约旦与叙利亚：35 °C 以上天数

2014 年35 °C 以上天数：约旦为 60 天，叙利亚为 77.6 天（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年叙利亚的数值较高，高出 17.6 天，是约旦的 1.29 倍。

每年天数 · CMIP6

约旦叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，叙利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年约旦为 114.2 天，叙利亚为 117.9 天。

逐年数据

每年天数 · CMIP6

年份	约旦	叙利亚
2014	60	77.6
2013	58	74.8
2012	56.6	76
2011	55.8	74.8
2010	57.5	75
2009	53.6	73
2008	55.7	74.9
2007	51.8	71.1
2006	53	73
2005	54.2	72.8
2004	53	72.6
2003	55.5	74.8
2002	50.5	69.9
2001	55.6	73.3
2000	50.5	70.4
1999	51.1	70.1
1998	49.7	68.8
1997	45.8	67
1996	46.6	66.7
1995	43.6	64.4
1994	41.8	62.6
1993	36.8	59.4
1992	38.4	58
1991	42.2	62.4
1990	47.5	67.5
1989	45.3	65.3
1988	41.2	63.6
1987	41.6	61
1986	44.3	65.1
1985	38.8	59.8
1984	35.1	58.6
1983	34.4	55.7
1982	38.6	59.7
1981	41.2	61.8
1980	41.7	63.5
1979	36.2	57.3
1978	37.5	58.4
1977	37.7	58.8
1976	39.9	62.1
1975	34.4	55.6
1974	38	59
1973	37	58.6
1972	39.4	60.3
1971	39.4	60.1
1970	38.6	60.9
1969	38.7	60.9
1968	35.4	58.1
1967	35.9	57.6
1966	35.2	57.4
1965	34.8	55.8
1964	33.6	55.9
1963	35.1	58.3
1962	36.9	59.5
1961	38.6	61.1
1960	40.4	60.9
1959	37.6	61.6
1958	39.8	61.9
1957	41.6	62.9
1956	40.9	61.3
1955	38.6	58.3
1954	36.9	58.7
1953	40.6	62
1952	39.3	61.5
1951	39.4	63.3
1950	36.7	59.6

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	约旦	叙利亚
2015	6449.4–81	81.668.2–95.6
2016	61.448.3–81.2	79.368.4–97.9
2017	65.451.7–77.7	8368.3–94.2
2018	67.651.5–81.8	8469.7–97.7
2019	68.755.1–80.3	8673–95.9
2020	70.253.4–85.6	8469.3–99.4
2021	69.555.5–80.3	85.372.2–96.2
2022	70.554.7–85.6	86.571–98.2
2023	73.559.3–86.4	88.576.4–101
2024	76.861.8–89.2	90.378–101.5
2025	75.153.9–88.7	89.170.7–102.4
2026	73.159.1–87	87.971.8–100.7
2027	77.863.6–89.8	90.575.7–102
2028	75.559.2–89.5	89.175.9–103.8
2029	75.762.2–89.3	9078.6–104
2030	76.763.8–89.4	90.477.7–104.4
2031	74.661.7–90	88.677.8–102.7
2032	81.364.8–92.6	9477.4–106.1
2033	83.164.1–95.2	95.579.3–106.3
2034	81.163.5–97.1	93.979.7–108
2035	8368.1–95.2	9583–104.6
2036	77.366.6–95.6	91.177.5–105.2
2037	84.766.8–98	94.978.3–107.6
2038	86.566–103.7	97.379.4–111.2
2039	87.870.6–104.7	98.182.9–115.3
2040	86.371.3–101.2	97.985.1–111.3
2041	85.471.1–102.3	96.584.7–109.2
2042	88.267.7–100.5	98.877.8–110.2
2043	87.973.4–103.9	99.785.9–112.7
2044	86.269.6–105	98.585–114.7
2045	92.880–106.6	103.692.5–115.5
2046	92.177.5–106.4	101.389.1–114.4
2047	9074.8–109.3	100.786.8–117.8
2048	92.274.7–109.1	101.485.4–115.8
2049	90.269.6–107.3	100.982.6–116.6
2050	92.974.2–110.3	102.588–117.1
2051	92.480.3–106.3	103.191.6–114.5
2052	91.378.4–106.9	100.388–112.1
2053	92.279.6–108.9	10390.8–117.1
2054	9569.5–110.5	103.182–121.3
2055	96.178.3–110.7	105.790–119.1
2056	94.175.3–110.4	101.787.7–117.2
2057	97.782–114.9	105.190.4–121.4
2058	98.177–116	105.488.3–122.7
2059	99.675.6–116.5	106.787.8–122.4
2060	98.682.9–117.1	105.592.3–122.3
2061	99.980.6–113.3	109.790.9–122.3
2062	101.574.2–118.9	107.786.7–124.6
2063	99.184.1–117.1	107.692.2–124.2
2064	101.485.9–119.3	110.291.7–123.3
2065	98.584.8–116.9	108.295.2–122.1
2066	100.781.1–116.4	105.388.6–121.8
2067	102.886.6–122.3	109.795.4–127.6
2068	105.687.7–120.5	111.395.4–126
2069	100.285.7–114.5	107.594–120.1
2070	107.586.5–119.7	113.395.9–123.2
2071	104.486.3–124.5	109.495.7–126.5
2072	106.688.2–123.2	112.698.1–127
2073	107.987.4–125.6	11393.2–127.9
2074	102.785–122.2	109.592.9–123.7
2075	103.886–119.3	111.795.5–125.4
2076	105.485.2–123.7	112.294–126.5
2077	107.384.5–123.3	110.895.6–128
2078	107.890.3–124.1	112100–127.9
2079	11389–125.6	117.9100.2–129.8
2080	111.395.9–126	116.8101.5–128.9
2081	105.488.4–125.6	112.597.1–132
2082	110.592.6–127.8	11596.5–130.3
2083	111.388.9–125.7	115.894.1–131.2
2084	113.294.7–124.2	117.696.5–129.2
2085	109.693.1–124.4	114.695.2–129.1
2086	10892.6–126.5	114.3100–129.2
2087	11191.6–128.3	113.497.9–129.4
2088	115.395.4–129.6	118.1101–132.7
2089	111.395–129	117.199–132.8
2090	110.894–128.2	116.4101.5–129.4
2091	113.493.5–133	117100.2–135.8
2092	111.190.1–133.8	116100.5–134.1
2093	116.992–135	119.9102.9–137.9
2094	115.697.5–132.8	117.4104.3–133.7
2095	111.992.9–133.1	117100.8–133.2
2096	111.791.3–130.6	115.1100.9–129.7
2097	117.392.2–135.7	121.498.4–136.9
2098	113.693–130.7	117.397.7–133
2099	114.396.8–129.4	117.9102.9–129.7
2100	114.291.7–133.6	117.998.2–137.3

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须知

一年中最高气温超过 35 °C 的天数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

约旦与叙利亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数约旦：2022 年为 0 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡