Temperature in Rwanda

Temperature in Rwanda: 18.3 °C in 1950 and 20.2 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 20.2 °C
Since 1950: +1.9 °C
Rank, 2025: 148 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 21.8 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 21.8 °C in 2100, between 21 °C and 22.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 20.8 °C in 2024, the lowest 18 °C in 1962.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	20.2	20.1
2024	20.8	20.2
2023	20.4	20
2022	19.9	20
2021	20.1	20
2020	20.3	20.1
2019	20.1	19.9
2018	19.7	20
2017	20	19.9
2016	20.4	19.8
2015	20	19.9
2014	19.7	19.7
2013	19.7	19.7
2012	19.3	19.8
2011	19.2	19.7
2010	19.9	19.7
2009	19.5	19.6
2008	19.1	19.6
2007	19.2	19.5
2006	19.4	19.6
2005	19.8	19.6
2004	19.6	19.5
2003	19.5	19.5
2002	19.3	19.6
2001	18.9	19.6
2000	19.2	19.5
1999	18.9	19.4
1998	19.6	19.4
1997	19.3	19.4
1996	19	19.3
1995	19.2	19.3
1994	19	19.2
1993	19.3	19.1
1992	19.1	19
1991	19	19.3
1990	19.3	19.4
1989	18.9	19.3
1988	19.2	19.2
1987	19.6	19.2
1986	19	19.3
1985	18.6	19.1
1984	18.7	19.1
1983	19.3	19.1
1982	19.1	19.2
1981	18.9	19.3
1980	19	19.2
1979	19	19.2
1978	18.7	19
1977	18.8	19.1
1976	18.2	19.1
1975	18.1	19.1
1974	18.2	19.1
1973	18.7	19.2
1972	18.2	19
1971	18.1	19
1970	18.7	19.1
1969	18.8	19.1
1968	18.4	19
1967	18.5	18.9
1966	18.5	19
1965	18.4	18.9
1964	18.2	18.8
1963	18.3	18.8
1962	18	19.1
1961	18.4	19.1
1960	18.7	19.1
1959	18.8	19
1958	19.1	19
1957	18.8	19.1
1956	18.1	19
1955	18.3	19
1954	18.6	19.1
1953	18.3	19
1952	18.7	19.1
1951	18.5	19.1
1950	18.3	19.1

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	20.219.4–20.7
2027	–	20.119.6–20.7
2028	–	20.219.6–20.7
2029	–	20.319.8–20.7
2030	–	20.319.9–20.8
2031	–	20.420–20.8
2032	–	20.420.1–20.8
2033	–	20.419.8–20.9
2034	–	20.419.9–21.2
2035	–	20.519.8–21
2036	–	20.520–21.1
2037	–	20.620.1–21.2
2038	–	20.720.1–21
2039	–	20.520–21
2040	–	20.520.1–21.2
2041	–	20.520.2–21.2
2042	–	20.620.2–21.4
2043	–	20.619.9–21.3
2044	–	20.620–21.1
2045	–	20.620.3–21.3
2046	–	20.920.2–21.5
2047	–	20.920.4–21.6
2048	–	20.920.3–21.7
2049	–	2120.4–21.6
2050	–	2120.3–21.5
2051	–	2120.4–21.6
2052	–	2120.5–21.6
2053	–	2120.3–21.4
2054	–	2120.4–21.7
2055	–	21.120.4–21.7
2056	–	2120.3–21.9
2057	–	21.220.6–21.8
2058	–	21.220.3–22
2059	–	21.120.5–22
2060	–	21.320.4–21.9
2061	–	21.320.4–21.9
2062	–	21.320.4–22.2
2063	–	21.220.5–21.9
2064	–	21.420.4–22
2065	–	21.320.6–22
2066	–	21.320.6–22
2067	–	21.320.5–22.2
2068	–	21.420.6–22.2
2069	–	21.320.4–22.2
2070	–	21.220.6–22.2
2071	–	21.420.6–22.5
2072	–	21.420.8–22.2
2073	–	21.620.8–22.4
2074	–	21.320.7–22.2
2075	–	21.520.6–22.5
2076	–	21.520.6–22.4
2077	–	21.520.8–22.4
2078	–	21.420.8–22.4
2079	–	21.520.7–22.4
2080	–	21.620.6–22.3
2081	–	21.620.8–22.5
2082	–	21.620.9–22.4
2083	–	21.620.8–22.8
2084	–	21.720.9–22.6
2085	–	21.820.8–22.6
2086	–	21.620.8–22.6
2087	–	21.720.8–22.6
2088	–	21.720.9–22.5
2089	–	21.721–22.6
2090	–	21.621.1–22.8
2091	–	22.120.8–22.9
2092	–	21.721–22.7
2093	–	21.821–22.8
2094	–	21.821.1–22.9
2095	–	21.921.2–23.1
2096	–	21.821–22.9
2097	–	21.820.9–22.8
2098	–	21.820.9–23
2099	–	21.821–23
2100	–	21.821–22.9

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Rwanda

What the numbers say

Every year

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