–26.3–23.322.6–24.1
2075–25.224.5–26–23.422.4–24.1
2076–25.324.5–26–23.322.4–24.3
2077–25.324.3–26–23.422.4–24.1
2078–25.324.6–26.1–23.522.6–24.3
2079–25.424.3–26.3–23.522.6–24.4
2080–25.324.5–26.3–23.522.6–24.5
2081–25.324.6–26.2–23.522.7–24.3
2082–25.424.4–26.2–23.522.6–24.3
2083–25.324.5–26.5–23.522.5–24.5
2084–25.524.5–26.5–23.522.7–24.5
2085–25.524.4–26.5–23.522.7–24.3
2086–25.424.4–26.5–23.522.6–24.4
2087–25.424.4–26.4–23.522.6–24.4
2088–25.524.6–26.6–23.622.7–24.3
2089–25.324.7–26.4–23.622.6–24.5
2090–25.424.6–26.4–23.622.6–24.5
2091–25.724.7–26.5–23.722.7–24.6
2092–25.624.9–26.4–23.622.7–24.4
2093–25.324.7–26.7–23.622.7–24.6
2094–25.424.7–26.5–23.722.9–24.6
2095–25.624.7–26.7–23.823–24.6
2096–25.524.7–26.7–23.722.8–24.6
2097–25.424.7–26.3–23.622.7–24.7
2098–25.724.6–26.8–23.822.9–24.6
2099–25.624.7–26.6–23.722.7–24.6
2100–25.624.8–26.7–23.722.8–24.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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