Mali

Tropical nights in Mali

Tropical nights in Mali: 228.6 nights in 1950 and 250.2 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
250.2 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+21.6 nights
Projected, 2100
283.6 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in MaliTropical nights in Mali: 228.6 nights in 1950 and 250.2 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 283.6 nights in 2100, between 262.8 nights and 304.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 283.6 nights in 2100, between 262.8 nights and 304.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 253.1 nights in 2012, the lowest 227.3 nights in 1969.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMali
2014250.2
2013247.3
2012253.1
2011251.9
2010250.4
2009248
2008247.8
2007248.1
2006245.5
2005244.3
2004243.9
2003247.1
2002245.8
2001245.6
2000243.2
1999242.4
1998240.6
1997240.7
1996236.4
1995238
1994236.2
1993235.1
1992232
1991238.7
1990241
1989236.3
1988234.7
1987236.1
1986237.1
1985235.3
1984233
1983231.2
1982234.9
1981233.9
1980231.5
1979233.8
1978234.8
1977233.6
1976231.7
1975232.4
1974229.7
1973230.3
1972230.7
1971229.5
1970229.9
1969227.3
1968230.5
1967229
1966228.1
1965230.2
1964228.9
1963228.2
1962231.7
1961231.6
1960235.1
1959231.8
1958231.8
1957233.3
1956230.7
1955230.6
1954232
1953228.3
1952229.2
1951231.4
1950228.6
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMali
2015247.9231.5–264.7
2016248231.3–262.6
2017252.7233.6–268.2
2018254.2236.4–269
2019251.6233.5–272.3
2020251.3231.2–270.7
2021254.8238.5–270
2022257237.8–275.3
2023254.2239.6–269.2
2024259.3242.3–276.8
2025256.2239.2–272.3
2026256.8237.2–277.8
2027258.5240.3–273.1
2028259.7243.6–273.9
2029260.8240.3–275.3
2030258.1237.5–272.6
2031262.2243.4–280.6
2032260.5242.1–278.2
2033262.1241.7–280.3
2034260.7242–275.3
2035261.5244.8–283.6
2036262.5244.6–281.1
2037264.5245.2–279.6
2038266246.7–283.2
2039262.3245–281.6
2040263.6247.5–279.6
2041264.6250.8–283.1
2042265.7245.9–283.5
2043264.8246.9–278.8
2044269.3247.4–284.7
2045265.6248.9–283.7
2046269.8247.5–286.4
2047271.9251.2–290.3
2048270.4254.4–288.2
2049272252.1–288.2
2050269.5250.6–286.4
2051268.8251.7–286.9
2052270.1252.7–292.1
2053269.3249.2–288.8
2054270.3251.7–290.6
2055270.9252.7–288.1
2056273248.6–291.4
2057275.5255.2–295
2058271252.7–293.2
2059274.5259.3–299.6
2060273.5258–293.7
2061275.4257–298
2062270.8251.7–291.8
2063275.9256.6–292.2
2064276.4256.6–298.4
2065275.3256–295.1
2066276.9260–296.5
2067272.6255.4–293.3
2068277.5258.1–296.5
2069276.1257.7–293.3
2070277.2256.6–296.6
2071277.2258.4–295.6
2072281.9263.8–298.9
2073276.8257.9–296.8
2074277.7258.7–295.9
2075278.5260.1–298.5
2076278.1261.1–294.2
2077283.8263.1–302.3
2078283.8263.5–299.4
2079278.9259.2–300.6
2080281.2262.1–299.4
2081279.1259.3–301.8
2082280.2260.2–298.4
2083280.8260.8–302.3
2084280.4263.8–301
2085284.6259.2–303
2086281.9262.8–302.4
2087279.7258.8–302.8
2088282.3260.7–303.3
2089283.4262.4–300.5
2090283.9259.8–301.9
2091283.1260.4–304.8
2092281.6259.7–303.1
2093284.8265.8–305.4
2094284.6262.8–305.6
2095283.6262–304.6
2096284.9263.3–306.3
2097280261–300.5
2098282.5262–302.1
2099285.3266.2–305.4
2100283.6262.8–304.1

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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