肯尼亚与马里对比

肯尼亚与马里：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：肯尼亚为 245.6 夜，马里为 250.2 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年马里的数值较高，高出 4.6 夜，是肯尼亚的 1.02 倍。

在地图上查看其变化

每年夜数 · CMIP6

肯尼亚与马里：热带夜2014 年热带夜：肯尼亚为 245.6 夜，马里为 250.2 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年马里的数值较高，高出 4.6 夜，是肯尼亚的 1.02 倍。
肯尼亚马里CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

  • 自 1975 年超过肯尼亚以来，马里的数值一直更高。
  • 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年肯尼亚为 277 夜，马里为 283.6 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份肯尼亚马里
2014245.6250.2
2013245.4247.3
2012244.7253.1
2011245251.9
2010243.8250.4
2009242.3248
2008240.3247.8
2007240.9248.1
2006241.5245.5
2005241.2244.3
2004241.8243.9
2003240.8247.1
2002240.7245.8
2001242245.6
2000239.5243.2
1999237.8242.4
1998239.2240.6
1997236.9240.7
1996234.2236.4
1995232.9238
1994231.9236.2
1993227.4235.1
1992224.8232
1991233.8238.7
1990236.4241
1989234.5236.3
1988233.1234.7
1987232.6236.1
1986233237.1
1985228.7235.3
1984230.2233
1983226.7231.2
1982230.6234.9
1981232.9233.9
1980231.3231.5
1979229.6233.8
1978228.7234.8
1977229.9233.6
1976227.8231.7
1975225.9232.4
1974230.5229.7
1973230.4230.3
1972228.7230.7
1971226229.5
1970226.3229.9
1969225.9227.3
1968222.9230.5
1967224229
1966225.2228.1
1965224.2230.2
1964221.8228.9
1963220.2228.2
1962227.2231.7
1961228.3231.6
1960228.8235.1
1959228.3231.8
1958229.1231.8
1957228233.3
1956225.5230.7
1955228.7230.6
1954227.4232
1953227.6228.3
1952228.5229.2
1951228.3231.4
1950226.3228.6
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100
年份肯尼亚马里
2015246.9232.3–256.1247.9231.5–264.7
2016244.9230.1–255248231.3–262.6
2017248.1233.1–257.7252.7233.6–268.2
2018248.7237–257.4254.2236.4–269
2019247.1234.8–256.7251.6233.5–272.3
2020248.6233.2–259.2251.3231.2–270.7
2021249.5236.3–258.1254.8238.5–270
2022251.5239.7–259.5257237.8–275.3
2023251.8239–260.8254.2239.6–269.2
2024254.2239.1–263259.3242.3–276.8
2025251.5238.1–261.8256.2239.2–272.3
2026252.2237.2–263.3256.8237.2–277.8
2027252.8238.4–263.8258.5240.3–273.1
2028254.9241.9–264.2259.7243.6–273.9
2029256243.4–264.6260.8240.3–275.3
2030253.6240.6–263.1258.1237.5–272.6
2031256244.7–264.4262.2243.4–280.6
2032257243.8–267.1260.5242.1–278.2
2033256241.8–265.9262.1241.7–280.3
2034256.2241.2–267.9260.7242–275.3
2035256.7243.3–266.7261.5244.8–283.6
2036256.2242.4–266.7262.5244.6–281.1
2037258.7245.9–268.4264.5245.2–279.6
2038260.3244.5–268.9266246.7–283.2
2039259244.4–268262.3245–281.6
2040258.3246.2–269.8263.6247.5–279.6
2041260.7244.8–271.2264.6250.8–283.1
2042260.3246.5–272.7265.7245.9–283.5
2043259246.6–270.5264.8246.9–278.8
2044261.2248.8–270.9269.3247.4–284.7
2045261.8248.7–272.9265.6248.9–283.7
2046264.8249.6–275.3269.8247.5–286.4
2047264.4249.8–275.3271.9251.2–290.3
2048264.2252.3–274.9270.4254.4–288.2
2049265.2252.8–275.6272252.1–288.2
2050263.9249.8–275.1269.5250.6–286.4
2051265.4252.1–275.1268.8251.7–286.9
2052266.3252.6–276.2270.1252.7–292.1
2053265.2251–275.4269.3249.2–288.8
2054265.2250.2–277.2270.3251.7–290.6
2055266.8251.6–277.6270.9252.7–288.1
2056266.2251.2–277.8273248.6–291.4
2057266.8253–278275.5255.2–295
2058266.7251.5–277.9271252.7–293.2
2059269.8254.7–280.5274.5259.3–299.6
2060271.1253.9–280.7273.5258–293.7
2061267.5253.9–281.7275.4257–298
2062268.1254–281.2270.8251.7–291.8
2063268.9255–280.1275.9256.6–292.2
2064270254.1–279.8276.4256.6–298.4
2065269.4255.8–282.3275.3256–295.1
2066270.6258.1–281276.9260–296.5
2067270.7256.1–283272.6255.4–293.3
2068270.2256–283277.5258.1–296.5
2069269.8256.1–283.3276.1257.7–293.3
2070270.1255.8–282.6277.2256.6–296.6
2071271.9257.9–284.4277.2258.4–295.6
2072273.5260.3–283.8281.9263.8–298.9
2073273.1259.9–285.4276.8257.9–296.8
2074271.9257.5–285.4277.7258.7–295.9
2075271.1256.5–284.7278.5260.1–298.5
2076274.1258.6–285.8278.1261.1–294.2
2077273.4259–286.6283.8263.1–302.3
2078273.1260–284.4283.8263.5–299.4
2079273.3258.7–286.6278.9259.2–300.6
2080275.5259.4–286.9281.2262.1–299.4
2081274.7259.8–285.6279.1259.3–301.8
2082274.8261.3–286.4280.2260.2–298.4
2083274259.6–289.3280.8260.8–302.3
2084276.8259–288.8280.4263.8–301
2085276.2261.5–289.1284.6259.2–303
2086275.1260–289.1281.9262.8–302.4
2087276.2260.3–288.5279.7258.8–302.8
2088276.8261.6–289.7282.3260.7–303.3
2089275.9260.3–288.8283.4262.4–300.5
2090275.3260.5–290.5283.9259.8–301.9
2091277.7260.4–290.9283.1260.4–304.8
2092276.2261.2–290.7281.6259.7–303.1
2093276.9262–290.1284.8265.8–305.4
2094277262.8–288.9284.6262.8–305.6
2095278.4262.3–290.4283.6262–304.6
2096277.6260.5–292284.9263.3–306.3
2097277261–290.2280261–300.5
2098277.6262.3–291.5282.5262–302.1
2099277.9260.8–292.4285.3266.2–305.4
2100277261.8–290.4283.6262.8–304.1

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须知

  • 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
  • 来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
  • 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
  • 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

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