Malawi vs Rwanda: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 22.2 °C in Malawi and 20.2 °C in Rwanda, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Malawi, by 2 °C, or 1.1 times that in Rwanda.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

MalawiRwandaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Malawi has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, Malawi ranked 130 and Rwanda ranked 148 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Malawi at 24.8 °C and Rwanda at 21.8 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Malawi	Malawi: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Rwanda	Rwanda: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	22.2	22.9	20.2	20.1
2024	22.8	23	20.8	20.2
2023	22.7	22.9	20.4	20
2022	22	22.9	19.9	20
2021	22.3	22.7	20.1	20
2020	22.5	22.8	20.3	20.1
2019	22.4	22.8	20.1	19.9
2018	22.3	22.7	19.7	20
2017	22.4	22.8	20	19.9
2016	22.7	22.6	20.4	19.8
2015	22.6	22.8	20	19.9
2014	22.3	22.6	19.7	19.7
2013	22.2	22.6	19.7	19.7
2012	22.1	22.6	19.3	19.8
2011	22.2	22.5	19.2	19.7
2010	22.3	22.4	19.9	19.7
2009	21.9	22.3	19.5	19.6
2008	21.6	22.4	19.1	19.6
2007	21.9	22.5	19.2	19.5
2006	21.9	22.3	19.4	19.6
2005	22.4	22.3	19.8	19.6
2004	21.6	22.4	19.6	19.5
2003	21.9	22.4	19.5	19.5
2002	22	22.4	19.3	19.6
2001	22	22.4	18.9	19.6
2000	21.6	22.2	19.2	19.5
1999	21.6	22.1	18.9	19.4
1998	22.3	22.2	19.6	19.4
1997	21.9	22.1	19.3	19.4
1996	22	22.1	19	19.3
1995	22.4	22	19.2	19.3
1994	22	21.9	19	19.2
1993	22	21.7	19.3	19.1
1992	22.4	21.8	19.1	19
1991	21.8	22	19	19.3
1990	22.1	22.1	19.3	19.4
1989	21.5	22	18.9	19.3
1988	21.9	22.1	19.2	19.2
1987	22.3	21.9	19.6	19.2
1986	21.3	22	19	19.3
1985	21.2	21.8	18.6	19.1
1984	21.6	21.8	18.7	19.1
1983	22.4	21.9	19.3	19.1
1982	21.5	21.8	19.1	19.2
1981	21.4	21.9	18.9	19.3
1980	21.5	21.9	19	19.2
1979	21.6	21.9	19	19.2
1978	21.5	21.7	18.7	19
1977	21.9	21.9	18.8	19.1
1976	21.2	21.8	18.2	19.1
1975	21.4	21.8	18.1	19.1
1974	21.1	21.9	18.2	19.1
1973	21.7	21.8	18.7	19.2
1972	21.4	21.8	18.2	19
1971	21.2	21.8	18.1	19
1970	21.7	21.9	18.7	19.1
1969	21.8	21.8	18.8	19.1
1968	21.4	21.7	18.4	19
1967	21.4	21.6	18.5	18.9
1966	21.7	21.7	18.5	19
1965	20.9	21.8	18.4	18.9
1964	21.3	21.6	18.2	18.8
1963	21.3	21.5	18.3	18.8
1962	21.5	21.8	18	19.1
1961	21.4	21.8	18.4	19.1
1960	21.4	21.9	18.7	19.1
1959	21.5	21.9	18.8	19
1958	21.7	21.9	19.1	19
1957	21.4	21.8	18.8	19.1
1956	21.2	21.7	18.1	19
1955	21	21.8	18.3	19
1954	21.5	21.8	18.6	19.1
1953	21.1	21.8	18.3	19
1952	21.6	21.8	18.7	19.1
1951	22	21.7	18.5	19.1
1950	21	21.7	18.3	19.1

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Malawi	Malawi: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Rwanda	Rwanda: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	22.922.2–23.6	–	20.219.4–20.7
2027	–	23.122.5–23.6	–	20.119.6–20.7
2028	–	23.122.5–23.6	–	20.219.6–20.7
2029	–	23.322.5–23.7	–	20.319.8–20.7
2030	–	23.122.6–23.6	–	20.319.9–20.8
2031	–	23.222.9–23.7	–	20.420–20.8
2032	–	23.222.6–23.9	–	20.420.1–20.8
2033	–	23.322.7–23.8	–	20.419.8–20.9
2034	–	23.322.6–24.1	–	20.419.9–21.2
2035	–	23.422.7–24	–	20.519.8–21
2036	–	23.322.5–23.8	–	20.520–21.1
2037	–	23.422.8–24.1	–	20.620.1–21.2
2038	–	23.623.1–24.1	–	20.720.1–21
2039	–	23.422.8–24.1	–	20.520–21
2040	–	23.322.9–24	–	20.520.1–21.2
2041	–	23.422.7–24.1	–	20.520.2–21.2
2042	–	23.522.8–24.2	–	20.620.2–21.4
2043	–	23.522.8–24.3	–	20.619.9–21.3
2044	–	23.522.9–24.4	–	20.620–21.1
2045	–	23.423–24.2	–	20.620.3–21.3
2046	–	23.822.8–24.4	–	20.920.2–21.5
2047	–	23.823–24.6	–	20.920.4–21.6
2048	–	23.823.3–24.5	–	20.920.3–21.7
2049	–	23.723.1–24.5	–	2120.4–21.6
2050	–	23.923.3–24.5	–	2120.3–21.5
2051	–	23.923.3–24.8	–	2120.4–21.6
2052	–	23.923.4–24.7	–	2120.5–21.6
2053	–	23.822.8–24.5	–	2120.3–21.4
2054	–	2423.1–24.9	–	2120.4–21.7
2055	–	2423.2–24.9	–	21.120.4–21.7
2056	–	2423.2–24.9	–	2120.3–21.9
2057	–	23.923.2–24.7	–	21.220.6–21.8
2058	–	24.123.4–24.8	–	21.220.3–22
2059	–	2423.5–25	–	21.120.5–22
2060	–	24.223.1–24.8	–	21.320.4–21.9
2061	–	23.923.3–25	–	21.320.4–21.9
2062	–	24.123.4–25.2	–	21.320.4–22.2
2063	–	24.123.2–25	–	21.220.5–21.9
2064	–	24.223.2–24.9	–	21.420.4–22
2065	–	24.123.4–25.4	–	21.320.6–22
2066	–	24.423.5–25.2	–	21.320.6–22
2067	–	24.123.2–25.2	–	21.320.5–22.2
2068	–	24.323.4–25.3	–	21.420.6–22.2
2069	–	24.423.4–25.1	–	21.320.4–22.2
2070	–	24.323.3–25.3	–	21.220.6–22.2
2071	–	24.423.4–25.5	–	21.420.6–22.5
2072	–	24.523.7–25.2	–	21.420.8–22.2
2073	–	24.523.4–25.6	–	21.620.8–22.4
2074	–	24.323.6–25.3	–	21.320.7–22.2
2075	–	24.323.6–25.3	–	21.520.6–22.5
2076	–	24.323.3–25.2	–	21.520.6–22.4
2077	–	24.523.6–25.5	–	21.520.8–22.4
2078	–	24.523.5–25.4	–	21.420.8–22.4
2079	–	24.523.7–25.4	–	21.520.7–22.4
2080	–	24.623.7–25.4	–	21.620.6–22.3
2081	–	24.423.6–25.4	–	21.620.8–22.5
2082	–	24.523.7–25.2	–	21.620.9–22.4
2083	–	24.523.5–25.5	–	21.620.8–22.8
2084	–	24.523.7–25.5	–	21.720.9–22.6
2085	–	24.723.6–25.6	–	21.820.8–22.6
2086	–	24.323.7–25.6	–	21.620.8–22.6
2087	–	24.523.7–25.5	–	21.720.8–22.6
2088	–	24.823.5–25.7	–	21.720.9–22.5
2089	–	24.823.8–25.5	–	21.721–22.6
2090	–	24.823.5–25.8	–	21.621.1–22.8
2091	–	24.923.7–25.9	–	22.120.8–22.9
2092	–	24.823.6–25.8	–	21.721–22.7
2093	–	24.823.6–25.7	–	21.821–22.8
2094	–	24.923.6–25.8	–	21.821.1–22.9
2095	–	24.923.9–25.7	–	21.921.2–23.1
2096	–	24.723.8–25.9	–	21.821–22.9
2097	–	24.623.7–25.8	–	21.820.9–22.8
2098	–	24.823.8–25.8	–	21.820.9–23
2099	–	2523.7–25.9	–	21.821–23
2100	–	24.823.7–25.8	–	21.821–22.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Malawi vs Rwanda: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Malawi vs Rwanda

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