Kenya

Tropical nights in Kenya

Tropical nights in Kenya: 226.3 nights in 1950 and 245.6 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
245.6 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+19.3 nights
Projected, 2100
277 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in KenyaTropical nights in Kenya: 226.3 nights in 1950 and 245.6 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 277 nights in 2100, between 261.8 nights and 290.4 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 277 nights in 2100, between 261.8 nights and 290.4 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 245.6 nights in 2014, the lowest 220.2 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearKenya
2014245.6
2013245.4
2012244.7
2011245
2010243.8
2009242.3
2008240.3
2007240.9
2006241.5
2005241.2
2004241.8
2003240.8
2002240.7
2001242
2000239.5
1999237.8
1998239.2
1997236.9
1996234.2
1995232.9
1994231.9
1993227.4
1992224.8
1991233.8
1990236.4
1989234.5
1988233.1
1987232.6
1986233
1985228.7
1984230.2
1983226.7
1982230.6
1981232.9
1980231.3
1979229.6
1978228.7
1977229.9
1976227.8
1975225.9
1974230.5
1973230.4
1972228.7
1971226
1970226.3
1969225.9
1968222.9
1967224
1966225.2
1965224.2
1964221.8
1963220.2
1962227.2
1961228.3
1960228.8
1959228.3
1958229.1
1957228
1956225.5
1955228.7
1954227.4
1953227.6
1952228.5
1951228.3
1950226.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearKenya
2015246.9232.3–256.1
2016244.9230.1–255
2017248.1233.1–257.7
2018248.7237–257.4
2019247.1234.8–256.7
2020248.6233.2–259.2
2021249.5236.3–258.1
2022251.5239.7–259.5
2023251.8239–260.8
2024254.2239.1–263
2025251.5238.1–261.8
2026252.2237.2–263.3
2027252.8238.4–263.8
2028254.9241.9–264.2
2029256243.4–264.6
2030253.6240.6–263.1
2031256244.7–264.4
2032257243.8–267.1
2033256241.8–265.9
2034256.2241.2–267.9
2035256.7243.3–266.7
2036256.2242.4–266.7
2037258.7245.9–268.4
2038260.3244.5–268.9
2039259244.4–268
2040258.3246.2–269.8
2041260.7244.8–271.2
2042260.3246.5–272.7
2043259246.6–270.5
2044261.2248.8–270.9
2045261.8248.7–272.9
2046264.8249.6–275.3
2047264.4249.8–275.3
2048264.2252.3–274.9
2049265.2252.8–275.6
2050263.9249.8–275.1
2051265.4252.1–275.1
2052266.3252.6–276.2
2053265.2251–275.4
2054265.2250.2–277.2
2055266.8251.6–277.6
2056266.2251.2–277.8
2057266.8253–278
2058266.7251.5–277.9
2059269.8254.7–280.5
2060271.1253.9–280.7
2061267.5253.9–281.7
2062268.1254–281.2
2063268.9255–280.1
2064270254.1–279.8
2065269.4255.8–282.3
2066270.6258.1–281
2067270.7256.1–283
2068270.2256–283
2069269.8256.1–283.3
2070270.1255.8–282.6
2071271.9257.9–284.4
2072273.5260.3–283.8
2073273.1259.9–285.4
2074271.9257.5–285.4
2075271.1256.5–284.7
2076274.1258.6–285.8
2077273.4259–286.6
2078273.1260–284.4
2079273.3258.7–286.6
2080275.5259.4–286.9
2081274.7259.8–285.6
2082274.8261.3–286.4
2083274259.6–289.3
2084276.8259–288.8
2085276.2261.5–289.1
2086275.1260–289.1
2087276.2260.3–288.5
2088276.8261.6–289.7
2089275.9260.3–288.8
2090275.3260.5–290.5
2091277.7260.4–290.9
2092276.2261.2–290.7
2093276.9262–290.1
2094277262.8–288.9
2095278.4262.3–290.4
2096277.6260.5–292
2097277261–290.2
2098277.6262.3–291.5
2099277.9260.8–292.4
2100277261.8–290.4

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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