Uganda

Tropical nights in Uganda

Tropical nights in Uganda: 87.7 nights in 1950 and 124.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
124.7 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+37 nights
Projected, 2100
245.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in UgandaTropical nights in Uganda: 87.7 nights in 1950 and 124.7 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 245.3 nights in 2100, between 195.5 nights and 307.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 245.3 nights in 2100, between 195.5 nights and 307.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 125.7 nights in 2011, the lowest 78.2 nights in 1964.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearUganda
2014124.7
2013124
2012122.2
2011125.7
2010122.5
2009114.8
2008114.1
2007111.2
2006117.4
2005113.8
2004114.6
2003114.4
2002114.4
2001117.1
2000109
1999105.5
1998105
1997106.1
1996102.1
199599.9
199494.6
199390.8
199289.9
1991102.1
1990103.8
198999.1
198898.6
198798.3
198699.2
198592.1
198494.6
198390.4
198294.4
198198.5
198096.3
197993.9
197891
197795.1
197692
197589.6
197491.8
197392.8
197290
197187.1
197088.8
196988
196887.3
196782.3
196682.5
196582.2
196478.2
196380.3
196288.5
196190.7
196093.2
195991.3
195888.7
195790.1
195688.8
195589
195489.5
195389
195289.6
195191.1
195087.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearUganda
2015131.598.6–164.1
201612398.5–154.1
2017133.7108.6–162.7
2018134.2102.5–164
2019131.3104.8–166.2
2020140.7102.6–171.5
2021137.9112.9–175.4
2022140116.2–169.9
2023140.4114.2–184.8
2024151.1113.5–186.7
2025143108.5–176.4
2026144.6109.7–179.6
2027147.6116–175.4
2028151.6120.2–179.6
2029155.2127.3–178.6
2030150.4117.6–185.1
2031161.6132–187.2
2032159.1134.2–190.5
2033158.9123.4–200.6
2034161.5135.6–202.5
2035164.9126.3–193
2036158.5127.7–195.4
2037168.3138.2–207.3
2038173.8139.7–206.2
2039171.2130.1–205
2040170.4134.1–207.4
2041176.3144.6–208
2042175137.8–214.3
2043173.6132.8–207.6
2044176.1136.8–206.9
2045178.9138.3–217.7
2046191.9136.6–235
2047187.7156.6–225.3
2048189.3151.5–227.4
2049195.1154.9–233.6
2050191150.7–236.4
2051191.2154.4–228.2
2052192.6157.7–231.7
2053194.5149.7–233.5
2054199156.3–236.8
2055201.3151.7–240.7
2056198.9156.9–240.2
2057200165.5–244.7
2058208.8156.5–248.3
2059212.7171.1–254
2060212.6160.3–253.1
2061208.9162.4–258.1
2062206.4159.1–267.6
2063209.3168.5–246.3
2064210.6166.2–253.8
2065214.5167.8–261.1
2066211.9171.8–256.1
2067208.4168.3–269.8
2068216.4169.7–268.7
2069213170.3–268.1
2070216.4176.4–270.9
2071215.5174.6–273.5
2072227.3184.1–272.3
2073230.4189.3–278.5
2074220.7176.9–277
2075217.7167–274.2
2076228.1178.9–279
2077229.5189.6–280.5
2078225.6187.8–276.4
2079231.9168.8–277.7
2080232.8182.6–283.1
2081227.9187.6–279.3
2082233.1185.6–279.4
2083232.2175.7–297
2084237.2185.5–288.8
2085239.5192.4–291.7
2086236.2189.8–289.4
2087239.4188.9–294
2088236.8193.6–288.9
2089238.8193.8–293.7
2090237.7190.1–301.5
2091251188.7–300.1
2092243.4194.9–297.8
2093244.4199.2–296.8
2094245.6202.9–299.8
2095253.2202.4–306.1
2096241.4196.5–304
2097243.1194–296.6
2098242.9199–302.3
2099247.3194.4–306.1
2100245.3195.5–307.2

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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