Madagascar vs Senegal

Madagascar vs Senegal: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 302.1 nights in Senegal, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Senegal, by 163.8 nights, or 2.18 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Madagascar vs Senegal: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 302.1 nights in Senegal, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Senegal, by 163.8 nights, or 2.18 times that in Madagascar.
MadagascarSenegalCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Senegal has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Madagascar at 198.5 nights and Senegal at 347.3 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMadagascarSenegal
2014138.3302.1
2013138300.9
2012138.3304.1
2011136.8302.1
2010134.2301.5
2009133.5302.1
2008132.3298.3
2007133.1298.5
2006131.6298.6
2005130.3298.1
2004133.5294.7
2003131296.1
2002131.8296
2001131.7298.9
2000127.4295
1999128.4293.2
1998128.6292.5
1997125.3288.5
1996121.8285.1
1995123.3285.9
1994121.8283.7
1993116282
1992116.6277.6
1991124.9286.7
1990126.2292.5
1989124282.1
1988123.8282.4
1987122.8281.8
1986123.8283
1985120278.1
1984118.6274.6
1983116.5276.3
1982121.8281.3
1981122.1277.9
1980120.3277.6
1979120.7281
1978119.3280.7
1977119278
1976117.4274.4
1975116.5278.4
1974119.5273.8
1973119274.5
1972117273.5
1971116.3273.4
1970117271.3
1969116.3271.6
1968113.1272.6
1967113275.4
1966114.1273.3
1965112.2272.8
1964109.6271.8
1963109.7272.8
1962115.3280.2
1961118.5276.9
1960118.2279.2
1959119277.4
1958118.7278.8
1957117.6274.4
1956115.5273.2
1955116.6273.4
1954115.9275
1953116.4271.7
1952117.4271
1951116272.9
1950116.3270.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMadagascarSenegal
2015142.8126.7–159.3298.9275.9–321
2016137.8122.2–156302.7276.5–319
2017143.1125.6–159.4302.9285.4–318.6
2018143.7125.9–160.3305.6289.2–321.5
2019143.4124.4–162.3307.6280.6–328.1
2020143.4125.2–159305.2276.2–322.9
2021145.4128.8–160.4307.6286–325.6
2022150.4133.4–165.2312.9289.6–334.3
2023149.7132.1–166307.5292.2–328.6
2024150.7131.4–167.9313.2294.6–326.9
2025149128.8–169.1311.8289–329.4
2026150.1127.4–169.9308.3285.2–328.6
2027151.8131.9–170.8310.7287.8–330
2028154.9137.7–173.1316.3289.2–331.6
2029155.7135.2–173.8315.7291.2–334.2
2030154.8136.4–171.3311.5289.1–329.1
2031158.1141.3–174.8318.8296.3–335
2032157.9136.2–178.4316295.7–332.4
2033158.9136.7–177.8316.7289.6–336.4
2034158.6140.6–179.6315.4291.6–335.1
2035161.1140.2–181.6316.8291.1–335.3
2036159.5139.4–177.1320.8298.5–335.3
2037165.8144.7–182.8324.5303.1–337.7
2038166.5149.3–183.9323.5304.2–339.7
2039164.1145.1–183.9323.3300.9–337
2040162.8144.5–184.8322.4298.9–339.5
2041165.8143.5–183.9320.2300.1–343.6
2042165.1144.3–188.4320302.1–339.9
2043165.6148.5–184.7320.4303.7–340.4
2044167.3145.8–187326.9301.5–340.9
2045166.9147.1–187.1324.1304.1–340
2046171.4149.6–193325.9304.7–340.6
2047171.7148.8–193.4329301.4–347
2048173.7151.7–193.6331.1314.3–344.8
2049172.2151.4–192.9331.3308.3–343.7
2050174.4150.5–193.6327.6306.5–341.9
2051175154.3–195.1328307.1–344
2052176153.8–196.7325.4308.1–344.2
2053176.6151.1–197.8331.8304.9–347.2
2054175.5152.8–199.2330.1310.8–345.2
2055179.2157.3–196.8330.1305.5–344
2056178.8156.5–199.7331.4307.4–349.8
2057177.7155.5–201337306.4–351.5
2058180.5158.9–202.4333313.2–350.2
2059181.8158.3–202.5334315.6–353.5
2060185.1159.5–207.8334.5316.4–351.1
2061180.6157.6–203.8333.7307.5–352.9
2062180.6157.1–205.6333.3312.4–350.2
2063185156.8–210.7335.4313.2–352.8
2064184.7159.1–205.7335.4307.1–351.1
2065183.8157.1–208.5334.8314.1–352.8
2066187.3159.6–211337.3312.9–351
2067184.9155.9–208.9335.5309.9–349.9
2068187.5161.7–211.1335.5313.5–354
2069187.5162–211.3336.1316.9–351.8
2070187.8160.4–213.6333.3312.9–352.9
2071190.7162.7–216.6335.7321.1–351.9
2072191.8168.2–215.8342.3321–354.6
2073191.4168.7–214.5339.4320.1–356.1
2074189.4162.6–217.7335.9317.1–351.8
2075189.3163.8–214.2338.4320.7–354.1
2076191.1164.3–214338.7321.9–352
2077191.9168.8–217.1342.8314.8–357.3
2078190.1166.5–219.3343325.8–355.4
2079190.1163.7–216.2341.2322.3–357.6
2080194.8167.7–219.4340.9317.7–358.1
2081191.7166.7–218.1339.8315.5–357.1
2082193.8169.2–216.7341.6316.4–354.9
2083194.6166.1–218.1340.8324.8–356.9
2084197.9170–219.7340.4322.8–354.9
2085197.8172.3–223.7346.8325.6–357
2086192.9169.6–220341.7324.4–357.6
2087195.2170.4–220.1343.9325.9–357.7
2088198.1165.1–225.5341.5321.6–358.2
2089196.3167.9–227.6343.2324.3–355.2
2090197.5172.4–228.1342320.6–356
2091199.2172.7–226.7341.7319.8–356.4
2092202.4170.7–226.6339.7318.4–357.7
2093202.1172.3–230.5345326.8–356.4
2094198.3168.6–224344.4324.3–357.6
2095200.7171.7–225.1346.3320.6–359.4
2096199.8173.6–226.3344.4323.1–359.2
2097201.2170–227.6341.4321.3–353.8
2098201.1170.7–227.2345322.3–357
2099198.3173.8–225.8344.6322.7–357.5
2100198.5173.3–227.7347.3323.6–359.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Madagascar vs Senegal

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