马达加斯加与塞内加尔对比

马达加斯加与塞内加尔：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：马达加斯加为 138.3 夜，塞内加尔为 302.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年塞内加尔的数值较高，高出 163.8 夜，是马达加斯加的 2.18 倍。

在地图上查看其变化

每年夜数 · CMIP6

马达加斯加与塞内加尔：热带夜2014 年热带夜：马达加斯加为 138.3 夜，塞内加尔为 302.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年塞内加尔的数值较高，高出 163.8 夜，是马达加斯加的 2.18 倍。
马达加斯加塞内加尔CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

  • 自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，塞内加尔的数值都更高。
  • 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年马达加斯加为 198.5 夜，塞内加尔为 347.3 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份马达加斯加塞内加尔
2014138.3302.1
2013138300.9
2012138.3304.1
2011136.8302.1
2010134.2301.5
2009133.5302.1
2008132.3298.3
2007133.1298.5
2006131.6298.6
2005130.3298.1
2004133.5294.7
2003131296.1
2002131.8296
2001131.7298.9
2000127.4295
1999128.4293.2
1998128.6292.5
1997125.3288.5
1996121.8285.1
1995123.3285.9
1994121.8283.7
1993116282
1992116.6277.6
1991124.9286.7
1990126.2292.5
1989124282.1
1988123.8282.4
1987122.8281.8
1986123.8283
1985120278.1
1984118.6274.6
1983116.5276.3
1982121.8281.3
1981122.1277.9
1980120.3277.6
1979120.7281
1978119.3280.7
1977119278
1976117.4274.4
1975116.5278.4
1974119.5273.8
1973119274.5
1972117273.5
1971116.3273.4
1970117271.3
1969116.3271.6
1968113.1272.6
1967113275.4
1966114.1273.3
1965112.2272.8
1964109.6271.8
1963109.7272.8
1962115.3280.2
1961118.5276.9
1960118.2279.2
1959119277.4
1958118.7278.8
1957117.6274.4
1956115.5273.2
1955116.6273.4
1954115.9275
1953116.4271.7
1952117.4271
1951116272.9
1950116.3270.8
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100
年份马达加斯加塞内加尔
2015142.8126.7–159.3298.9275.9–321
2016137.8122.2–156302.7276.5–319
2017143.1125.6–159.4302.9285.4–318.6
2018143.7125.9–160.3305.6289.2–321.5
2019143.4124.4–162.3307.6280.6–328.1
2020143.4125.2–159305.2276.2–322.9
2021145.4128.8–160.4307.6286–325.6
2022150.4133.4–165.2312.9289.6–334.3
2023149.7132.1–166307.5292.2–328.6
2024150.7131.4–167.9313.2294.6–326.9
2025149128.8–169.1311.8289–329.4
2026150.1127.4–169.9308.3285.2–328.6
2027151.8131.9–170.8310.7287.8–330
2028154.9137.7–173.1316.3289.2–331.6
2029155.7135.2–173.8315.7291.2–334.2
2030154.8136.4–171.3311.5289.1–329.1
2031158.1141.3–174.8318.8296.3–335
2032157.9136.2–178.4316295.7–332.4
2033158.9136.7–177.8316.7289.6–336.4
2034158.6140.6–179.6315.4291.6–335.1
2035161.1140.2–181.6316.8291.1–335.3
2036159.5139.4–177.1320.8298.5–335.3
2037165.8144.7–182.8324.5303.1–337.7
2038166.5149.3–183.9323.5304.2–339.7
2039164.1145.1–183.9323.3300.9–337
2040162.8144.5–184.8322.4298.9–339.5
2041165.8143.5–183.9320.2300.1–343.6
2042165.1144.3–188.4320302.1–339.9
2043165.6148.5–184.7320.4303.7–340.4
2044167.3145.8–187326.9301.5–340.9
2045166.9147.1–187.1324.1304.1–340
2046171.4149.6–193325.9304.7–340.6
2047171.7148.8–193.4329301.4–347
2048173.7151.7–193.6331.1314.3–344.8
2049172.2151.4–192.9331.3308.3–343.7
2050174.4150.5–193.6327.6306.5–341.9
2051175154.3–195.1328307.1–344
2052176153.8–196.7325.4308.1–344.2
2053176.6151.1–197.8331.8304.9–347.2
2054175.5152.8–199.2330.1310.8–345.2
2055179.2157.3–196.8330.1305.5–344
2056178.8156.5–199.7331.4307.4–349.8
2057177.7155.5–201337306.4–351.5
2058180.5158.9–202.4333313.2–350.2
2059181.8158.3–202.5334315.6–353.5
2060185.1159.5–207.8334.5316.4–351.1
2061180.6157.6–203.8333.7307.5–352.9
2062180.6157.1–205.6333.3312.4–350.2
2063185156.8–210.7335.4313.2–352.8
2064184.7159.1–205.7335.4307.1–351.1
2065183.8157.1–208.5334.8314.1–352.8
2066187.3159.6–211337.3312.9–351
2067184.9155.9–208.9335.5309.9–349.9
2068187.5161.7–211.1335.5313.5–354
2069187.5162–211.3336.1316.9–351.8
2070187.8160.4–213.6333.3312.9–352.9
2071190.7162.7–216.6335.7321.1–351.9
2072191.8168.2–215.8342.3321–354.6
2073191.4168.7–214.5339.4320.1–356.1
2074189.4162.6–217.7335.9317.1–351.8
2075189.3163.8–214.2338.4320.7–354.1
2076191.1164.3–214338.7321.9–352
2077191.9168.8–217.1342.8314.8–357.3
2078190.1166.5–219.3343325.8–355.4
2079190.1163.7–216.2341.2322.3–357.6
2080194.8167.7–219.4340.9317.7–358.1
2081191.7166.7–218.1339.8315.5–357.1
2082193.8169.2–216.7341.6316.4–354.9
2083194.6166.1–218.1340.8324.8–356.9
2084197.9170–219.7340.4322.8–354.9
2085197.8172.3–223.7346.8325.6–357
2086192.9169.6–220341.7324.4–357.6
2087195.2170.4–220.1343.9325.9–357.7
2088198.1165.1–225.5341.5321.6–358.2
2089196.3167.9–227.6343.2324.3–355.2
2090197.5172.4–228.1342320.6–356
2091199.2172.7–226.7341.7319.8–356.4
2092202.4170.7–226.6339.7318.4–357.7
2093202.1172.3–230.5345326.8–356.4
2094198.3168.6–224344.4324.3–357.6
2095200.7171.7–225.1346.3320.6–359.4
2096199.8173.6–226.3344.4323.1–359.2
2097201.2170–227.6341.4321.3–353.8
2098201.1170.7–227.2345322.3–357
2099198.3173.8–225.8344.6322.7–357.5
2100198.5173.3–227.7347.3323.6–359.2

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须知

  • 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
  • 来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
  • 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
  • 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

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