Temperature in Mali

Temperature in Mali: 26.7 °C in 1950 and 29.6 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 29.6 °C
Since 1950: +2.9 °C
Rank, 2025: 1 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 31.4 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 31.4 °C in 2100, between 30.3 °C and 32.7 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 29.8 °C in 2021, the lowest 26.7 °C in 1954.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	29.6	29.4
2024	29.7	29.6
2023	29.6	29.2
2022	28.9	29.4
2021	29.8	29.2
2020	29.3	29.1
2019	28.8	29.2
2018	29.1	29.1
2017	29.1	29.1
2016	29.3	28.8
2015	28.7	29
2014	28.7	28.9
2013	28.8	29
2012	28.4	29
2011	29.1	29
2010	29.8	28.9
2009	29	28.8
2008	28.4	28.8
2007	28.7	28.8
2006	28.5	28.7
2005	29.1	28.6
2004	28.9	28.7
2003	29	28.7
2002	29	28.7
2001	28.8	28.7
2000	28.4	28.5
1999	27.9	28.5
1998	28.8	28.3
1997	28.3	28.4
1996	28.6	28.2
1995	28.2	28.2
1994	27.9	28.2
1993	28.5	28
1992	27.8	27.8
1991	28.3	28.3
1990	28.6	28.4
1989	28.3	28.1
1988	28.2	28
1987	29.1	28.1
1986	27.8	28.1
1985	27.8	27.8
1984	27.9	28
1983	28.5	27.8
1982	27.6	28
1981	28	28.1
1980	28.5	28
1979	28.1	28
1978	28	27.9
1977	27.9	27.9
1976	26.9	27.9
1975	27.3	27.8
1974	27.1	27.8
1973	27.9	27.9
1972	27.9	27.9
1971	27.8	27.7
1970	28.2	27.8
1969	28.4	27.7
1968	27.7	27.8
1967	27.3	27.7
1966	28	27.7
1965	27.2	27.7
1964	27.5	27.6
1963	27.7	27.5
1962	27.4	27.9
1961	27.4	27.8
1960	27.5	28.1
1959	27.4	27.8
1958	27.8	27.9
1957	26.7	28
1956	27	27.8
1955	27.4	27.8
1954	26.7	27.8
1953	27.3	27.7
1952	26.7	27.8
1951	27.4	27.9
1950	26.7	27.8

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	29.528.3–30.2
2027	–	29.528.6–30.1
2028	–	29.628.7–30.2
2029	–	29.628.9–30.2
2030	–	29.528.7–30.3
2031	–	29.728.7–30.4
2032	–	29.728.9–30.5
2033	–	29.728.7–30.5
2034	–	29.628.8–30.5
2035	–	29.728.9–30.5
2036	–	29.729–30.4
2037	–	3029.2–30.6
2038	–	29.929.2–31
2039	–	29.829.1–30.6
2040	–	29.929.2–30.7
2041	–	3029.3–30.8
2042	–	30.129.2–30.9
2043	–	29.929.3–30.7
2044	–	30.129–31
2045	–	30.129.3–30.8
2046	–	30.329.2–31.1
2047	–	30.429.3–31.1
2048	–	30.429.5–31.2
2049	–	30.229.4–31.1
2050	–	30.229.5–31.2
2051	–	30.129.5–31.1
2052	–	30.429.4–31.5
2053	–	30.429.5–31.2
2054	–	30.429.5–31.5
2055	–	30.429.7–31.4
2056	–	30.529.4–31.5
2057	–	30.729.7–31.7
2058	–	30.529.7–31.7
2059	–	30.729.9–31.8
2060	–	30.729.9–31.6
2061	–	30.829.8–31.8
2062	–	30.529.7–31.7
2063	–	30.729.9–31.6
2064	–	30.729.8–31.8
2065	–	30.829.9–31.7
2066	–	30.830–31.9
2067	–	30.629.7–31.6
2068	–	30.729.9–31.9
2069	–	30.929.7–31.7
2070	–	30.829.9–31.8
2071	–	30.929.9–32
2072	–	31.130.1–32.1
2073	–	31.130–32.1
2074	–	30.929.9–32.1
2075	–	3130–31.9
2076	–	3130.1–32
2077	–	31.230.2–32.3
2078	–	31.230.2–32.2
2079	–	31.130–32.2
2080	–	31.130.1–32
2081	–	31.330.2–32.2
2082	–	31.230.1–32.1
2083	–	31.130.3–32.5
2084	–	31.130.4–32.3
2085	–	31.430.2–32.5
2086	–	31.230.2–32.3
2087	–	31.230–32.3
2088	–	31.230.2–32.7
2089	–	31.230.2–32.6
2090	–	31.330.1–32.3
2091	–	31.330.4–32.4
2092	–	31.430.4–32.5
2093	–	31.430.4–32.6
2094	–	31.330.4–32.6
2095	–	31.630.3–32.5
2096	–	31.330.5–32.6
2097	–	31.130.4–32.4
2098	–	31.430.4–32.6
2099	–	31.530.3–32.6
2100	–	31.430.3–32.7

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Mali

What the numbers say

Every year

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