Rwanda

Tropical nights in Rwanda

Tropical nights in Rwanda: 0.9 nights in 1950 and 2.4 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
2.4 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+1.5 nights
Projected, 2100
34.2 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in RwandaTropical nights in Rwanda: 0.9 nights in 1950 and 2.4 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 34.2 nights in 2100, between 11.1 nights and 102.5 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 34.2 nights in 2100, between 11.1 nights and 102.5 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 2.9 nights in 2012, the lowest 0.4 nights in 1964.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearRwanda
20142.4
20132.8
20122.9
20112.7
20102.3
20092.5
20082
20071.9
20062.2
20052
20041.8
20031.8
20022.4
20012.4
20001.7
19991.6
19981.5
19971
19961.1
19951.1
19941.2
19930.9
19920.6
19911.2
19901.7
19891.5
19881.2
19871.3
19861.2
19850.8
19841
19830.9
19820.8
19811.1
19801.1
19790.9
19780.7
19771.1
19760.8
19751
19740.9
19731.3
19720.7
19710.7
19700.6
19690.8
19680.8
19670.5
19660.6
19650.6
19640.4
19630.6
19620.9
19610.8
19601.1
19590.7
19580.9
19570.8
19560.7
19550.8
19540.9
19530.8
19520.8
19511
19500.9
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearRwanda
20153.41.5–7.6
20162.91.2–5.6
20173.41.8–5.5
20183.81.8–7.1
20193.61.3–6.9
20204.32.1–7.9
20214.22.6–7.5
202242.9–7.8
20234.41.9–8.4
202452–9.6
20254.42.1–9.5
20264.81.7–8.9
20274.92.1–8.7
20285.21.7–8.7
20295.43–9.2
20305.33.1–10.2
20316.63.4–10.4
20326.34–12.2
20336.52.8–12
20346.13.3–12.4
20356.83.2–12.7
20366.83.7–12.7
20377.94.3–14.6
20388.44.1–15.3
20397.23.6–15.9
20407.74.3–14.8
20418.44.7–15
20428.44.4–20.2
20437.83.8–16.5
20447.24.1–14.5
20459.24.6–21
2046124.6–24.1
204711.25.4–26
204811.74.6–25.4
204912.25.7–26.7
205011.75.4–22.9
205112.36.4–24
205214.56–26.1
205312.55–23.9
205412.85.6–34.3
205512.66.2–32.8
2056145.6–31.6
205714.96–32.3
205815.15.3–38.7
205914.96.7–38.1
206018.46.1–38.2
206116.65.9–40.7
206217.25.6–49.3
206316.46.3–39.1
206421.76.3–40.1
206517.17.2–40.5
206618.37.2–42.5
206716.86.3–50.2
206819.76.6–53.2
206917.66–55
207018.17.6–53.8
207119.36.3–60
207222.18.7–49.3
207324.39.2–61.7
207423.28.3–57.2
207521.86.3–53.9
207626.77–59.7
207724.19.1–64.8
207821.48.3–62.1
207926.47.8–64.8
208028.78.2–62.2
208125.79–66.4
208227.59.2–63.2
208331.68.7–87
208431.39.4–78.4
208535.29.2–79.6
2086299.7–76.5
208730.69.5–80
208832.59.4–76.8
208927.49.3–82.1
209025.911.4–96.6
209143.28.7–89.1
209233.910.5–89.6
209335.510.9–91
209434.79.4–91.6
209540.412.9–106.1
209635.99.8–99.9
209732.69.9–89.6
209835.69.8–105.9
209932.810.9–105.8
210034.211.1–102.5

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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