约旦与叙利亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：约旦为 74.7 夜，叙利亚为 89.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年叙利亚的数值较高，高出 15 夜，是约旦的 1.2 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

约旦叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，叙利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年约旦为 131.7 夜，叙利亚为 133.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	约旦	叙利亚
2014	74.7	89.6
2013	72.2	90.8
2012	71.9	91.2
2011	71.4	89.6
2010	71.4	88.1
2009	66.9	86.2
2008	69.4	87.9
2007	64.6	85
2006	67.7	87.3
2005	66.2	85.3
2004	67.4	86.7
2003	68.2	86.7
2002	63	84.3
2001	68.3	85.9
2000	63.8	83.2
1999	62.2	82.1
1998	61.8	80.5
1997	59.2	80.5
1996	56.6	78.1
1995	54.1	75.8
1994	54.6	76.7
1993	45.2	71.5
1992	48.3	71.3
1991	52.3	75.5
1990	57.7	79.3
1989	53.4	75.7
1988	50.5	76.2
1987	49.5	73
1986	52	76
1985	47.1	72.6
1984	44.2	69.6
1983	41.5	67.9
1982	47.4	72
1981	48.3	72
1980	49.2	75
1979	41.8	67.7
1978	45.1	70.2
1977	46.7	70.1
1976	45.6	73.4
1975	43	69
1974	45.1	70
1973	44.6	70.7
1972	44.8	70.1
1971	47.2	70.7
1970	44.3	70.9
1969	46.3	71.3
1968	42.6	68.7
1967	41.5	68.8
1966	43	68.8
1965	36.8	64.3
1964	37.7	66.4
1963	43	69.1
1962	45	71.5
1961	45.4	70.8
1960	46.3	71.7
1959	46.3	72.7
1958	47.2	72.8
1957	48.7	72.6
1956	48.4	72.2
1955	45.5	70.3
1954	42.7	68.9
1953	47.8	72.2
1952	45.7	70.8
1951	45	72.4
1950	41.8	68.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	约旦	叙利亚
2015	81.862.6–98.9	96.981.9–110.9
2016	79.261.3–95.2	93.581.2–108.2
2017	82.466.3–96.6	9782.1–109.5
2018	84.868.8–102.1	97.785.9–111
2019	87.467.5–100.7	98.983.7–111.2
2020	86.866.8–102.2	98.683.7–112.6
2021	88.273.8–101.1	10087.1–110.7
2022	88.170–103.7	101.684.9–113.2
2023	92.474.7–106.4	101.988.3–115.3
2024	90.776.3–107.1	102.790.7–113.8
2025	94.173.1–105.2	102.988.6–114.2
2026	91.678.6–106.9	103.389.5–116.1
2027	94.475.7–108.4	103.886.7–116.5
2028	92.675.9–106.3	103.589.2–116.4
2029	95.381.2–107.3	105.694–116.3
2030	96.381.5–111.7	105.991.3–119.2
2031	93.876.5–110.6	105.190.7–116
2032	10086.4–110.9	107.893.2–119.4
2033	100.683.6–113.6	108.796.6–119.1
2034	98.882.4–112.3	107.593.9–119
2035	101.883.2–115.2	108.596.3–118.3
2036	97.885.1–116.2	105.793.2–118.7
2037	10384.6–117.8	109.294.8–121.9
2038	102.386.1–122.6	111.897.8–125.5
2039	107.190.5–125.7	112.398.9–128
2040	106.387.8–125.5	111.898.5–127.5
2041	103.787.8–123.2	110.799.1–124.5
2042	108.586.5–122.3	112.996.4–126.5
2043	105.791–124.9	113.199.7–127.3
2044	105.682.8–125.1	112.599.8–128.8
2045	11298.8–128	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	11395.5–127.5	117.2104.7–129
2047	112.293–125.7	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	111.893.7–129.7	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	110.384.7–125.6	11499.3–128.9
2050	112.495.9–127.2	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	112.397–125.6	117.7105.5–129
2052	110.697.4–125.9	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	113.798.2–129.9	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	115.492.5–130.9	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	115.794.8–130.2	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	115.394.2–130.5	119.799.9–132.9
2057	115.496.7–135.6	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	116.196.6–136.8	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	120.998.5–137.1	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	115.898.7–138.7	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	118.897.1–132.3	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	12091.6–136.4	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	118.7101.7–135.9	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	121.4103.3–135.9	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	120.2100.4–134.9	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	120.498.5–135	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	124106.1–139.5	126111.1–142.7
2068	123.2105.3–138.1	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	118.8105.4–137.2	123107.9–137.3
2070	123104–140.8	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	123.6103.8–144.3	126109.5–142.8
2072	124.5106.3–140.9	128111.8–141.9
2073	126.6104.8–144.4	127.6108–143.7
2074	120.9103–139.6	124.2107–139.7
2075	121.7103.1–138.1	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	124.1105.4–144.2	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	124.2105.3–143.9	127.5109–143.3
2078	124.7105.6–142.8	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	132107–143.6	132.9116–146.9
2080	128.9106.2–144.4	129111.8–144.3
2081	125.3108.7–144.8	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	128107.9–145.2	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	130.9108–144.7	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	130.5110.6–145	132.2111–145.1
2085	129.1108.8–141.7	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	127.5108.9–147.6	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	129.8106.1–148.4	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	132.2114.9–149.4	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	128.7113.4–148.5	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	128.2111.9–151.3	128.9115–145.8
2091	132.8112.5–152.1	133.4116–150.3
2092	130.6108.3–152.6	131.6115.3–149
2093	135.8116.2–154.4	135119.8–151
2094	135.9116.3–150.6	134118–148.5
2095	133112.7–149.6	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	130.4108.1–151.3	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	134.5113.5–155.4	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	132.5114.9–152.3	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	132.1115.3–145.3	132.8116–145.1
2100	131.7111.2–153.1	133.8113.2–152.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

约旦与叙利亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数约旦：2022 年为 0 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡