Mali vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 250.2 nights in Mali and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mali, by 223.1 nights, or 9.23 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

MaliSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Mali has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Mali at 283.6 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Mali	South Africa
2014	250.2	27.1
2013	247.3	28.3
2012	253.1	27.9
2011	251.9	26.1
2010	250.4	26
2009	248	25.8
2008	247.8	24.8
2007	248.1	24.7
2006	245.5	25.5
2005	244.3	25.3
2004	243.9	25.8
2003	247.1	25.1
2002	245.8	25
2001	245.6	24.5
2000	243.2	23.3
1999	242.4	23
1998	240.6	23.4
1997	240.7	22.5
1996	236.4	20.4
1995	238	19.3
1994	236.2	20
1993	235.1	18.1
1992	232	18.1
1991	238.7	22.3
1990	241	22.7
1989	236.3	22
1988	234.7	21.2
1987	236.1	21.9
1986	237.1	21
1985	235.3	18.9
1984	233	20
1983	231.2	19
1982	234.9	20.3
1981	233.9	20
1980	231.5	21.2
1979	233.8	19.9
1978	234.8	19.8
1977	233.6	19.2
1976	231.7	19.2
1975	232.4	18.8
1974	229.7	19.7
1973	230.3	19.6
1972	230.7	19
1971	229.5	19.1
1970	229.9	18.6
1969	227.3	18.7
1968	230.5	17.8
1967	229	17.5
1966	228.1	17.8
1965	230.2	17.2
1964	228.9	14.9
1963	228.2	16.5
1962	231.7	19.6
1961	231.6	19.7
1960	235.1	19.8
1959	231.8	18.5
1958	231.8	19.3
1957	233.3	19.4
1956	230.7	18
1955	230.6	19.5
1954	232	18.4
1953	228.3	18.4
1952	229.2	19.3
1951	231.4	18.9
1950	228.6	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Mali	South Africa
2015	247.9231.5–264.7	28.620–39.5
2016	248231.3–262.6	26.817.8–37.9
2017	252.7233.6–268.2	28.919.6–37.8
2018	254.2236.4–269	29.620.6–40.6
2019	251.6233.5–272.3	29.820.8–41.5
2020	251.3231.2–270.7	29.518.9–39.1
2021	254.8238.5–270	31.121.4–42.9
2022	257237.8–275.3	3223.7–43.1
2023	254.2239.6–269.2	31.922.9–41.8
2024	259.3242.3–276.8	3324–45.6
2025	256.2239.2–272.3	31.920.7–44.5
2026	256.8237.2–277.8	34.521.9–46.9
2027	258.5240.3–273.1	34.423–47.7
2028	259.7243.6–273.9	33.522.9–46
2029	260.8240.3–275.3	36.226.5–48.3
2030	258.1237.5–272.6	36.124.9–49
2031	262.2243.4–280.6	36.324.5–50.3
2032	260.5242.1–278.2	36.424.5–49.2
2033	262.1241.7–280.3	36.924.5–48.3
2034	260.7242–275.3	37.626.4–51.8
2035	261.5244.8–283.6	37.625.2–49.5
2036	262.5244.6–281.1	3826.5–50.5
2037	264.5245.2–279.6	39.928.2–53.4
2038	266246.7–283.2	41.528.4–54.2
2039	262.3245–281.6	39.227–52.9
2040	263.6247.5–279.6	38.125.6–55.6
2041	264.6250.8–283.1	40.227.4–54.3
2042	265.7245.9–283.5	4229–56.4
2043	264.8246.9–278.8	42.128.2–58.4
2044	269.3247.4–284.7	41.929.5–57.8
2045	265.6248.9–283.7	42.728.2–59
2046	269.8247.5–286.4	44.130–59.5
2047	271.9251.2–290.3	44.630.7–61.2
2048	270.4254.4–288.2	4531.9–61.5
2049	272252.1–288.2	45.632.3–61.4
2050	269.5250.6–286.4	46.931–63.6
2051	268.8251.7–286.9	47.532–65
2052	270.1252.7–292.1	48.332.7–64.3
2053	269.3249.2–288.8	45.733.7–62.1
2054	270.3251.7–290.6	4833.3–64.3
2055	270.9252.7–288.1	46.833–68.4
2056	273248.6–291.4	47.933.2–64.8
2057	275.5255.2–295	50.232.6–68.9
2058	271252.7–293.2	47.934–66.4
2059	274.5259.3–299.6	51.333.1–66.9
2060	273.5258–293.7	51.936–69.9
2061	275.4257–298	50.534.8–71.3
2062	270.8251.7–291.8	50.532.7–71
2063	275.9256.6–292.2	50.434.3–69.7
2064	276.4256.6–298.4	5134.1–67.7
2065	275.3256–295.1	50.433.6–70.2
2066	276.9260–296.5	5335.7–72.4
2067	272.6255.4–293.3	50.634.8–70.4
2068	277.5258.1–296.5	54.837.8–72.5
2069	276.1257.7–293.3	54.339.1–73.4
2070	277.2256.6–296.6	54.337.2–73.3
2071	277.2258.4–295.6	55.837.9–76.9
2072	281.9263.8–298.9	5639.4–78.6
2073	276.8257.9–296.8	60.443.4–80.3
2074	277.7258.7–295.9	57.439.1–75.3
2075	278.5260.1–298.5	56.137.7–76
2076	278.1261.1–294.2	58.538.4–75.3
2077	283.8263.1–302.3	57.341–80.5
2078	283.8263.5–299.4	5639.5–79
2079	278.9259.2–300.6	57.639.3–78
2080	281.2262.1–299.4	59.540.3–80.9
2081	279.1259.3–301.8	5841.5–79.6
2082	280.2260.2–298.4	58.839.7–77.7
2083	280.8260.8–302.3	60.839.1–82.9
2084	280.4263.8–301	62.540.4–82.9
2085	284.6259.2–303	60.741.3–87.6
2086	281.9262.8–302.4	60.542.1–83.3
2087	279.7258.8–302.8	57.941–82.9
2088	282.3260.7–303.3	64.243.4–85.3
2089	283.4262.4–300.5	61.541.3–81.2
2090	283.9259.8–301.9	61.641.5–86.8
2091	283.1260.4–304.8	63.341.6–86.3
2092	281.6259.7–303.1	63.144.9–84.8
2093	284.8265.8–305.4	62.443.2–86.1
2094	284.6262.8–305.6	63.145.6–87.4
2095	283.6262–304.6	65.342.6–91.7
2096	284.9263.3–306.3	6142.7–90.1
2097	280261–300.5	58.841.2–84.6
2098	282.5262–302.1	65.143.8–89.8
2099	285.3266.2–305.4	64.345–87
2100	283.6262.8–304.1	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Mali vs South Africa: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Mali vs South Africa

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment