Mali vs Nigeria

Mali vs Nigeria: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 29.6 °C in Mali and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mali, by 1.8 °C, or 1.07 times that in Nigeria.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Mali vs Nigeria: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 29.6 °C in Mali and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mali, by 1.8 °C, or 1.07 times that in Nigeria.
MaliNigeriaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Mali has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Mali ranked 1 and Nigeria ranked 16 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Mali at 31.4 °C and Nigeria at 29.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearMaliMali: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202529.629.427.827.9
202429.729.627.828
202329.629.227.627.8
202228.929.42727.9
202129.829.227.527.8
202029.329.127.327.7
201928.829.227.327.7
201829.129.127.227.7
201729.129.127.427.7
201629.328.827.427.6
201528.72927.327.7
201428.728.927.127.7
201328.82927.327.7
201228.4292727.7
201129.12927.227.6
201029.828.927.727.6
20092928.827.527.5
200828.428.826.827.5
200728.728.82727.4
200628.528.727.527.5
200529.128.627.527.4
200428.928.727.127.4
20032928.727.127.5
20022928.726.927.4
200128.828.726.727.6
200028.428.526.727.4
199927.928.526.927.3
199828.828.327.427.3
199728.328.426.827.3
199628.628.226.827.2
199528.228.226.727.2
199427.928.226.527.1
199328.52826.826.9
199227.827.826.226.9
199128.328.326.727.2
199028.628.42727.3
198928.328.126.227.1
198828.22826.827.2
198729.128.127.427.1
198627.828.126.827.2
198527.827.826.627
198427.92826.827.1
198328.527.826.927
198227.62826.627.1
19812828.126.427.1
198028.52826.727.1
197928.12826.627.1
19782827.926.327
197727.927.926.527.1
197626.927.926.226.9
197527.327.82627
197427.127.826.127
197327.927.927.127.1
197227.927.926.727
197127.827.726.426.9
197028.227.826.527
196928.427.726.627
196827.727.826.327
196727.327.726.226.9
19662827.726.826.9
196527.227.726.626.9
196427.527.626.726.7
196327.727.526.626.7
196227.427.926.327.1
196127.427.826.227
196027.528.126.627.1
195927.427.826.527
195827.827.926.527
195726.72825.527.1
19562727.825.826.9
195527.427.825.827
195426.727.82627
195327.327.725.927
195226.727.825.927
195127.427.925.927.1
195026.727.825.827
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearMaliMali: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–29.528.3–30.2–2827.1–28.5
2027–29.528.6–30.1–2827.2–28.6
2028–29.628.7–30.2–2827.5–28.6
2029–29.628.9–30.2–28.227.6–28.6
2030–29.528.7–30.3–28.127.4–28.7
2031–29.728.7–30.4–28.127.5–28.8
2032–29.728.9–30.5–28.127.6–28.7
2033–29.728.7–30.5–28.227.5–28.8
2034–29.628.8–30.5–28.127.5–28.7
2035–29.728.9–30.5–28.327.5–28.8
2036–29.729–30.4–28.227.5–28.8
2037–3029.2–30.6–28.427.8–28.9
2038–29.929.2–31–28.527.9–29
2039–29.829.1–30.6–28.427.7–28.8
2040–29.929.2–30.7–28.327.8–29
2041–3029.3–30.8–28.427.9–29.1
2042–30.129.2–30.9–28.527.8–29.1
2043–29.929.3–30.7–28.427.8–28.9
2044–30.129–31–28.427.8–29.2
2045–30.129.3–30.8–28.527.8–29.1
2046–30.329.2–31.1–28.727.9–29.3
2047–30.429.3–31.1–28.727.9–29.3
2048–30.429.5–31.2–28.728–29.3
2049–30.229.4–31.1–28.728–29.4
2050–30.229.5–31.2–28.628.1–29.5
2051–30.129.5–31.1–28.728.1–29.5
2052–30.429.4–31.5–28.928–29.5
2053–30.429.5–31.2–28.827.9–29.5
2054–30.429.5–31.5–28.928–29.6
2055–30.429.7–31.4–28.928.3–29.6
2056–30.529.4–31.5–28.928.1–29.7
2057–30.729.7–31.7–2928.2–29.8
2058–30.529.7–31.7–28.928.2–29.7
2059–30.729.9–31.8–2928.4–29.8
2060–30.729.9–31.6–2928.4–29.8
2061–30.829.8–31.8–29.128.1–29.9
2062–30.529.7–31.7–29.128.2–30
2063–30.729.9–31.6–29.128.3–29.9
2064–30.729.8–31.8–2928.3–29.9
2065–30.829.9–31.7–29.228.5–29.9
2066–30.830–31.9–29.228.4–30.1
2067–30.629.7–31.6–2928.3–30.2
2068–30.729.9–31.9–29.228.4–30.1
2069–30.929.7–31.7–29.228.3–30.1
2070–30.829.9–31.8–29.228.5–30.2
2071–30.929.9–32–29.328.5–30.3
2072–31.130.1–32.1–29.328.5–30.2
2073–31.130–32.1–29.428.5–30.4
2074–30.929.9–32.1–29.228.3–30.4
2075–3130–31.9–29.428.4–30.1
2076–3130.1–32–29.428.6–30.3
2077–31.230.2–32.3–29.628.6–30.6
2078–31.230.2–32.2–29.428.5–30.4
2079–31.130–32.2–29.428.7–30.2
2080–31.130.1–32–29.528.5–30.4
2081–31.330.2–32.2–29.528.5–30.4
2082–31.230.1–32.1–29.428.6–30.5
2083–31.130.3–32.5–29.528.6–30.6
2084–31.130.4–32.3–29.428.6–30.6
2085–31.430.2–32.5–29.628.7–30.6
2086–31.230.2–32.3–29.628.6–30.6
2087–31.230–32.3–29.528.6–30.6
2088–31.230.2–32.7–29.528.6–30.7
2089–31.230.2–32.6–29.528.7–30.7
2090–31.330.1–32.3–29.628.7–30.6
2091–31.330.4–32.4–29.728.7–30.7
2092–31.430.4–32.5–29.828.7–30.7
2093–31.430.4–32.6–29.728.8–30.7
2094–31.330.4–32.6–29.728.9–30.7
2095–31.630.3–32.5–29.928.8–30.9
2096–31.330.5–32.6–29.528.9–30.8
2097–31.130.4–32.4–29.528.7–30.7
2098–31.430.4–32.6–29.828.7–30.7
2099–31.530.3–32.6–29.728.8–30.8
2100–31.430.3–32.7–29.628.9–30.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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