Jordan vs Syria: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 74.7 nights in Jordan and 89.6 nights in Syria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Syria, by 15 nights, or 1.2 times that in Jordan.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

JordanSyriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Syria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Jordan at 131.7 nights and Syria at 133.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Jordan	Syria
2014	74.7	89.6
2013	72.2	90.8
2012	71.9	91.2
2011	71.4	89.6
2010	71.4	88.1
2009	66.9	86.2
2008	69.4	87.9
2007	64.6	85
2006	67.7	87.3
2005	66.2	85.3
2004	67.4	86.7
2003	68.2	86.7
2002	63	84.3
2001	68.3	85.9
2000	63.8	83.2
1999	62.2	82.1
1998	61.8	80.5
1997	59.2	80.5
1996	56.6	78.1
1995	54.1	75.8
1994	54.6	76.7
1993	45.2	71.5
1992	48.3	71.3
1991	52.3	75.5
1990	57.7	79.3
1989	53.4	75.7
1988	50.5	76.2
1987	49.5	73
1986	52	76
1985	47.1	72.6
1984	44.2	69.6
1983	41.5	67.9
1982	47.4	72
1981	48.3	72
1980	49.2	75
1979	41.8	67.7
1978	45.1	70.2
1977	46.7	70.1
1976	45.6	73.4
1975	43	69
1974	45.1	70
1973	44.6	70.7
1972	44.8	70.1
1971	47.2	70.7
1970	44.3	70.9
1969	46.3	71.3
1968	42.6	68.7
1967	41.5	68.8
1966	43	68.8
1965	36.8	64.3
1964	37.7	66.4
1963	43	69.1
1962	45	71.5
1961	45.4	70.8
1960	46.3	71.7
1959	46.3	72.7
1958	47.2	72.8
1957	48.7	72.6
1956	48.4	72.2
1955	45.5	70.3
1954	42.7	68.9
1953	47.8	72.2
1952	45.7	70.8
1951	45	72.4
1950	41.8	68.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Jordan	Syria
2015	81.862.6–98.9	96.981.9–110.9
2016	79.261.3–95.2	93.581.2–108.2
2017	82.466.3–96.6	9782.1–109.5
2018	84.868.8–102.1	97.785.9–111
2019	87.467.5–100.7	98.983.7–111.2
2020	86.866.8–102.2	98.683.7–112.6
2021	88.273.8–101.1	10087.1–110.7
2022	88.170–103.7	101.684.9–113.2
2023	92.474.7–106.4	101.988.3–115.3
2024	90.776.3–107.1	102.790.7–113.8
2025	94.173.1–105.2	102.988.6–114.2
2026	91.678.6–106.9	103.389.5–116.1
2027	94.475.7–108.4	103.886.7–116.5
2028	92.675.9–106.3	103.589.2–116.4
2029	95.381.2–107.3	105.694–116.3
2030	96.381.5–111.7	105.991.3–119.2
2031	93.876.5–110.6	105.190.7–116
2032	10086.4–110.9	107.893.2–119.4
2033	100.683.6–113.6	108.796.6–119.1
2034	98.882.4–112.3	107.593.9–119
2035	101.883.2–115.2	108.596.3–118.3
2036	97.885.1–116.2	105.793.2–118.7
2037	10384.6–117.8	109.294.8–121.9
2038	102.386.1–122.6	111.897.8–125.5
2039	107.190.5–125.7	112.398.9–128
2040	106.387.8–125.5	111.898.5–127.5
2041	103.787.8–123.2	110.799.1–124.5
2042	108.586.5–122.3	112.996.4–126.5
2043	105.791–124.9	113.199.7–127.3
2044	105.682.8–125.1	112.599.8–128.8
2045	11298.8–128	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	11395.5–127.5	117.2104.7–129
2047	112.293–125.7	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	111.893.7–129.7	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	110.384.7–125.6	11499.3–128.9
2050	112.495.9–127.2	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	112.397–125.6	117.7105.5–129
2052	110.697.4–125.9	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	113.798.2–129.9	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	115.492.5–130.9	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	115.794.8–130.2	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	115.394.2–130.5	119.799.9–132.9
2057	115.496.7–135.6	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	116.196.6–136.8	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	120.998.5–137.1	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	115.898.7–138.7	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	118.897.1–132.3	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	12091.6–136.4	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	118.7101.7–135.9	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	121.4103.3–135.9	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	120.2100.4–134.9	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	120.498.5–135	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	124106.1–139.5	126111.1–142.7
2068	123.2105.3–138.1	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	118.8105.4–137.2	123107.9–137.3
2070	123104–140.8	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	123.6103.8–144.3	126109.5–142.8
2072	124.5106.3–140.9	128111.8–141.9
2073	126.6104.8–144.4	127.6108–143.7
2074	120.9103–139.6	124.2107–139.7
2075	121.7103.1–138.1	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	124.1105.4–144.2	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	124.2105.3–143.9	127.5109–143.3
2078	124.7105.6–142.8	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	132107–143.6	132.9116–146.9
2080	128.9106.2–144.4	129111.8–144.3
2081	125.3108.7–144.8	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	128107.9–145.2	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	130.9108–144.7	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	130.5110.6–145	132.2111–145.1
2085	129.1108.8–141.7	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	127.5108.9–147.6	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	129.8106.1–148.4	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	132.2114.9–149.4	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	128.7113.4–148.5	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	128.2111.9–151.3	128.9115–145.8
2091	132.8112.5–152.1	133.4116–150.3
2092	130.6108.3–152.6	131.6115.3–149
2093	135.8116.2–154.4	135119.8–151
2094	135.9116.3–150.6	134118–148.5
2095	133112.7–149.6	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	130.4108.1–151.3	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	134.5113.5–155.4	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	132.5114.9–152.3	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	132.1115.3–145.3	132.8116–145.1
2100	131.7111.2–153.1	133.8113.2–152.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Jordan vs Syria: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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