Kenya vs Mali

Kenya vs Mali: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 250.2 nights in Mali, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mali, by 4.6 nights, or 1.02 times that in Kenya.

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nights a year · CMIP6

Kenya vs Mali: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 250.2 nights in Mali, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mali, by 4.6 nights, or 1.02 times that in Kenya.
KenyaMaliCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Mali has been higher since 1975, when it overtook Kenya.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Kenya at 277 nights and Mali at 283.6 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearKenyaMali
2014245.6250.2
2013245.4247.3
2012244.7253.1
2011245251.9
2010243.8250.4
2009242.3248
2008240.3247.8
2007240.9248.1
2006241.5245.5
2005241.2244.3
2004241.8243.9
2003240.8247.1
2002240.7245.8
2001242245.6
2000239.5243.2
1999237.8242.4
1998239.2240.6
1997236.9240.7
1996234.2236.4
1995232.9238
1994231.9236.2
1993227.4235.1
1992224.8232
1991233.8238.7
1990236.4241
1989234.5236.3
1988233.1234.7
1987232.6236.1
1986233237.1
1985228.7235.3
1984230.2233
1983226.7231.2
1982230.6234.9
1981232.9233.9
1980231.3231.5
1979229.6233.8
1978228.7234.8
1977229.9233.6
1976227.8231.7
1975225.9232.4
1974230.5229.7
1973230.4230.3
1972228.7230.7
1971226229.5
1970226.3229.9
1969225.9227.3
1968222.9230.5
1967224229
1966225.2228.1
1965224.2230.2
1964221.8228.9
1963220.2228.2
1962227.2231.7
1961228.3231.6
1960228.8235.1
1959228.3231.8
1958229.1231.8
1957228233.3
1956225.5230.7
1955228.7230.6
1954227.4232
1953227.6228.3
1952228.5229.2
1951228.3231.4
1950226.3228.6
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearKenyaMali
2015246.9232.3–256.1247.9231.5–264.7
2016244.9230.1–255248231.3–262.6
2017248.1233.1–257.7252.7233.6–268.2
2018248.7237–257.4254.2236.4–269
2019247.1234.8–256.7251.6233.5–272.3
2020248.6233.2–259.2251.3231.2–270.7
2021249.5236.3–258.1254.8238.5–270
2022251.5239.7–259.5257237.8–275.3
2023251.8239–260.8254.2239.6–269.2
2024254.2239.1–263259.3242.3–276.8
2025251.5238.1–261.8256.2239.2–272.3
2026252.2237.2–263.3256.8237.2–277.8
2027252.8238.4–263.8258.5240.3–273.1
2028254.9241.9–264.2259.7243.6–273.9
2029256243.4–264.6260.8240.3–275.3
2030253.6240.6–263.1258.1237.5–272.6
2031256244.7–264.4262.2243.4–280.6
2032257243.8–267.1260.5242.1–278.2
2033256241.8–265.9262.1241.7–280.3
2034256.2241.2–267.9260.7242–275.3
2035256.7243.3–266.7261.5244.8–283.6
2036256.2242.4–266.7262.5244.6–281.1
2037258.7245.9–268.4264.5245.2–279.6
2038260.3244.5–268.9266246.7–283.2
2039259244.4–268262.3245–281.6
2040258.3246.2–269.8263.6247.5–279.6
2041260.7244.8–271.2264.6250.8–283.1
2042260.3246.5–272.7265.7245.9–283.5
2043259246.6–270.5264.8246.9–278.8
2044261.2248.8–270.9269.3247.4–284.7
2045261.8248.7–272.9265.6248.9–283.7
2046264.8249.6–275.3269.8247.5–286.4
2047264.4249.8–275.3271.9251.2–290.3
2048264.2252.3–274.9270.4254.4–288.2
2049265.2252.8–275.6272252.1–288.2
2050263.9249.8–275.1269.5250.6–286.4
2051265.4252.1–275.1268.8251.7–286.9
2052266.3252.6–276.2270.1252.7–292.1
2053265.2251–275.4269.3249.2–288.8
2054265.2250.2–277.2270.3251.7–290.6
2055266.8251.6–277.6270.9252.7–288.1
2056266.2251.2–277.8273248.6–291.4
2057266.8253–278275.5255.2–295
2058266.7251.5–277.9271252.7–293.2
2059269.8254.7–280.5274.5259.3–299.6
2060271.1253.9–280.7273.5258–293.7
2061267.5253.9–281.7275.4257–298
2062268.1254–281.2270.8251.7–291.8
2063268.9255–280.1275.9256.6–292.2
2064270254.1–279.8276.4256.6–298.4
2065269.4255.8–282.3275.3256–295.1
2066270.6258.1–281276.9260–296.5
2067270.7256.1–283272.6255.4–293.3
2068270.2256–283277.5258.1–296.5
2069269.8256.1–283.3276.1257.7–293.3
2070270.1255.8–282.6277.2256.6–296.6
2071271.9257.9–284.4277.2258.4–295.6
2072273.5260.3–283.8281.9263.8–298.9
2073273.1259.9–285.4276.8257.9–296.8
2074271.9257.5–285.4277.7258.7–295.9
2075271.1256.5–284.7278.5260.1–298.5
2076274.1258.6–285.8278.1261.1–294.2
2077273.4259–286.6283.8263.1–302.3
2078273.1260–284.4283.8263.5–299.4
2079273.3258.7–286.6278.9259.2–300.6
2080275.5259.4–286.9281.2262.1–299.4
2081274.7259.8–285.6279.1259.3–301.8
2082274.8261.3–286.4280.2260.2–298.4
2083274259.6–289.3280.8260.8–302.3
2084276.8259–288.8280.4263.8–301
2085276.2261.5–289.1284.6259.2–303
2086275.1260–289.1281.9262.8–302.4
2087276.2260.3–288.5279.7258.8–302.8
2088276.8261.6–289.7282.3260.7–303.3
2089275.9260.3–288.8283.4262.4–300.5
2090275.3260.5–290.5283.9259.8–301.9
2091277.7260.4–290.9283.1260.4–304.8
2092276.2261.2–290.7281.6259.7–303.1
2093276.9262–290.1284.8265.8–305.4
2094277262.8–288.9284.6262.8–305.6
2095278.4262.3–290.4283.6262–304.6
2096277.6260.5–292284.9263.3–306.3
2097277261–290.2280261–300.5
2098277.6262.3–291.5282.5262–302.1
2099277.9260.8–292.4285.3266.2–305.4
2100277261.8–290.4283.6262.8–304.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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