伊拉克与叙利亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：伊拉克为 151.4 夜，叙利亚为 89.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年伊拉克的数值较高，高出 61.8 夜，是叙利亚的 1.69 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

伊拉克叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，伊拉克的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年伊拉克为 178.7 夜，叙利亚为 133.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	伊拉克	叙利亚
2014	151.4	89.6
2013	151.3	90.8
2012	150.9	91.2
2011	150.7	89.6
2010	147.5	88.1
2009	146.1	86.2
2008	149.9	87.9
2007	148	85
2006	146.9	87.3
2005	147.7	85.3
2004	147.3	86.7
2003	145.4	86.7
2002	147.2	84.3
2001	146.6	85.9
2000	148	83.2
1999	143.6	82.1
1998	142.6	80.5
1997	144.5	80.5
1996	143.7	78.1
1995	139.1	75.8
1994	141.6	76.7
1993	136.6	71.5
1992	136.6	71.3
1991	138.1	75.5
1990	142.7	79.3
1989	141.6	75.7
1988	138.2	76.2
1987	138.9	73
1986	140.9	76
1985	137.6	72.6
1984	135.5	69.6
1983	135	67.9
1982	135.8	72
1981	140.3	72
1980	139.4	75
1979	136.4	67.7
1978	136.8	70.2
1977	137.7	70.1
1976	138.2	73.4
1975	134.1	69
1974	135.8	70
1973	136.1	70.7
1972	135.8	70.1
1971	133.7	70.7
1970	135.5	70.9
1969	135.5	71.3
1968	134.3	68.7
1967	133.6	68.8
1966	132.9	68.8
1965	132.9	64.3
1964	134.2	66.4
1963	135.1	69.1
1962	137.7	71.5
1961	138.2	70.8
1960	136.7	71.7
1959	139	72.7
1958	138.4	72.8
1957	137.3	72.6
1956	136.6	72.2
1955	134.7	70.3
1954	136.1	68.9
1953	137	72.2
1952	136.7	70.8
1951	137.3	72.4
1950	134.9	68.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	伊拉克	叙利亚
2015	154.9143.1–165.8	96.981.9–110.9
2016	152.1139.6–164.5	93.581.2–108.2
2017	154.1139.5–165.6	9782.1–109.5
2018	153.8142.3–165	97.785.9–111
2019	153.3141–166.9	98.983.7–111.2
2020	155.1144.8–166	98.683.7–112.6
2021	155.8144.5–166.5	10087.1–110.7
2022	155.9144.3–168	101.684.9–113.2
2023	157.1146.3–168.5	101.988.3–115.3
2024	155.9145.1–167.7	102.790.7–113.8
2025	156.8145.6–168.8	102.988.6–114.2
2026	158.1147.1–168.2	103.389.5–116.1
2027	159.5148.6–169.8	103.886.7–116.5
2028	157.5145.7–169.4	103.589.2–116.4
2029	158.5149.2–167.6	105.694–116.3
2030	157.9147.4–169.7	105.991.3–119.2
2031	160.1146.9–171.3	105.190.7–116
2032	160146.9–170.6	107.893.2–119.4
2033	161.6151.5–172	108.796.6–119.1
2034	161148.9–173.9	107.593.9–119
2035	161.8150.3–173.6	108.596.3–118.3
2036	158.5146.3–170.6	105.793.2–118.7
2037	161.2148.6–173.5	109.294.8–121.9
2038	165.1152.5–174.7	111.897.8–125.5
2039	164.6152.2–177.7	112.398.9–128
2040	165153.4–175.3	111.898.5–127.5
2041	163.3151.3–172.5	110.799.1–124.5
2042	165.3153–176.8	112.996.4–126.5
2043	164.6151.4–175.3	113.199.7–127.3
2044	164.6155.1–175.2	112.599.8–128.8
2045	167.8152.2–180.1	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	167.6155–178.8	117.2104.7–129
2047	167.1156.3–177.3	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	165.8155.5–179.1	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	165.6155.1–177.4	11499.3–128.9
2050	170.8156.9–181.9	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	168.8155.6–181.1	117.7105.5–129
2052	167.8154.5–180.4	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	168.5155.9–181.1	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	170.4155.7–181.4	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	171.2158.7–181.8	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	168152.6–178.6	119.799.9–132.9
2057	169.2153.3–186.3	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	170.7157.1–185.5	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	169.8157–187.5	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	169.5157.6–185.7	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	170.2157.8–180.7	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	171.2158.1–183	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	170.6156.5–183.6	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	170159.8–182.8	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	171.7160.9–185.3	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	172.4158.6–184.5	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	173.9161.8–187.6	126111.1–142.7
2068	172.6159.5–185	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	174.3160.8–186.2	123107.9–137.3
2070	175.4162.3–186.7	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	176.1161.2–188.9	126109.5–142.8
2072	174.1161.5–187.3	128111.8–141.9
2073	176.1159.9–190.6	127.6108–143.7
2074	173.5157.8–187	124.2107–139.7
2075	171.3158.5–186.4	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	173.1158.7–186.3	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	176.7160.9–189.8	127.5109–143.3
2078	176.2163.1–188.2	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	175.2160.1–188	132.9116–146.9
2080	172.9160.7–190.1	129111.8–144.3
2081	175.5161.6–189.9	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	176.9162.8–188.2	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	179.2161.9–191.4	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	179.7164.5–191	132.2111–145.1
2085	177.9162.3–190.8	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	178.4166.1–189.5	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	178.1161.8–194.1	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	178.1163.4–194.1	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	177.5162.8–192.6	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	176.1163.1–191.9	128.9115–145.8
2091	178.7163.4–192.6	133.4116–150.3
2092	179.2164.9–191.4	131.6115.3–149
2093	179.3165.6–193.8	135119.8–151
2094	181.3169.4–192.9	134118–148.5
2095	181.2166.6–193.1	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	179.2163.8–193.2	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	180.7162.7–194.4	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	178.4163.1–199	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	178.9166.7–191.9	132.8116–145.1
2100	178.7165.8–191.9	133.8113.2–152.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

伊拉克与叙利亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数伊拉克：2022 年为 819 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡